Attibution of regional-scale temperature changes to anthropogenic and natural causes

Geophysical Research Letters

Volumn 30, Issue 14, 2003, Pages

  Stott, Peter A ^a  

^a MET OFFICE   (United Kingdom)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ATMOSPHERIC AEROSOLS; CARBON BLACK; CLIMATOLOGY; COOLING; GEOGRAPHICAL REGIONS; GREENHOUSE EFFECT; AEROSOLS; GREENHOUSE GASES;

ANTHROPOGENIC CAUSES;

ATMOSPHERIC TEMPERATURE; CARBON;

ANTHROPOGENIC EFFECT; ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY; GLOBAL WARMING; GREENHOUSE GAS; TEMPERATURE ANOMALY; TWENTIETH CENTURY;

AEROSOL COOLING; GAS CONCENTRATION; GREENHOUSE WARMING; OPTIMAL DETECTION; REGIONAL SCALE; SULFATE AEROSOLS; TEMPERATURE CHANGES; TWENTIETH CENTURY;

EID: 0141907747     PISSN: 00948276     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: None     Document Type: Article

References (15)

1. Allen, M. R., and P. A. Stott, Estimating signal amplitudes in optimal fingerprinting. Part I: theory, Clim. Dyn, in press, 2003.
2. Allen, M. R., and S. F. B. Tett, Checking for model consistency in optimal fingerprinting, Clim. Dyn., 15, 419-434, 1999.
3. Delworth, T. L., and T. R. Knutson, Simulation of early 20th century global warming, Science, 287, 2246-2250, 2000.
4. Gillett, N. P., F. W. Zwiers, A. J. Weaver, G. C. Hegerl, M. R. Allen, and P. A. Stott, Detecting anthropogenic influence with a multi-model ensemble, Geophys. Res. Lett., 29, doi 10.1029/2002GL015836, 2002.
5. Giorgi, F., Variability and trends of sub-continental scale surface climate in the 20th century. part I: observations, Clim. Dyn., 18, 675-691, 2002.
6. Hasselmann, K., Multi-pattern fingerprint method for detection and attribution of climate change, Clim. Dyn., 13, 601-611, 1997.
7. Haywood, J. M., R. J. Stouffer, R. T. Wetherald, S. Manabe, and V. Ramaswamy, Transient response of a coupled model to estimated changes in greenhouse gas and sulfate concentrations. Geophys. Res. Lett., 24, 1335-1338, 1997.
8. Johns, T. C., et al., Anthropogenic climate change for 1860 to 2100 simulated with the HadCM3 model under updated emissions scenarios, Clim. Dyn., 20, 583-612, 2003.
9. Jones, P. D., and A. Moberg, Hemispheric and large-scale surface air temperature variations: An extensive revision and an update to 2001., J. Climate, 16, 206-223, 2003.
10. Mitchell, J. F. B., D. J. Karoly, G. C. Hegerl, F. W. Zwiers, M. R. Allen, and J. Marengo, Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, chap. 12: Detection of Climate Change and Attribution of Causes, pp., 525-582, Cambridge University Press. 2001, editors: J. T. Houghton, Y. Ding, D. J. Griggs, M. Noguer, P. J. van der Linden, X. Dai, K. Maskell, and C. A. Johnsen.
11. Stott, P. A., and S. F. B. Tett, Scale-dependent detection of climate change, J. Climate, 11, 3282-3294, 1998.
12. Stott, P. A., S. F. B. Tett, G. S. Jones, M. R. Allen, J. F. B. Mitchell, and G. J. Jenkins, External control of 20th century temperature by natural and anthropogenic forcings, Science, 290, 2133-2137, 2000.
13. Stott, P. A., S. F. B. Tett, G. S. Jones, M. R. Allen, W. J. Ingram, and J. F. B. Mitchell, Attribution of twentieth century temperature change to natural and anthropogenic causes, Clim. Dyn., 17, 1-21, 2001.
14. Tett, S. F. B., et al., Estimation of natural and anthropogenic contributions to 20th century temperature change, J. Geophys. Res., 107, doi 10.1029/2000JD000028, 2002.
15. Zwiers, F. W., and X. Zhang, Towards regional-scale climate change detection, J. Clim., 16, 793-797, 2003.