The effect of climate change on global potato production

American Journal of Potato Research

Volumn 80, Issue 4, 2003, Pages 271-279

  Hijmans, Robert J ^a  

^a INTERNATIONAL POTATO CENTER   (Peru)

Author keywords

Adaptation; Geographic information systems; GIS; Heat tolerance; Potential yield; Simulation; Solanum tuberosum

Indexed keywords

SOLANUM; SOLANUM TUBEROSUM;

EID: 0041784639     PISSN: 1099209X     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/BF02855363     Document Type: Article

References (32)

1. Carter TR, RA Saarikko, and KJ Niemi. 1996. Assessing the risks and uncertainties of regional crop potential under a changing climate in Finland. Agr Food Sci Finland 5:329-350.
2. Davies A, T Jenkins, A Pike, J Shaq, I Carson, CJ Pollock, and MI Parry. 1996. Modelling the predicted geographic and economic response of UK cropping systems to climate change scenarios: the case of potatoes. Aspects Appl Biol 45:63-69.
3. De Temmerman L, M Bindi, J Craigon, A Fangmeier, A Hacour, H Pleijel, K Vandermeiren, V Vorne, and J Wolf. 2000. Changing Climate and Potential Impacts on Potato Yield and Quality. Veterinary and Agrochemical Research Centre, Tervuren, Belgium.
4. Ewing EE, and PC Struik. 1992. Tuber formation in potato: induction, initiation and growth. Hort Rev 14:89-198.
5. Haverkort AJ. 1990. Ecology of potato cropping systems in relation to latitude and altitude. Agr Syst 32:251-272.
6. Hijmans RJ. 2001. Global distribution of the potato crop. Am J Potato Res 78:403-412.
7. Hijmans RJ, B Condori, R Carillo, and MJ Kropff. 2003. A quantitative and constraint-specific method to assess the potential impact of new agricultural technology: the case of frost resistant potato for the Altiplano (Peru and Bolivia). Agr Syst. 76: 8g5-g11.
8. Houghton JT, Y Ding, DJ Griggs, M Noguer, PJ van der Linden, D Xiaosu, K Maskell, and CA Johnson (eds). 2001. Climate Change 2001. The Scientific Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK.
9. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Data Distribution Center. 1999. Providing climate change and related scenarios for impact assessment. CD-ROM. Version 1.0. Climate Research Unit, University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK.
10. Jeffree CE, and EP Jeffree. 1996. Redistribution of the potential geographical ranges of mistletoe and Colorado beetle in Europe in response to the temperature component of climate change. Funct Ecol 10(5): 562-577.
11. Khanna ML. 1966. Breeding potato cultivars tolerant to higher thermoperiods. Current Sci 35(6): 143-144.
12. Kaukoranta T. 1996. Impact of global warming on potato late blight: Risk, yield loss and control. Agr Food Sci Finland 5:311-327.
13. Kooman PL. 1995. Yielding ability of potato crops as influenced by temperature and daylenght. PhD thesis, Wageningen Agricultural University. Wageningen, Netherlands.
14. Kooman PL, and AJ Haverkort. 1995. Modelling development and growth of the potato crop influenced by temperature and daylength: LINTUL-POTATO. In: AJ Haverkort and DKL MacKerron (eds), Potato Ecology and Modeling of Crops under Conditions Limiting Growth. Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht, Netherlands. pp. 41-60.
15. Leemans R, and AM Solomon. 1993. Modeling the potential change in yield and distribution of the Earth's crops under a warmed climate. Climate Res 3:79-96.
16. Levy D. 1984. Cultivated Solanum tuberosum L. as a source for the selection of cultivars adapted to hot climates. Trop Agr 61(3): 167-170.
17. McCarthy JJ, OF Canziani, NA Leary, DJ Dokken, and KS White, 2001. Climate Change 2001. Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK.
18. 2 enrichment of potato (Solanum tuberosum L.): development, growth and yield. Global Change Biol 4:163-172.
19. New M, M Hulme, and P Jones. 1999. Representing twentieth-century space-time climate variability. Part I: development of a 1961-1990 mean monthly terrestrial climatology. J Climate 12:829-855
20. Nonhebel S. 1993. The importance of weather data in crop growth simulation models and assessment of climatic change effects. Ph.D. thesis, Wageningen Agricultural University, Wageningen, Netherlands.
21. Peiris DR, JW Crawford, C Grashoff, RA Jefferies, JR Porter, and B Marshall. 1996. A simulation study of crop growth and development under climate change. Agr For Meteorol 79:271-287.
22. Reynolds MP, and EE Ewing. 1989a. Effects of high air and soil temperature stress on growth and tuberization in Solanum tuberosum. Ann Bot 64(3): 241-247.
23. Reynolds MP, and EE Ewing. 1989b. Heat tolerance in tuber bearing Solanum species: A protocol for screening. Am Potato J 66(2): 63-74.
24. Rosenzweig C, and D Hillel. 1998. Climate Change and the Global Harvest: Potential Impacts of the Greenhouse Effect on Agriculture. Oxford University Press, New York.
25. Rosenzweig C, and D Liverman. 1992. Predicted effects of climate change on agriculture: A comparison of temperate and tropical regions. In: SK Majumdar (ed), Global Climate Change: Implications, Challenges, and Mitigation Measures. The Pennsylvania Academy of Sciences, Philadelphia. pp. 342-61.
26. Rosenzweig C, and ML Parry. 1994. Potential impact of climate change on world food supply. Nature 367:133-138.
27. Rosenzweig C, J Phillips, R Goldberg, J Carroll, and T Hodges. 1996. Potential impacts of climate change on citrus and potato production in the US. Agr Syst 52(4): 455-479.
28. Scott GJ, MW Rosegrant, and C Ringler. 2000. Global projections for root and tuber crops to the year 2020. Food Policy 25(5): 561-597.
29. Stol W, GHJ de Koning, AJ Haverkort, PL Kooman, H van Keulen, and FWT Penning de Vries. 1991. Agro-ecological characterization for potato production. A simulation study at the request of the International Potato Center (CIP), Lima, Peru. CABO-DLO, Report 155.
30. Tai GCC, D Levy, and WK Coleman. 1994. Path analysis of genotype-environment interactons of potatoes exposed to increasing warm-climate constraints. Euphytica 75(1-2): 49-61.
31. Van der Zaag P, and AL Demagante. 1988. Potato (Solanum spp.) in an isohyperthermic environment. 3: Evaluation of clones. Field Crops Res 19:167-181.
32. Van Keulen H, and W Stol, W. 1995. Agro-ecological zonation for potato production. In: AJ Haverkort and DJL MacKerron (eds), Potato Ecology and Modeling of Crops under Conditions Limiting Growth. Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht, Netherlands. pp. 357-372.