The historical significance of economic voting, 1872-1996

Social Science History

Volumn 23, Issue 4, 1999, Pages 561-591

  Lin, Tse Min ^a  

^a NONE

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EID: 0040887910     PISSN: 01455532     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: None     Document Type: Review

References (58)

1. Aldrich, John H., and Richard G. Niemi (1990) "The sixth American party system: The 1960s realignment and the candidate-centered parties." Papers in American Politics, Duke University Program in Political Economy, Working Paper no. 107.
2. Aldrich, John H., John L. Sullivan, and Eugene Borgida (1989) "Foreign affairs and issue voting: Do presidential candidates 'waltz before a blind audience'?" American Political Science Review 83: 123-41.
3. Alesina, Alberto, John Londregan, and Howard Rosenthal (1993) "A model of the political economy of the United States." American Political Science Review 87: 12-33.
4. Arcelus, Francisco, and Allan H. Meltzer (1975a) "Aggregate economic variables and votes for Congress: A rejoinder." American Political Science Review 69: 1266-69.
5. _ (1975b) "The effect of aggregate economic variables on congressional elections." American Political Science Review 69: 1232-39.
6. Balke, Nathan S., and Robert J. Gordon (1986) "Appendix B: Historical data," in Robert J. Gordon (ed.) The American Business Cycle: Continuity and Change. Chicago: University of Chicago Press: 781-850.
7. Beck, Nathaniel (1983) "Time-varying parameter regression models." American Journal of Political Science 27: 557-600.
8. Berelson, Bernard R., Paul F. Lazarsfeld, and William N. McPhee (1954) Voting. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.
9. Beyer, William H., ed. (1984) Standard Mathematical Tables. Boca Raton, FL: CRC Press.
10. Bloom, Howard S., and H. Douglas Price (1975) "Voter response to short-run economic conditions: The asymmetric effect of prosperity and recession." American Political Science Review 69: 1240-54.
11. Brown, R. L., J. Durbin, and J. M. Evans (1975) "Techniques for testing the constancy of regression relationships over time." Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, series B, 37: 149-63.
12. Burnham, Walter Dean (1965) "The changing shape of the American political universe." American Political Science Review 59: 7-28.
13. _ (1974) "Theory and voting research." American Political Science Review 68: 1002-23.
14. _ (1991) "Critical realignment: Dead or alive?" In Byron E. Shafer (ed.) The End of Realignment?: Interpreting American Electoral Eras. Madison: University of Wisconsin Press: 101-39.
15. Chow, Gregory C. (1960) "Tests of equality between sets of coefficients in two linear regressions." Econometrica 28: 591-605.
16. Cohen, Jacob (1978) "Partialed products are interactions; Partialed powers are curve components." Psychological Bulletin 85: 858-66.
17. Erikson, Robert S. (1989) "Economic conditions and the presidential vote." American Political Science Review 83: 567-73.
18. _ (1990) "Economic conditions and the congressional vote: A review of the macro-level evidence." American Journal of Political Science 34: 373-99.
19. Fackler, Tim, and Tse-min Lin (1995) "Political corruption and presidential elections, 1929-1992." Journal of Politics 57: 971-93.
20. Fair, Ray C. (1978) "The effect of economic events on votes for president." Review of Economics and Statistics 60: 159-73.
21. _ (1982) "The effect of economic events on votes for president: 1980 results." Review of Economics and Statistics 64: 322-25.
22. _ (1988) "The effect of economic events on votes for president: A 1984 update." Political Behavior 10: 168-79.
23. _ (1996a) "Econometrics and presidential elections." Journal of Economic Perspectives 10: 89-102.
24. _ (1996b) "The effect of economic events on votes for president: 1992 update." Political Behavior 18: 119-39.
25. Fazio, Russell H. (1986) "How do attitudes guide behavior?" in R. M. Sorrentino and E. T. Higgins (eds.) The Handbook of Motivation and Cognition, Vol. 1. New York: Guilford: 204-43.
26. Fiorina, Morris P. (1978) "Economic retrospective voting in American national elections: A micro-level analysis." American Journal of Political Science 22: 426-43.
27. Goodman, Saul, and Gerald H. Kramer (1975) "Comment on Arcelus and Meltzer, 'The effect of aggregate economic conditions on congressional elections.'" American Political Science Review 69: 1255-65.
28. Greene, Jay P. (1993) "Forewarned before forecast: Presidential election forecasting models and the 1992 election." PS: Political Science and Politics 26: 17-21.
29. Griffin, Larry J., and Larry W. Isaac (1992) "Recursive regression and the historical use of 'time' in time-series analysis of historical process." Historical Methods 25: 166-79.
30. Gujarati, Damodar N. (1988) Basic Econometrics, 2d ed. New York: McGraw-Hill.
31. Hays, Samuel P. (1965) "The social analysis of American political history, 1880-1920." Political Science Quarterly 80: 373-94.
32. _ (1975) "Political parties and the community-society continuum," in William Nisbet Chambers and Walter Dean Burnham (eds.) The American Party System. London: Oxford University Press: 152-81.
33. Hibbs, Douglas A., Jr. (1987) The American Political Economy: Macroeconomics and Electoral Politics. Cambridge: Harvard University Press.
34. Hinich, Melvin J., and Richard Roll (1981) "Measuring nonstationarity in the parameters of the market model." Research in Finance 3: 1-51.
35. Inglehart, Ronald (1990) Culture Shift in Advanced Industrial Society. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.
36. Isaac, Larry W., and Larry J. Griffin (1989) "Ahistoricism in time-series analyses of historical process: Critique, redirection, and illustrations from U.S. labor history." American Sociological Review 54: 873-90.
37. Johnston, J. (1984) Econometric Methods, 3d ed. New York: McGraw-Hill.
38. Judge, George G., William E. Griffiths, R. Carter Hill, and Tsoung-Chao Lee (1985) The Theory and Practice of Econometrics, 2d ed. New York: John Wiley.
39. Kinder, Donald R., and D. Roderick Kiewiet (1979) "Economic discontent and political behavior: The role of personal grievances and collective economic judgments in congressional voting." American Journal of Political Science 23: 495-517.
40. _ (1981) "Sociotropic politics: The American case." British Journal of Political Science 11: 129-61.
41. Kleppner, Paul (1970) The Cross of Culture: A Social Analysis of Midwestern Politics, 1850-1900. New York: Free Press.
42. _ (1981) "Partisanship and ethnoreligious conflict: The third electoral system, 1853-1892," in Paul Kleppner et al. (eds.) The Evolution of American Electoral Systems. Westport, CT: Greenwood Press: 113-46.
43. Kolbert, Elizabeth (1992) "As for all that lore about sure-thing election prophecies, forget about it." New York Times, 5 November.
44. Kramer, Gerald H. (1971) "Short-term fluctuations in U.S. voting behavior, 1896-1964." American Political Science Review 65: 131-43.
45. Ladd, Everett Carll (1993) "The 1992 vote for President Clinton: Another brittle mandate?" Political Science Quarterly 108: 1-28.
46. LaMotte, Lynn Roy, and Archer McWhorter (1978) "An exact test for the presence of random walk coefficients in a linear regression model." Journal of the American Statistical Association 73: 816-20.
47. Markus, Gregory B. (1982) "The impact of personal and national economic conditions on the presidential vote: A pooled cross-sectional analysis." American Journal of Political Science 32: 137-54.
48. McCormick, Richard L. (1974) "Ethno-cultural interpretations of nineteenth-century American voting behavior." Political Science Quarterly 89: 351-77.
49. Pindyck, Robert S., and Daniel L. Rubinfeld (1991) Econometric Models and Economic Forecast, 3d ed. New York: McGraw-Hill.
50. Ritter, Gretchen (1997) Goldbugs and Greenbacks: The Antimonopoly Tradition and the Politics of Finance in America, 1865-1896. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
51. Romer, Christina D. (1989) "The prewar business cycle reconsidered: New estimates of gross national product, 1869-1908." Journal of Political Economy 97: 1-37.
52. Shafer, Byron E., ed. (1991) The End of Realignment?: Interpreting American Electoral Eras. Madison: University of Wisconsin Press.
53. Stigler, George J. (1973) "General economic conditions and national elections." American Economic Review 63: 160-67.
54. Sundquist, James L. (1983) Dynamics of the Party System, rev. ed. Washington: Brookings Institution.
55. Tufte, Edward R. (1975) "Determinants of the outcomes of midterm congressional elections." American Political Science Review 69: 812-26.
56. _ (1978) Political Control of the Economy. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.
57. Wattenberg, Ben J. (1995) Values Matter Most. New York: Free Press.
58. Wilentz, Sean (1984) "Against exceptionalism: Class consciousness and the American labor movement." International Labor and Working-Class History 26: 1-24.