Improved field reconstruction with the analog method: Searching the CCA space

Climate Research

Volumn 24, Issue 3, 2003, Pages 199-213

  Fernández, Jesús ^a   Sáenz, Jon ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF THE BASQUE COUNTRY UPV EHU   (Spain)

Author keywords

Analogs; Cantabrian coast; CCA; Downscaling; Precipitation

Indexed keywords

CANONICAL ANALYSIS; DOWNSCALING; GENERAL CIRCULATION MODEL; PRECIPITATION (CLIMATOLOGY); PRINCIPAL COMPONENT ANALYSIS; RECONSTRUCTION;

EUROPE; IBERIAN PENINSULA;

EID: 0242338553     PISSN: 0936577X     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.3354/cr024199     Document Type: Article

References (40)

1. Barnett TP, Preisendorfer RW (1978) Multifield analog prediction of short-term climate fluctuations using a climate state vector. J Atmos Sci 35:1171-1787
2. Barnett TP, Preisendorfer RW (1987) Origins and levels of monthly and seasonal forecast skill for United States air temperature determined by canonical correlation analysis. Mon Weather Rev 115:1825-1850
3. Biau G, Zorita E, von Storch H, Wackernagel H (1999) Estimation of precipitation by kriging in the EOF space of the sea level pressure field. J Clim 12:1070-1085
4. Cheng X, Nitsche G, Wallace JM (1995) Robustness of low-frequency circulation patterns derived from EOF and rotated EOF analyses. J Clim 8:1709-1713
5. Dehn M (1999) Application of an analog downscaling technique to the assessment of future landslide activity-a case study in the Italian Alps. Clim Res 13:103-113
6. Fraedrich K, Rückert K (1998) Metric adaption for analog forecasting. Physica A 254:379-393
7. Giorgi F, Mearns LO (1991) Approaches to the simulation of regional climate change: a review. Rev Geophys 29:191-216
8. González-Rouco JF (1997) Modelo de predicción de la precipitación peninsular en climas perturbados. PhD thesis, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Madrid
9. González-Rouco JF, Heyen H, Zorita E, Valero F (2000) Agreement between observed rainfall trends and climate change simulations in the southwest of Europe. J Clim 13: 3057-3065
10. González-Rouco JF, Jiménez JL, Quesada V, Valero F (2001) Quality control and homogeneity of precipitation data in the Southwest of Europe. J Clim 14:964-978
11. Huth R (1999) Statististical downscaling in central Europe: evaluation of methods and potential predictors. Clim Res 13:91-101
12. Jenne RL (1975) Data sets for meteorological research. Technical Note NCAR-TN/IA-111, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado. USA
13. Kidson JW, Thompson CS (1988) A comparison of statistical and model-based downscaling techniques for estimating local climate variations. J Clim 11:735-753
14. Lorenz EN (1969) Atmospheric predictability as revealed by naturally occurring analogues. J Atmos Sci 26:636-646
15. Luksch U, von Storch H (1999) An empirical approach for estimating macroturbulent heat transport conditional upon the mean state. J Atmos Sci 56:2070-2080
16. Murphy J (1999) An evaluation of statistical and dynamical techniques for downscaling local climate. J Clim 12: 2256-2284
17. New M, Hulme M, Jones P (2000) Representing twentieth-century space-time climate variability. Part II: Development of 1901-96 monthly grids of terrestrial surface climate. J Clim 13:2217-2238
18. North G, Bell T, Cahalan R, Moeng F (1982) Sampling errors in the estimation of empirical orthogonal functions. Mon Weather Rev 110:699-706
19. Richman MB (1986) Rotation of principal components. J Climatol 6:293-335
20. Rodríguez-Puebla C, Encinas AH, Nieto S, Garmendia J (1998) Spatial and temporal patterns of annual precipitation variability over the Iberian Peninsula. Int J Climatol 18:299-316
21. Ruosteenoja K (1988) Factors affecting the occurrence and lifetime of 500 mb height analogues: a study based on a large amount of data. Mon Weather Rev 116:368-376
22. Sáenz J, Zubillaga J, Rodríguez-Puebla C (2001a) Interannual variability of winter precipitation in northern Iberian Peninsula. Int J Climatol 21:1503-1513
23. Sáenz J, Zubillaga J, Rodríguez-Puebla C (2001b) Interannual winter temperature variability in the north of the Iberian Peninsula. Clim Res 16:169-179
24. Serrano A, García JE, Mateos VL, Cancillo ML, Garrido J (1999) Monthly modes of variation of precipitation over the Iberian Peninsula. J Clim 12:2894-2919
25. Tang B, Hsieh WW, Monahan AH, Tangang FT (2000) Skill comparisons between neural networks and canonical correlation analysis in predicting the Equatorial Pacific sea surface temperatures. J Clim 13:287-293
26. Timbal B, McAvaney BJ (2001) An analogue-based method to downscale surface air temperature: application for Australia. Clim Dyn 17:947-963
27. Timbal B, Dufour A, McAvaney B (2003) An estimate of future climate change for western France using a statistical downscaling technique. Clim Dyn 20:807-823
28. Toth Z (1991) Intercomparison of circulation similarity measures. Mon Weather Rev 119:55-64
29. Trigo IF, Davies TD, Bigg GR (1999) Objective climatology of cyclones in the Mediterranean region. J Clim 12: 1685-1696
30. Ulbrich U, Christoph M, Pinto JG, Corte-Real J (1999) Dependence of winter precipitation over Portugal on NAO and baroclinic wave activity. Int J Climatol 19: 379-390
31. van den Dool HM (1989) A new look at weather forecasting through analogues. Mon Weather Rev 117:2230-2247
32. van den Dool HM (1994) Searching for analogues, how long must we wait? Tellus A 46:314-324
33. von Storch H (1999) On the use of 'inflation' in statistical downscaling. J Clim 12:3505-3506
34. von Storch H, Navarra A (eds) (1995) Analysis of climate variability: applications of statistical techniques. Springer, Berlin
35. von Storch H, Zorita E, Cubasch U (1993) Downscaling of global climate change estimates to regional scales: An application to Iberian rainfall in wintertime. J Clim 6: 1161-1171
36. Wilby RL, Wigley TML (1997) Downscaling general circulation model output: a review of methods and limitations. Prog Phys Geogr 21(4):530-548
37. Wilks DS (1995) Statistical methods in the atmospheric sciences. Academic Press, San Diego
38. Zorita E, von Storch H (1999) The analog method as a simple statistical downscaling technique: comparison with more complicated methods. J Clim 12:2474-2489
39. Zorita E, Kharin V, von Storch H (1992) The atmospheric circulation and sea surface temperature in the North Atlantic area in winter: their interaction and relevance for Iberian precipitation. J Clim 5:1097-1108
40. Zorita E, Hughes JP, Lettemaier DP, von Storch H (1995) Stochastic characterization of regional circulation patterns for climate model diagnosis and estimation of local precipitation. J Clim 8:1023-1042