메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 22, Issue 5, 2003, Pages 359-375

On SETAR non-linearity and forecasting

Author keywords

Forecasting; Non linearity; Uncertainty

Indexed keywords

COMPUTER SIMULATION; ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL EFFECTS; MONTE CARLO METHODS; REGRESSION ANALYSIS;

EID: 0041929375     PISSN: 02776693     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1002/for.863     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (25)

References (47)
  • 1
    • 0000209591 scopus 로고
    • Optimal tests when a nuisance parameter is present only under the alternative
    • Andrews DWK, Ploberger W. 1994. Optimal tests when a nuisance parameter is present only under the alternative. Econometrica 62: 1383-1414.
    • (1994) Econometrica , vol.62 , pp. 1383-1414
    • Andrews, D.W.K.1    Ploberger, W.2
  • 2
    • 0035636851 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Testing density forecasts, with applications to risk management
    • Berkowitz J. 2001. Testing density forecasts, with applications to risk management. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 19: 465-474.
    • (2001) Journal of Business and Economic Statistics , vol.19 , pp. 465-474
    • Berkowitz, J.1
  • 3
    • 0000210367 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A threshold model for the French franc/Deutschmark exchange rate
    • Chappell D, Padmore J, Mistry P, Ellis C. 1996. A threshold model for the French franc/Deutschmark exchange rate. Journal of Forecasting 15: 155-164.
    • (1996) Journal of Forecasting , vol.15 , pp. 155-164
    • Chappell, D.1    Padmore, J.2    Mistry, P.3    Ellis, C.4
  • 5
    • 84962992067 scopus 로고
    • Econometric evaluation of linear macro-economic models
    • Chong YY, Hendry DF. 1986. Econometric evaluation of linear macro-economic models. Review of Economic Studies 53: 671-690. Reprinted in Granger CWJ. (ed.) 1990. Modelling Economic Series. Clarendon Press: Oxford.
    • (1986) Review of Economic Studies , vol.53 , pp. 671-690
    • Chong, Y.Y.1    Hendry, D.F.2
  • 6
    • 84962992067 scopus 로고
    • Clarendon Press: Oxford
    • Chong YY, Hendry DF. 1986. Econometric evaluation of linear macro-economic models. Review of Economic Studies 53: 671-690. Reprinted in Granger CWJ. (ed.) 1990. Modelling Economic Series. Clarendon Press: Oxford.
    • (1990) Modelling Economic Series
    • Granger, C.W.J.1
  • 8
    • 0003774493 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Cambridge University Press: Cambridge. The Marshall Lectures on Economic Forecasting
    • Clements MP, Hendry DF. 1998. Forecasting Economic Time Series. Cambridge University Press: Cambridge. The Marshall Lectures on Economic Forecasting.
    • (1998) Forecasting Economic Time Series
    • Clements, M.P.1    Hendry, D.F.2
  • 10
    • 0002596525 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A comparison of the forecast performance of Markov-switching and threshold autoregressive models of US GNP
    • Clements MP, Krolzig H-M. 1998. A comparison of the forecast performance of Markov-switching and threshold autoregressive models of US GNP. Econometrics Journal 1: C47-75.
    • (1998) Econometrics Journal , vol.1
    • Clements, M.P.1    Krolzig, H.-M.2
  • 11
    • 0031498328 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The performance of alternative forecasting methods for SETAR models
    • Clements MP, Smith J. 1997. The performance of alternative forecasting methods for SETAR models. International Journal of Forecasting 13: 463-475.
    • (1997) International Journal of Forecasting , vol.13 , pp. 463-475
    • Clements, M.P.1    Smith, J.2
  • 12
    • 0033468778 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A Monte Carlo study of the forecasting performance of empirical SETAR models
    • Clements MP, Smith J. 1999. A Monte Carlo study of the forecasting performance of empirical SETAR models. Journal of Applied Econometrics 14: 124-141.
    • (1999) Journal of Applied Econometrics , vol.14 , pp. 124-141
    • Clements, M.P.1    Smith, J.2
  • 13
    • 0035314977 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bootstrapping prediction intervals for autoregressive models
    • Clements MP, Taylor N. 2001. Bootstrapping prediction intervals for autoregressive models. International Journal of Forecasting 17: 247-267.
    • (2001) International Journal of Forecasting , vol.17 , pp. 247-267
    • Clements, M.P.1    Taylor, N.2
  • 14
    • 0017755296 scopus 로고
    • Hypothesis testing when a nuisance parameter is present only under the alternative
    • Davies RB. 1977. Hypothesis testing when a nuisance parameter is present only under the alternative. Biometrika 64: 247-254.
    • (1977) Biometrika , vol.64 , pp. 247-254
    • Davies, R.B.1
  • 15
    • 24944532669 scopus 로고
    • Hypothesis testing when a nuisance parameter is present only under the alternative
    • Davies RB. 1987. Hypothesis testing when a nuisance parameter is present only under the alternative. Biometrika 74: 33-43.
    • (1987) Biometrika , vol.74 , pp. 33-43
    • Davies, R.B.1
  • 17
    • 38249010382 scopus 로고
    • Some recent developments in non-linear time series modelling, testing and forecasting
    • De Gooijer JG, Kumar K. 1992. Some recent developments in non-linear time series modelling, testing and forecasting. International Journal of Forecasting 8: 135-156.
    • (1992) International Journal of Forecasting , vol.8 , pp. 135-156
    • De Gooijer, J.G.1    Kumar, K.2
  • 18
    • 0347623647 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluating density forecasts: With applications to financial risk management
    • Diebold FX, Gunther TA, Tay AS. (1998). Evaluating density forecasts: With applications to financial risk management. International Economic Review 39: 863-883.
    • (1998) International Economic Review , vol.39 , pp. 863-883
    • Diebold, F.X.1    Gunther, T.A.2    Tay, A.S.3
  • 20
    • 0043254388 scopus 로고
    • A practical test for univariate and multivariate normality
    • Nuffield College
    • Doornik JA, Hansen H. 1994. A practical test for univariate and multivariate normality. Discussion paper, Nuffield College.
    • (1994) Discussion Paper
    • Doornik, J.A.1    Hansen, H.2
  • 22
    • 0001342006 scopus 로고
    • A new approach to the economic analysis of nonstationary time series and the business cycle
    • Hamilton JD. 1989. A new approach to the economic analysis of nonstationary time series and the business cycle. Econometrica 57: 357-384.
    • (1989) Econometrica , vol.57 , pp. 357-384
    • Hamilton, J.D.1
  • 23
    • 0030373966 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Inference when a nuisance parameter is not identified under the null hypothesis
    • Hansen BE. 1996. Inference when a nuisance parameter is not identified under the null hypothesis. Econometrica 64: 413-430.
    • (1996) Econometrica , vol.64 , pp. 413-430
    • Hansen, B.E.1
  • 28
    • 38249003585 scopus 로고
    • Non-linearities in foreign exchange markets: A different perspective
    • Kräger H, Kugler P. 1993. Non-linearities in foreign exchange markets: a different perspective. Journal of International Money and Finance 12: 195-208.
    • (1993) Journal of International Money and Finance , vol.12 , pp. 195-208
    • Kräger, H.1    Kugler, P.2
  • 30
    • 0031541876 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Nonlinear aspects of goods-market arbitrage and adjustment: Heckscher's commodity points revisited
    • Obstfeld M, Taylor AM. 1997. Nonlinear aspects of goods-market arbitrage and adjustment: Heckscher's commodity points revisited. Journal of the Japanese and International Economies 11: 441-479.
    • (1997) Journal of the Japanese and International Economies , vol.11 , pp. 441-479
    • Obstfeld, M.1    Taylor, A.M.2
  • 32
    • 51249168786 scopus 로고
    • Testing for non-linear dependence in inter-war exchange rates
    • Peel DA, Speight AEH. 1994. Testing for non-linear dependence in inter-war exchange rates. Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv 130: 391-417.
    • (1994) Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv , vol.130 , pp. 391-417
    • Peel, D.A.1    Speight, A.E.H.2
  • 34
    • 0001329130 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Nonlinear interest rate dynamics and implications for the term structure
    • Pfann GA, Schotman PC, Tschernig R. 1996. Nonlinear interest rate dynamics and implications for the term structure. Journal of Econometrics 74: 149-176.
    • (1996) Journal of Econometrics , vol.74 , pp. 149-176
    • Pfann, G.A.1    Schotman, P.C.2    Tschernig, R.3
  • 38
    • 84923053681 scopus 로고
    • Specification, estimation and evaluation of smooth transition autoregressive models
    • Teräsvirta T. 1994. Specification, estimation and evaluation of smooth transition autoregressive models. Journal of the American Statistical Association 89: 208-218.
    • (1994) Journal of the American Statistical Association , vol.89 , pp. 208-218
    • Teräsvirta, T.1
  • 40
    • 84979455306 scopus 로고
    • Some advances in non-linear and adaptive modelling in time-series
    • Tiao GC, Tsay RS. 1994. Some advances in non-linear and adaptive modelling in time-series. Journal of Forecasting 13: 109-131.
    • (1994) Journal of Forecasting , vol.13 , pp. 109-131
    • Tiao, G.C.1    Tsay, R.S.2
  • 41
    • 0002627237 scopus 로고
    • On a threshold model
    • Chen CH. (ed.). Sijhoff and Noordoff: Amsterdam
    • Tong H. 1978. On a threshold model. In Pattern Recognition and Signal Processing, Chen CH. (ed.). Sijhoff and Noordoff: Amsterdam; 101-141.
    • (1978) Pattern Recognition and Signal Processing , pp. 101-141
    • Tong, H.1
  • 45
    • 0012827471 scopus 로고
    • Large-scale macroeconometric modelling
    • Pesaran MH, Wickens MR. (eds.). Basil Blackwell: Oxford
    • Wallis KF. 1995. Large-scale macroeconometric modelling. In Handbook of Applied Econometrics: Macroeconomics, Pesaran MH, Wickens MR. (eds.). Basil Blackwell: Oxford.
    • (1995) Handbook of Applied Econometrics: Macroeconomics
    • Wallis, K.F.1
  • 46
    • 0030353235 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Asymptotic inference about predictive ability
    • West KD. 1996. Asymptotic inference about predictive ability. Econometrica 64: 1067-1084.
    • (1996) Econometrica , vol.64 , pp. 1067-1084
    • West, K.D.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.