Stochastic modelling of the error structure of real-time predicted rainfall and rainfall field generation

IAHS-AISH Publication

Volumn , Issue 282, 2003, Pages 66-73

  Tachikawa, Yasuto ^a   Komatsu, Yoshimitu ^a   Takara, Kaoru ^a   Shiiba, Michiharu ^a  

^a KYOTO UNIVERSITY   (Japan)

Author keywords

Precipitation forecasting; Random field; Translation model; Uncertainty

Indexed keywords

COMPUTER SIMULATION; ERROR ANALYSIS; MATRIX ALGEBRA; REAL TIME SYSTEMS; RIVERS; RUNOFF; STATISTICAL METHODS;

STOCHASTIC MODELING;

RAIN;

ERROR ANALYSIS; NUMERICAL MODEL; PRECIPITATION (CLIMATOLOGY); RADAR IMAGERY; WEATHER FORECASTING;

JAPAN;

EID: 0042769379     PISSN: 01447815     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: None     Document Type: Article

References (7)

1. Davis, M. W. (1987) Generating large stochastic simulations-the matrix polynomial approximation method. Math. Geol. 19(2), 99-107.
2. Georgakakos, K. P. & Krajewski, W. F. (1995) Worth of radar data in the real-time prediction of mean areal rainfall by nonadvective physically-based models. In: New Uncertainty Concepts in Hydrology and Water Resources (ed. by Z. W. Kundzewicz), 168-180. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK.
3. Georgakakos, K. P. (2000) Covariance propagation and updating in the context of real-time radar data assimilation by quantitative precipitation forecast models, J. Hydrol. 239, 115-129.
4. Shiiba, M., Takasao, T. & Nakakita, E. (1984) Investigation of short-term rainfall prediction method by a translation model. (Proc. 28th Annual Conf. on Hydraulics, JSCE) 423-428 (in Japanese). Japanese Society of Civil Engineers, Tokyo, Japan.
5. Takasao, T. & Shiiba, M. (1985) Development of techniques for on-line forecasting of rainfall and runoff. Natural Dis. Sci. 6(2), 83-112.
6. Takasao, T., Shiiba, M. & Nakakita, E. (1994) A real-time estimation of the accuracy of short-term rainfall prediction using radar. In: Stochastic and Statistical Methods in Hydrology and Environmental Engineering (ed. by K. W. Hipel) 2, 339-351. Kluwer Academic Publishers, The Netherlands.
7. Tachikwa, Y. & Shiiba, M. (2000) Gaussian and log normal random field generation based on the square root decomposition of a covariance matrix. J. Hydraul. Coastal Environ. Engng JSCE 656(II-52), 39-46 (in Japanese).