Probabilistic expert systems for DNA mixture profiling

Theoretical Population Biology

Volumn 63, Issue 3, 2003, Pages 191-205

  Mortera, J ^a   Dawid, A P ^b   Lauritzen, S L ^c  

^a ROMA TRE UNIVERSITY   (Italy)

^b UNIVERSITY COLLEGE LONDON   (United Kingdom)

^c AALBORG UNIVERSITY   (Denmark)

Author keywords

Bayesian network; DNA mixture; DNA profile; Forensic identification; PES; Silent allele

Indexed keywords

DNA FINGERPRINTING; EXPERT SYSTEM; IDENTIFICATION METHOD; POPULATION GENETICS;

ALLELE; ARTICLE; BAYES THEOREM; DNA FINGERPRINTING; EXPERT SYSTEM; FORENSIC MEDICINE; HUMAN; METHODOLOGY; PROBABILITY; STATISTICS; UNITED KINGDOM;

ALLELES; BAYES THEOREM; DNA FINGERPRINTING; EXPERT SYSTEMS; FORENSIC MEDICINE; GREAT BRITAIN; HUMANS; PROBABILITY;

EID: 0043135062     PISSN: 00405809     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/S0040-5809(03)00006-6     Document Type: Article

References (21)

1. Brenner C.H. Mixed stain calculator. Olaisen B., Brinkmann B., Lincoln P.J. Progress in Forensic Genetics. Vol. 7:1998;556-558 Elsevier, Amsterdam.
2. Brenner C.H., Fimmers R., Baur M.P. Likelihood ratios for mixed stains when the number of donors cannot be agreed. Internat. J. Legal Med. 109:1996;218-219.
3. Cook R., Evett I.W., Jackson G., Jones P.J., Lambert J.A. A hierarchy of propositions. deciding which level to address in casework Sci. Justice. 38:1998;151-156.
4. Cowell R.G., Dawid A.P., Lauritzen S.L., Spiegelhalter D.J. Probabilistic Networks and Expert Systems. 1999;Springer, New York.
5. Curran J.M., Triggs C.M., Buckleton J., Weir B.S. Interpreting mixtures in structured populations. J. Forensic Sci. 44:1999;987-995.
6. Dawid A.P. Applications of a general propagation algorithm for probabilistic expert systems. Statist. Comput. 2:1992;25-36.
7. Dawid, A.P., 2003. An object-oriented Bayesian network for estimating mutation rates. In: Proceedings of the Ninth International Workshop on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics, January 3-6, 2003, Key West, Florida. Online @ http://research.microsoft.com/conferences/aistats2003/proceedings/188. pdf.
8. Dawid A.P., Mortera J. Coherent analysis of forensic identification evidence. J. Roy. Statist. Soc. Ser. B. 58:1996;425-443.
9. Dawid A.P., Mortera J. Forensic identification with imperfect evidence. Biometrika. 85:1998;835-849.
10. Dawid A.P., Mortera J., Pascali V.L., van Boxel D.W. Probabilistic expert systems for forensic inference from genetic markers. Scand. J. Statist. 29:2002;577-595.
11. Evett I.W., Weir B.S. Interpreting DNA Evidence. 1998;Sinauer, Sunderland, MA.
12. Evett I.W., Buffery C., Wilcott G., Stoney D. A guide to interpreting single locus profiles of DNA mixtures in forensic cases. J. Forensic Sci. Soc. 31:1991;41-47.
13. Jensen F.V., Lauritzen S.L., Olesen K.G. Bayesian updating in causal probabilistic networks by local computation. Comput. Statist. Quart. 4:1990;269-282.
14. Lauritzen S.L., Mortera J. Bounding the number of contributors to mixed DNA stains. Forensic Sci. Internat. 130:2002;125-126.
15. Lauritzen S.L., Spiegelhalter D.J. Local computations with probabilities on graphical structures and their application to expert systems. (with discussion) J. Roy. Statist. Soc. Ser. B. 50:1988;157-224.
16. Mortera, J., 2003. Analysis of DNA mixtures using probabilistic expert systems. In: Green, P.J., Hjort, N.L., Richardson, S. (Eds.), Highly Structured Stochastic Systems. Oxford University Press.
17. National Research Council, 1996. The Evaluation of Forensic DNA Evidence. National Academy Press, Washington, DC.
18. Shenoy P.P., Shafer G.R. Axioms for probability and belief-function propagation. Shachter R.D., Levitt T.S., Kanal L.N., Lemmer J.F. Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence. Vol. 4:1990;169-198 North-Holland, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
19. Stockmarr, A., 1998. Assessing evidence to mixed samples in DNA profiling analysis. Research Report 98/14, Department of Biostatistics, University of Copenhagen.
20. Weir B.S. DNA statistics in the Simpson matter. Nat. Genet. 11:1995;366-368.
21. Weir B.S., Triggs C.M., Starling L., Stowell L.I., Walsh K.A.J., Buckleton J.S. Interpreting DNA mixtures. J. Forensic Sci. 42:1997;213-222.