Outcome prediction in coronary artery bypass grafting and valve surgery in the Netherlands: Development of the Amphiascore and its comparison with the Euroscore

European Journal of Cardio-thoracic Surgery

Volumn 24, Issue 5, 2003, Pages 741-749

  Huijskes, Raymond V H P ^a   Rosseel, Peter M J ^b   Tijssen, Jan G P ^a  

^a ACADEMIC MEDICAL CENTER   (Netherlands)

^b AMPHIA HOSPITAL   (Netherlands)

Author keywords

Euroscore; Extended length of stay intensive care; In hospital death; Major adverse cardiac events; Outcome prediction

Indexed keywords

ADULT; AGED; AREA UNDER THE CURVE; ARTICLE; CALIBRATION; CONTROLLED STUDY; CORONARY ARTERY BYPASS GRAFT; FEMALE; HEART VALVE SURGERY; HOSPITAL PATIENT; HOSPITALIZATION; HUMAN; INFORMATION PROCESSING; INTENSIVE CARE UNIT; INTERMETHOD COMPARISON; LENGTH OF STAY; MAJOR CLINICAL STUDY; MALE; MORTALITY; MULTIVARIATE LOGISTIC REGRESSION ANALYSIS; NETHERLANDS; OUTCOMES RESEARCH; PREDICTION; PRIORITY JOURNAL; RANDOMIZATION; ROC CURVE; STATISTICAL MODEL; VALIDATION PROCESS;

AGED; AGED, 80 AND OVER; ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE; CORONARY ARTERY BYPASS; FEMALE; HEALTH STATUS INDICATORS; HEART VALVE DISEASES; HOSPITAL MORTALITY; HUMANS; LENGTH OF STAY; MALE; MIDDLE AGED; NETHERLANDS; POSTOPERATIVE COMPLICATIONS; PROGNOSIS; RISK ASSESSMENT; RISK FACTORS; ROC CURVE; SENSITIVITY AND SPECIFICITY; TREATMENT OUTCOME;

EID: 0142154310     PISSN: 10107940     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/S1010-7940(03)00471-8     Document Type: Article

References (24)

1. Parsonnet V., Dean D., Bernstein A.D. A method of uniform stratification of risk for evaluating the results of surgery in acquired adult heart disease. Circulation. 79:(6 Pt 2):1989;I3-I12.
2. Nashef S.A., Roques F., Michel P., Gauducheau E., Lemeshow S., Salamon R. European system for cardiac operative risk evaluation (EuroSCORE). Eur J Cardiothorac Surg. 16:(1):1999;9-13.
3. Wynne-Jones K., Jackson M., Grotte G., Bridgewater B. Limitations of the Parsonnet score for measuring risk stratified mortality in the north west of England. The North West Regional Cardiac Surgery Audit Steering Group. Heart. 84:(1):2000;71-78.
4. Bridgewater B., Neve H., Moat N., Hooper T., Jones M. Predicting operative risk for coronary artery surgery in the United Kingdom: a comparison of various risk prediction algorithms. Heart. 79:(4):1998;350-355.
5. Geissler H.J., Holzl P., Marohl S., Kuhn-Regnier F., Mehlhorn U., Sudkamp M., de Vivie E.R. Risk stratification in heart surgery: comparison of six score systems. Eur J Cardiothorac Surg. 17:(4):2000;400-406.
6. Sergeant P., de Worm E., Meyns B. Single centre, single domain validation of the EuroSCORE on a consecutive sample of primary and repeat CABG. Eur J Cardiothorac Surg. 20:(6):2001;1176-1182.
7. Pitkanen O., Niskanen M., Rehnberg S., Hippelainen M., Hynynen M. Intra-institutional prediction of outcome after cardiac surgery: comparison between a locally derived model and the EuroSCORE. Eur J Cardiothorac Surg. 18:(6):2000;703-710.
8. Kawachi Y., Nakashima A., Toshima Y., Arinaga K., Kawano H. Evaluation of the quality of cardiovascular surgery care using risk stratification analysis according to the EuroSCORE additive model. Circ J. 66:(2):2002;145-148.
9. Roques F., Nashef S.A., Michel P., Pinna Pintor P., David M., Baudet E. Does EuroSCORE work in individual European countries? Eur J Cardiothorac Surg. 18:(1):2000;27-30.
10. Kurki T.S., Jarvinen O., Kataja M.J., Laurikka J., Tarkka M. Performance of three preoperative risk indices; CABDEAL, EuroSCORE and Cleveland models in a prospective coronary bypass database. Eur J Cardiothorac Surg. 21:(3):2002;406-410.
11. Tu J.V., Jaglal S.B., Naylor C.D. Multicenter validation of a risk index for mortality, intensive care unit stay, and overall hospital length of stay after cardiac surgery. Steering Committee of the Provincial Adult Cardiac Care Network of Ontario. Circulation. 91:(3):1995;677-684.
12. Higgins T.L., Estafanous F.G., Loop F.D., Beck G.J., Blum J.M., Paranandi L. Stratification of morbidity and mortality outcome by preoperative risk factors in coronary artery bypass patients. A clinical severity score. J Am Med Assoc. 267:(17):1992;2344-2348.
13. Tuman K.J., McCarthy R.J., March R.J., Najafi H., Ivankovich A.D. Morbidity and duration of ICU stay after cardiac surgery. A model for preoperative risk assessment. Chest. 102:(1):1992;36-44.
14. Hosmer D.W., Hosmer T., Le Cessie S., Lemeshow S. A comparison of goodness-of-fit tests for the logistic regression model. Stat Med. 16:(9):1997;965-980.
15. Cohen J. Weighted kappa: nominal scale agreement with provision for scaled disagreement or partial credit. Psychol Bull. 70:1968;213-220.
16. Landis J.R., Koch G.G. The measurement of observer agreement for categorical data. Biometrics. 33:1977;671-679.
17. Stoica S.C., Sharples L.D., Ahmed I., Roques F., Large S.R., Nashef S.A. Preoperative risk prediction and intraoperative events in cardiac surgery. Eur J Cardiothorac Surg. 21:(1):2002;41-46.
18. Fortescue E.B., Kahn K., Bates D.W. Development and validation of a clinical prediction rule for major adverse outcomes in coronary bypass grafting. Am J Cardiol. 88:(11):2001;1251-1258.
19. Higgins T.L., Estafanous F.G., Loop F.D., Beck G.J., Lee J.C., Starr N.J., Knaus W.A., Cosgrove D.M. 3rd. ICU admission score for predicting morbidity and mortality risk after coronary artery bypass grafting. Ann Thorac Surg. 64:(4):1997;1050-1058.
20. Roques F., Gabrielle F., Michel P., De Vincentiis C., David M., Baudet E. Quality of care in adult heart surgery: proposal for a self-assessment approach based on a French multicenter study. Eur J Cardiothorac Surg. 9:(8):1995;433-439. discussion 439-40.
21. Bernstein A.D., Parsonnet V. Bedside estimation of risk as an aid for decision-making in cardiac surgery. Ann Thorac Surg. 69:(3):2000;823-828.
22. Dahlin L.G., Olin C., Svedjeholm R. Perioperative myocardial infarction in cardiac surgery - risk factors and consequences. A case control study. Scand Cardiovasc J. 34:(5):2000;522-527.
23. Charlson M., Krieger K.H., Peterson J.C., Hayes J., Isom O.W. Predictors and outcomes of cardiac complications following elective coronary bypass grafting. Proc Assoc Am Physicians. 111:(6):1999;622-632.
24. Sprung J., Abdelmalak B., Gottlieb A., Mayhew C., Hammel J., Levy P.J., O'Hara P., Hertzer N.R. Analysis of risk factors for myocardial infarction and cardiac mortality after major vascular surgery. Anesthesiology. 93:(1):2000;129-140.