메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 6, Issue 1, 2003, Pages 41-47

How accurate are population models? Lessons from landscape-scale tests in a fragmented system

Author keywords

Habitat fragmentation; Landscape experiment; Population viability analysis; Species specific responses

Indexed keywords

EXTINCTION; HABITAT FRAGMENTATION; POPULATION MODELING; POPULATION THEORY;

EID: 0242684407     PISSN: 1461023X     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1046/j.1461-0248.2003.00391.x     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (87)

References (42)
  • 2
    • 0034704928 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predictive accuracy of population viability analysis in conservation biology
    • Brook, B.W., O'Grady, J.J., Burgman, M.A., Akçakaya, H.R. & Frankham, R. (2000). Predictive accuracy of population viability analysis in conservation biology. Nature, 404, 385-387.
    • (2000) Nature , vol.404 , pp. 385-387
    • Brook, B.W.1    O'Grady, J.J.2    Burgman, M.A.3    Akçakaya, H.R.4    Frankham, R.5
  • 3
    • 0001011081 scopus 로고
    • Turnover rates in insular biogeography: Effect of immigration on extinction
    • Brown, J.H. & Kodric-Brown, A. (1977). Turnover rates in insular biogeography: effect of immigration on extinction. Ecology, 58, 445-449.
    • (1977) Ecology , vol.58 , pp. 445-449
    • Brown, J.H.1    Kodric-Brown, A.2
  • 6
    • 0028066366 scopus 로고
    • A useful role for theory in conservation
    • Doak, D. & Mills, L.S. (1994). A useful role for theory in conservation. Ecology, 75, 615-626.
    • (1994) Ecology , vol.75 , pp. 615-626
    • Doak, D.1    Mills, L.S.2
  • 7
    • 0242530451 scopus 로고
    • Bird-song as an indicator of habitat suitability
    • Eens, M. (1994). Bird-song as an indicator of habitat suitability. Trends Ecol. Evol., 9, 63-64.
    • (1994) Trends Ecol. Evol. , vol.9 , pp. 63-64
    • Eens, M.1
  • 10
    • 0034982225 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Stochastic matrix models for conservation and management: A comparative review of methods
    • Fieberg, J. & Ellner, S.P. (2001). Stochastic matrix models for conservation and management: a comparative review of methods. Ecol. Lett., 4, 244-266.
    • (2001) Ecol. Lett. , vol.4 , pp. 244-266
    • Fieberg, J.1    Ellner, S.P.2
  • 11
    • 0028173771 scopus 로고
    • A practical model of metapopulation dynamics
    • Hanski, I. (1994a). A practical model of metapopulation dynamics. J. Anim. Ecol., 63, 151-162.
    • (1994) J. Anim. Ecol. , vol.63 , pp. 151-162
    • Hanski, I.1
  • 12
    • 0028175341 scopus 로고
    • Patch occupancy dynamics in fragmented landscapes
    • Hanski, I. (1994b). Patch occupancy dynamics in fragmented landscapes. Trends Ecol. Evol., 9, 131-134.
    • (1994) Trends Ecol. Evol. , vol.9 , pp. 131-134
    • Hanski, I.1
  • 13
    • 0032487859 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Metapopulation dynamics
    • Hanski, I. (1998). Metapopulation dynamics. Nature, 396, 41-49.
    • (1998) Nature , vol.396 , pp. 41-49
    • Hanski, I.1
  • 14
    • 0031860120 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Spatial autocorrelation in California land birds
    • Koenig, W.D. (1998). Spatial autocorrelation in California land birds. Conserv. Biol., 12, 612-619.
    • (1998) Conserv. Biol. , vol.12 , pp. 612-619
    • Koenig, W.D.1
  • 15
    • 0033305663 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Demography of Peromyscus leucopus populations on habitat patches: The role of dispersal
    • Krohne, D.T. & Hoch, G.A. (1999). Demography of Peromyscus leucopus populations on habitat patches: the role of dispersal. Can. J. Zool., 77, 1247-1253.
    • (1999) Can. J. Zool. , vol.77 , pp. 1247-1253
    • Krohne, D.T.1    Hoch, G.A.2
  • 16
    • 0034460035 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Structure of the VORTEX simulation model for population viability analysis
    • Lacy, R.C. (2000). Structure of the VORTEX simulation model for population viability analysis. Ecol. Bull., 48, 191-203.
    • (2000) Ecol. Bull. , vol.48 , pp. 191-203
    • Lacy, R.C.1
  • 18
    • 0034925502 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A landscape-scale test of the predictive ability of a meta-population model in an Australian fragmented forest ecosystem
    • Lindenmayer, D.B., Ball, I., Possingham, H.P., McCarthy, M.A. & Pope, M.L. (2001b). A landscape-scale test of the predictive ability of a meta-population model in an Australian fragmented forest ecosystem. J. Appl. Ecol., 38, 36-48.
    • (2001) J. Appl. Ecol. , vol.38 , pp. 36-48
    • Lindenmayer, D.B.1    Ball, I.2    Possingham, H.P.3    McCarthy, M.A.4    Pope, M.L.5
  • 19
    • 0028981802 scopus 로고
    • A review of the generic computer programs ALEX, RAMAS/Space and VORTEX for modelling the viability of wildlife metapopulations
    • Lindenmayer, D.B., Burgman, M.A., Açkakaya, H.R., Lacy, R.C. & Possingham, H.P. (1995). A review of the generic computer programs ALEX, RAMAS/Space and VORTEX for modelling the viability of wildlife metapopulations. Ecol. Model., 82, 161-174.
    • (1995) Ecol. Model. , vol.82 , pp. 161-174
    • Lindenmayer, D.B.1    Burgman, M.A.2    Açkakaya, H.R.3    Lacy, R.C.4    Possingham, H.P.5
  • 20
    • 0037090199 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On the use of landscape indices as ecological indicators in fragmented forests
    • Lindenmayer, D.B., Cunningham, R.B., Donnelly, C.F. & Lesslie, R. (2002b). On the use of landscape indices as ecological indicators in fragmented forests. For. Ecol. Manage., 159, 203-216.
    • (2002) For. Ecol. Manage. , vol.159 , pp. 203-216
    • Lindenmayer, D.B.1    Cunningham, R.B.2    Donnelly, C.F.3    Lesslie, R.4
  • 22
    • 0036145938 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Small mammals, patches and PVA models: A field test of model predictive ability
    • Lindenmayer, D.B. & Lacy, R.C. (2002). Small mammals, patches and PVA models: a field test of model predictive ability. Biol. Conserv., 103, 247-265.
    • (2002) Biol. Conserv. , vol.103 , pp. 247-265
    • Lindenmayer, D.B.1    Lacy, R.C.2
  • 23
    • 0033863466 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Testing a simulation model for population viability analysis
    • Lindenmayer, D.B., Lacy, R.C. & Pope, M.L. (2000). Testing a simulation model for Population Viability Analysis. Ecol. Appl., 10, 580-597.
    • (2000) Ecol. Appl. , vol.10 , pp. 580-597
    • Lindenmayer, D.B.1    Lacy, R.C.2    Pope, M.L.3
  • 24
    • 0032991236 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Arboreal marsupial incidence in eucalypt patches in southeastern Australia: A test of Hanski's incidence function metapopulation model for patch occupancy
    • Lindenmayer, D.B., McCarthy, M.A. & Pope, M.L. (1999). Arboreal marsupial incidence in eucalypt patches in southeastern Australia: a test of Hanski's incidence function metapopulation model for patch occupancy. Oikos, 84, 99-109.
    • (1999) Oikos , vol.84 , pp. 99-109
    • Lindenmayer, D.B.1    McCarthy, M.A.2    Pope, M.L.3
  • 25
    • 0035065583 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A simple landscape-scale test of a spatially explicit population mode: Patch occupancy in fragmented south-eastern Australian forests
    • Lindenmayer, D.B., McCarthy, M.A., Possingham, H.P. & Legge, S. (2001a). A simple landscape-scale test of a spatially explicit population mode: patch occupancy in fragmented south-eastern Australian forests. Oikos, 92, 445-458.
    • (2001) Oikos , vol.92 , pp. 445-458
    • Lindenmayer, D.B.1    McCarthy, M.A.2    Possingham, H.P.3    Legge, S.4
  • 26
    • 0001291551 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The Tumut experiment - Integrating demographic and genetic studies to unravel fragmentation effects
    • (eds Young, A. & Clarke, G.). Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
    • Lindenmayer, D.B. & Peakall, R.H. (2000). The Tumut experiment - integrating demographic and genetic studies to unravel fragmentation effects. In: Genetics, Demography and Viability of Fragmented Populations (eds Young, A. & Clarke, G.). Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 173-201.
    • (2000) Genetics, Demography and Viability of Fragmented Populations , pp. 173-201
    • Lindenmayer, D.B.1    Peakall, R.H.2
  • 27
    • 0032897723 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Is it meaningful to estimate a probability of extinction?
    • Ludwig, D. (1999). Is it meaningful to estimate a probability of extinction? Ecology, 80, 298-310.
    • (1999) Ecology , vol.80 , pp. 298-310
    • Ludwig, D.1
  • 28
    • 0026282754 scopus 로고
    • Assessing extinction threats: Towards a re-evaluation of IUCM threatened species categories
    • Mace, G.M. & Lande, R. (1991). Assessing extinction threats: towards a re-evaluation of IUCM threatened species categories. Conserv. Biol., 5, 148-157.
    • (1991) Conserv. Biol. , vol.5 , pp. 148-157
    • Mace, G.M.1    Lande, R.2
  • 29
    • 0033903929 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A method for validating stochastic models of population viability: A case study of the Mountain Pygmy-Possum (Burramys parvus)
    • McCarthy, M.A. & Broome, L.S. (2000). A method for validating stochastic models of population viability: a case study of the Mountain Pygmy-Possum (Burramys parvus). J. Anim. Ecol., 69, 599-607.
    • (2000) J. Anim. Ecol. , vol.69 , pp. 599-607
    • McCarthy, M.A.1    Broome, L.S.2
  • 30
    • 0033982033 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Spatially-correlated extinction in a metapopulation model of Leadbeater's Possum
    • McCarthy, M.A. & Lindenmayer, D.B. (2000). Spatially-correlated extinction in a metapopulation model of Leadbeater's Possum. Biodiv. Conserv., 9, 47-63.
    • (2000) Biodiv. Conserv. , vol.9 , pp. 47-63
    • McCarthy, M.A.1    Lindenmayer, D.B.2
  • 31
    • 0033664708 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Testing spadal PVA models of Australian treecreepers (Aves: Climacteridae) in fragmented forest
    • McCarthy, M.A., Lindenmayer, D.B. & Possingham, H.P. (2000). Testing spadal PVA models of Australian treecreepers (Aves: Climacteridae) in fragmented forest. Ecol. Appl., 10, 1722-1731.
    • (2000) Ecol. Appl. , vol.10 , pp. 1722-1731
    • McCarthy, M.A.1    Lindenmayer, D.B.2    Possingham, H.P.3
  • 32
    • 0035094951 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Assessing spatial PVA models of arboreal marsupials using significance tests and Bayesian statistics
    • McCarthy, M.A., Lindenmayer, D.B. & Possingham, H.P. (2001b). Assessing spatial PVA models of arboreal marsupials using significance tests and Bayesian statistics. Biol. Conserv., 98, 191-200.
    • (2001) Biol. Conserv. , vol.98 , pp. 191-200
    • McCarthy, M.A.1    Lindenmayer, D.B.2    Possingham, H.P.3
  • 34
    • 0028794263 scopus 로고
    • ALEX: A model for the viability analysis of spatially structured populations
    • Possingham, H.P. & Davies, I. (1995). ALEX: a model for the viability analysis of spatially structured populations. Biol. Conserv., 73, 143-150.
    • (1995) Biol. Conserv. , vol.73 , pp. 143-150
    • Possingham, H.P.1    Davies, I.2
  • 35
    • 0027805493 scopus 로고
    • A framework for improved threatened species management using population viability analysis
    • Possingham, H.P., Lindenmayer, D.B. & Norton, T.W. (1993). A framework for improved threatened species management using Population Viability Analysis. Pacific Conserv. Biol., 1, 39-45.
    • (1993) Pacific Conserv. Biol. , vol.1 , pp. 39-45
    • Possingham, H.P.1    Lindenmayer, D.B.2    Norton, T.W.3
  • 36
    • 0027020470 scopus 로고
    • Movement corridors: Conservation bargains or poor investments?
    • Simberloff, D.A., Farr, J.A., Cox, J. & Mehlman, D.W. (1992). Movement corridors: conservation bargains or poor investments? Conserv. Biol., 6, 493-504.
    • (1992) Conserv. Biol. , vol.6 , pp. 493-504
    • Simberloff, D.A.1    Farr, J.A.2    Cox, J.3    Mehlman, D.W.4
  • 37
    • 0034794025 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Role of patch size, disease, and movement in rapid extinction of Bighorn Sheep
    • Singer, F.J., Zeigenfuss, L.C. & Spicer, L. (2001). Role of patch size, disease, and movement in rapid extinction of Bighorn Sheep. Conserv. Biol., 15, 1347-1354.
    • (2001) Conserv. Biol. , vol.15 , pp. 1347-1354
    • Singer, F.J.1    Zeigenfuss, L.C.2    Spicer, L.3
  • 38
    • 84985817809 scopus 로고
    • Conspecific attraction and the determination of metapopulation colonisation rates
    • Smith, A.T. & Peacock, M.M. (1990). Conspecific attraction and the determination of metapopulation colonisation rates. Conserv. Biol., 4, 320-323.
    • (1990) Conserv. Biol. , vol.4 , pp. 320-323
    • Smith, A.T.1    Peacock, M.M.2
  • 39
    • 0026498552 scopus 로고
    • Environmental variation and the persistence of small populations
    • Stacey, P.B. & Taper, M. (1992). Environmental variation and the persistence of small populations. Ecol. Appl., 2, 18-29.
    • (1992) Ecol. Appl. , vol.2 , pp. 18-29
    • Stacey, P.B.1    Taper, M.2
  • 41
    • 0028162069 scopus 로고
    • Habitat destruction and the extinction debt
    • Tilman, D., May, R.M., Lehman, C.L. & Nowak, M.A. (1994). Habitat destruction and the extinction debt. Nature, 371, 65-66.
    • (1994) Nature , vol.371 , pp. 65-66
    • Tilman, D.1    May, R.M.2    Lehman, C.L.3    Nowak, M.A.4
  • 42
    • 0030791606 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Effects of habitat loss and fragmentation in the behaviour and demography of Gray-tailed Voles
    • Wolff, J.O., Schauber, E.M. & Edge, W.D. (1997). Effects of habitat loss and fragmentation in the behaviour and demography of Gray-tailed Voles. Conserv. Biol., 11, 945-956.
    • (1997) Conserv. Biol. , vol.11 , pp. 945-956
    • Wolff, J.O.1    Schauber, E.M.2    Edge, W.D.3


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.