What experiment did we just do? Counterfactual error statistics and uncertainties about the reference class

Philosophy of Science

Volumn 69, Issue 2, 2002, Pages 279-299

  Staley, Kent W ^a  

^a SAINT LOUIS UNIVERSITY   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EID: 0041736473     PISSN: 00318248     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1086/341054     Document Type: Article

References (27)

1. Abe, F., D. Amidei, et al. [CDF Collaboration] (1992), "Limit on the Top-Quark Mass from Proton-Antiproton Collisions at √s = 1.8 TeV", Physical Review D 45: 3921-3948.
2. _ (1994), "Evidence for Top Quark Production in p̄ p Collisions at √s = 1.8 TeV", Physical Review D 50: 2966-3026.
3. Achinstein, Peter (1995), "Explanation v. Prediction: Which Carries More Weight?", in David Hull, Micky Forbes, and Richard Burian (eds.), PSA 1994, vol. 2. East Lansing, MI: Philosophy of Science Association, 156-64.
4. _ (2000), "Why Philosophical Theories of Evidence Are (and Ought to Be) Ignored by Scientists", Philosophy of Science 67(Proceedings): S180-92.
5. _ (2001), The Book of Evidence. New York: Oxford University Press.
6. Berger, James O. and Robert L. Wolpert (1984), The Likelihood Principle. Hayward, California: Institute of Mathematical Statistics.
7. Binkley, Morris (1995), Oral History Interview by Kent Staley. Tape Recording. Fermilab, Batavia, Ill., October 19.
8. Franklin, Allan (1998), "Selectivity and the Production of Experimental Results", Archive for History of Exact Sciences 53: 399-485.
9. Giere, Ronald N. (1969), "Bayesian Statistics and Biased Procedures", Synthese 20: 371-87.
10. Howson, Colin and Peter Urbach (1993), Scientific Reasoning: The Bayesian Approach, 2nd ed. Chicago: Open Court.
11. Kadane, Joseph B. and Teddy Seidenfeld (1999), "Randomization in a Bayesian Perspective", in Joseph B. Kadane, Mark J. Schervish, and Teddy Seidenfeld (eds.), Rethinking the Foundations of Statistics. New York: Cambridge University Press, 293-313.
12. Leplin, Jarrett (1997), A Novel Defense of Scientific Realism. New York: Oxford University Press.
13. Mayo, Deborah (1993), "The Test of Experiment: C. S. Peirce and E. S. Pearson", in E. C. Moore (ed.), Charles S. Peirce and the Philosophy of Science. Tuscaloosa: University of Alabama Press, 161-74.
14. _ (1996), Error and the Growth of Experimental Knowledge. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.
15. Mayo, Deborah and Michael Kruse (2001), "Principles of Inference and Their Consequences", in D. Cornfield and J. Williamson (eds.) Foundations of Bayesianism. Dordrecht: Kluwer Academic Publishers, 381-403.
16. Musgrave, Alan (1974), "Logical versus Historical Theories of Confirmation", British Journal for the Phiosophy of Science 25: 1-23.
17. Peirce, Charles Sanders (1931-1958), Collected Papers of Charles Sanders Peirce, 8 vols. Edited by Charles Hartshorne and Paul Weiss. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.
18. Salmon, Wesley (1984), Scientific Explanation and the Causal Structure of the World. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.
19. Savage, Leonard J. (ed.) (1962), The Foundations of Statistical Inference: A Discussion. London: Methuen.
20. Snyder, Laura (1994), "Is Evidence Historical?" in Peter Achinstein and Laura Snyder (eds.), Scientific Methods: Conceptual and Historical Problems. Malabar, FL: Krieger Publishing Company, 95-117.
21. Staley, Kent W. (1996), "Novelty, Severity, and History in the Testing of Hypotheses: The Case of the Top Quark." Philosophy of Science 63 (Proceedings): S248-S255.
22. _ (2001), "Over the Top: Evidence and the Search for the Top Quark", Unpublished Manuscript.
23. Suppes, Patrick (1962), "Models of Data", in Ernest Nagel, Patrick Suppes, and Alfred Tarski (eds.), Logic, Methodology and Philosophy of Science: Proceedings of the 1960 International Congress. Stanford, CA: Stanford University Press, 252-261.
24. Tipton, Paul (1995), Oral History Interview by Kent Staley. Tape Recording. Fermilab, Batavia, IL, October 19.
25. Worrall, John (1985), "Scientific Discovery and Theory-Confirmation", in Joseph Pitt (ed.), Change and Progress in Modern Science. Dordrecht: Reidel, 301-32.
26. _ (1989), "Fresnel, Poisson and the White Spot: The Role of Successful Predictions in the Acceptance of Scientific Theories", in David Gooding, Trevor Pinch and Simon Schaffer (eds.), The Uses of Experiment: Studies in the Natural Sciences. New York: Cambridge University Press, 135-57.
27. Zahar, Elie (1973), "Why Did Einstein's Programme Supercede Lorentz's?", British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 24: 96-123, 223-62.