Twelve lessons from 'key technologies 2005': The French technology foresight exercise

Journal of Forecasting

Volumn 22, Issue 2, 2003, Pages 161-177

  Durand, Thomas ^a  

^a CM International   (France)

Author keywords

Critical technologies; Foresight methodology; Market needs; Organizational innovations; Technology foresight

Indexed keywords

ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL EFFECTS; INTERNET; SOCIETIES AND INSTITUTIONS; TECHNOLOGY; MARKETING; PUBLIC POLICY; TECHNOLOGY TRANSFER;

CRITICAL TECHNOLOGIES; TECHNOLOGY FORESIGHT;

TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING;

EID: 0142258721     PISSN: 02776693     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1002/for.856     Document Type: Article

References (30)

1. Abernathy WJ, Utterback J. 1975. A dynamic model of process and product innovation. Omega 3(6): 639-656.
2. Allen TJ. 1977. Managing the Flow of Technology. MIT Press: Cambridge, MA.
3. BMFT. 1993. Deutscher Delhi-Bericht zur Entwicklung von Wissenschaft und Technik. BMFT: Bonn.
4. Clark KB. 1985. The interaction of design hierarchies and market concepts in technological evolution. Research Policy 4: 235-251.
5. Cuhls K, Blind K, Grupp H. 1998. Delphi '98 umfrage. Studie zur Globalen Entwicklung von Wissenschaft und Technik. Fraunhofer ISI: Karlsruhe.
6. Dosi G. 1982. Technological paradigm and technological trajectories. Research Policy 11: 147-162.
7. Durand T. 1991. Forecasting the strategic impact of technological innovation on competitive dynamics in industries. In Technological Innovation, Henry B (ed.). Kluwer Academic Publishers: Drodrecht.
8. Durand T. 1992. Dual technological trees: Assessing the intensity and strategic significance of technological change. Research Policy No. 21, 361-380.
9. Durand T. 1996. National management of technology and innovation: integrating the firm's perspective into government policies. In Strategic Integration, Thomas H, O'Neal D (eds). John Wiley: New York.
10. Durand T. 1999. Innovation, trajectoire technologique, ressources technologiques, découverte, invention, stratégie technologique. In Encyclopédie de Gestion et de Management, Le Duff R (ed.). Dalloz: Paris.
11. Durand T, Dubreuil M. 2001. Humanizing the future: science and soft technologies. Foresight, Journal of Future Studies, Strategic Thinking and Policies 3(4): August, 285-295.
12. Freeman C. 1982. The Economics of Industrial Innovation. Frances Pinter: London.
13. Gille B. 1978. Histoire des techniques. Editions Gallimard-collection 'La pléiade': Paris.
14. Godet M. 1992. De l'Anticipation à l'Action: Manuel de Prospective et de Stratégie. Dunod: Paris.
15. Grupp H. 1994. Technology at the beginning of the 21st century. Technology Analysis & Strategic Management 6(4).
16. Henderson R, Clark K. 1990. Architectural innovation: the reconfiguration of existing product technologies and the failure of established firms. Administrative Science Quarterly 35: 9-30.
17. Kuhn TS. 1962, The Structure of Scientific Revolution. University of Chicago Press: Chicago, IL.
18. Martin BR, Irvine J. 1989. Research Foresight. Frances Pinter: London.
19. Ministère de l'Industrie. 1995. Les 100 technologies clés pour l'industrie Française à l'horizon 2000. Editions de l'Industrie, DGSI: Paris.
20. Morin J. 1985. L'excellence technologique. Publiunion: Paris.
21. Nelson R, Winter S. 1977. In search of a useful theory of innovation. Research Policy 6: 36-76.
22. Nistep. 1997. The Sixth Technology Forecast Survey-Future Technology in Japan toward Year 2005, Report 52, STA, Tokyo.
23. OST (Office of Science and Technology). 1995. Progress through Partnership; report of the Technology Foresight Steering group. HMSO: London.
24. OSTP, (Office of Science and Technology Policy). 1995. National Critical Technologies Report. Washington, DC.
25. Salo A. 2001. Incentives in technology foresight. International Journal of Technology Management 21(7/8).
26. Technologies Clés 2005]. 2000. Editions de l'Industrie: Paris.
27. Tushman ML, Anderson P. 1986. Technological discontinuities and organizational environments. Administrative Science Quarterly 31: 439-456.
28. Von Hippel E. 1988. The Sources of Innovation. Oxford University Press: Oxford.
29. Wack P. 1985a. Scenarios: uncharted waters ahead. Harvard Business Review Sept-Oct.
30. Wack P. 1985b. Scenarios: shooting the rapids. Harvard Business Review Nov-Dec.