Quebec's economic and political future with North America

International Interactions

Volumn 23, Issue 3-4, 1997, Pages 283-298

  James, Patrick ^a  

^a IOWA STATE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

Author keywords

Canada; Constitutions; Expected utility; Forecasting; Quebec; Trade

Indexed keywords

EID: 0041043842     PISSN: 03050629     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1080/03050629708434911     Document Type: Article

References (2)

1. As revealed by a story in the Globe and Mail (March 20, 1996), the anxiety continues today: "Business leaders at yesterday's conference on the Quebec economy don't think that political uncertainty is all in their heads, despite what Premier Lucien Bouchard would suggest. One after another of the province's top corporate leaders, who had been invited by the Premier, rebutted his suggestion that political worries are 'more psychological than real'."
2. Repeated applications reveal that the model operates most efficiently with two experts. For this project the experts came with widely divergent political orientations. Such ideological discrepancy, however, does not prejudice the results. Neither scholar is familiar with the mechanics of the expected utility model. It also might be noted that, even if an expert had familiarity with the model, its very complexity virtually rules out the potential to 'rig' the results (Bueno de Mesquita, 1994). To save space, the results generated by data from only one of the experts are presented here. Results from the other expert are very similar. All of the original, dated material is available upon request from the authors.