Trends in track forecasting for tropical cyclones threatening the United States, 1970-2001

Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society

Volumn 84, Issue 9, 2003, Pages 1197-1203+1160

  Franklin, James L ^a   McAdie, Colin J ^a   Lawrence, Miles B ^a  

^a NOAA EARTH SYSTEM RESEARCH LABORATORY   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ERROR ANALYSIS; METEOROLOGY; STATISTICAL METHODS; STORMS;

LANDFALL POSITION;

WEATHER FORECASTING;

EID: 0142227063     PISSN: 00030007     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1175/BAMS-84-9-1197     Document Type: Review

References (9)

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2. _, and M. DeMaria, 1994: Verification of a nested barotropic hurricane track forecast model (VICBAR). Mon. Wea. Rev., 122, 2804-2815.
3. Chow, G. C., 1960: Tests of equality between sets of coefficients in two linear regressions. Econometrica, 28, 591-605.
4. Franklin, J. L., and M. DeMaria, 1992: The impact of Omega dropwindsonde observations on barotropic hurricane track forecasts. Mon. Wea. Rev., 120, 381-391.
5. McAdie, C. M., and M. B. Lawrence, 2000: Improvements in tropical cyclone track forecasting in the Atlantic basin, 1970-98. Bul. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 81, 989-997.
6. Neumann, C. B., 1972: An alternative to the Hurran tropical cyclone forecasting system. NOAA Tech. Memo. NWS SR 62, 24 pp. [Available from Environmental Science Information Center, Environmental Data Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 3300 Whitehaven St. NW, Washington, DC 20235.]
7. _, M. B. Lawrence, and E. L. Caso, 1977: Monte Carlo significance testing as applied to statistical tropical cyclone prediction models. J. Appl. Meteor., 16, 1165-1174.
8. Powell, M. D., and S. D. Aberson, 2001: Accuracy of United States tropical cyclone landfall forecasts in the Atlantic basin, 1976-2000. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 82, 2749-2767.
9. Rappaport, E. N., 2000: Loss of life in the United States associated with recent Atlantic tropical cyclones. Bull Amer. Meteor. Soc., 81, 2065-2073.