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Volumn 15, Issue 3, 1999, Pages 273-289

Level-adjusted exponential smoothing for modeling planned discontinuities

Author keywords

Adjusting forecasts; Discontinuities; Exponential smoothing; Holt Winters; Interventions; Judgmental forecasting; Level shifts; Level adjusted exponential smoothing; Policy changes; Special events; Time series

Indexed keywords


EID: 0041850835     PISSN: 01692070     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/S0169-2070(98)00083-1     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (14)

References (18)
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  • 5
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    • Expert opinions about extrapolation and the mystery of the overlooked discontinuities
    • Collopy F., Armstrong J.S. Expert opinions about extrapolation and the mystery of the overlooked discontinuities. International Journal of Forecasting. 8:1992;575-582.
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    • Collopy, F.1    Armstrong, J.S.2
  • 6
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    • A pragmatic view of accuracy measurement in forecasting
    • Flores B.E. A pragmatic view of accuracy measurement in forecasting. Omega. 14:1986;93-98.
    • (1986) Omega , vol.14 , pp. 93-98
    • Flores, B.E.1
  • 7
    • 84989431942 scopus 로고
    • Forecasting with some guidelines for model selection
    • Gardner E.S., Dannenbring D.G. Forecasting with some guidelines for model selection. Decision Science. 11:1980;370-383.
    • (1980) Decision Science , vol.11 , pp. 370-383
    • Gardner, E.S.1    Dannenbring, D.G.2
  • 8
    • 38249002719 scopus 로고
    • Improving judgemental time series forecasting: A review of the guidance provided by research
    • Goodwin P., Wright G. Improving judgemental time series forecasting: a review of the guidance provided by research. International Journal of Forecasting. 9:1993;147-161.
    • (1993) International Journal of Forecasting , vol.9 , pp. 147-161
    • Goodwin, P.1    Wright, G.2
  • 9
    • 84928448977 scopus 로고
    • Use of special event data in government information systems
    • Gorr, W. L. (1986). Use of special event data in government information systems. Public Administration Review, 46, 532-539.
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    • Gorr, W.L.1
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    • Exponential smoothing with an adaptive response rate
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    • Trigg, D.W.1    Leach, A.G.2
  • 15
    • 0030102832 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Judgemental and statistical time series forecasting: A review of the literature
    • Webby R., O'Connor M. Judgemental and statistical time series forecasting: a review of the literature. International Journal of Forecasting. 12:1996;91-118.
    • (1996) International Journal of Forecasting , vol.12 , pp. 91-118
    • Webby, R.1    O'Connor, M.2
  • 18
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    • Beyond accuracy: Comparison of criteria used to select forecasting methods
    • Yokum J.T., Armstrong J.S. Beyond accuracy: comparison of criteria used to select forecasting methods. International Journal of Forecasting. 11:1995;591-597.
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    • Yokum, J.T.1    Armstrong, J.S.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.