메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 106, Issue 1, 1999, Pages 180-209

MINERVA-DM: A memory processes model for judgments of likelihood

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords


EID: 0040736130     PISSN: 0033295X     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1037/0033-295X.106.1.180     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (296)

References (120)
  • 1
    • 0001111897 scopus 로고
    • Intuitive theories of events and the effect of base-rate information on prediction
    • Ajzen, I. (1977). Intuitive theories of events and the effect of base-rate information on prediction. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 35, 303-314.
    • (1977) Journal of Personality and Social Psychology , vol.35 , pp. 303-314
    • Ajzen, I.1
  • 2
    • 0038444346 scopus 로고
    • A rational analysis of human memory
    • H. L. Roediger III & F. I. M Craik (Eds.), Hillsdale, NJ: Erlbaum
    • Anderson, J. R. (1989). A rational analysis of human memory. In H. L. Roediger III & F. I. M Craik (Eds.), Varieties of memory and consciousness: Essays in honour of Endel Tulving (pp. 195-210). Hillsdale, NJ: Erlbaum.
    • (1989) Varieties of Memory and Consciousness: Essays in Honour of Endel Tulving , pp. 195-210
    • Anderson, J.R.1
  • 3
    • 0039961893 scopus 로고
    • Some practical judgment and decision-making research
    • N. J. Castellan, Jr. (Ed.), Hillsdale, NJ: Erlbaum
    • Arkes, H. R. (1993). Some practical judgment and decision-making research. In N. J. Castellan, Jr. (Ed.), Individual and group decision making: Current issues (pp. 3-18). Hillsdale, NJ: Erlbaum.
    • (1993) Individual and Group Decision Making: Current Issues , pp. 3-18
    • Arkes, H.R.1
  • 7
    • 0000602959 scopus 로고
    • The base-rate fallacy in probability judgments
    • Bar-Hillel, M. (1980). The base-rate fallacy in probability judgments. Acta Psychologica, 44, 211-233.
    • (1980) Acta Psychologica , vol.44 , pp. 211-233
    • Bar-Hillel, M.1
  • 8
    • 0020759468 scopus 로고
    • Ad hoc categories
    • Barsalou, L. W. (1983). Ad hoc categories. Memory & Cognition, 11, 211-227.
    • (1983) Memory & Cognition , vol.11 , pp. 211-227
    • Barsalou, L.W.1
  • 9
    • 0000102633 scopus 로고
    • The roles of automatic and strategic processing in sensitivity to superordinate and property frequency
    • Barsalou, L. W., & Ross, B. H. (1986). The roles of automatic and strategic processing in sensitivity to superordinate and property frequency. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 12, 116-134.
    • (1986) Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition , vol.12 , pp. 116-134
    • Barsalou, L.W.1    Ross, B.H.2
  • 11
    • 21344482480 scopus 로고
    • The validity effect: A search for mediating variables
    • Boehm, L. E. (1994). The validity effect: A search for mediating variables. Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin, 20, 285-293.
    • (1994) Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin , vol.20 , pp. 285-293
    • Boehm, L.E.1
  • 12
    • 0031014189 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The role of attention in automatization: Does attention operate at encoding, or retrieval, or both?
    • Boronat, C. B., & Logan, G. D. (1997). The role of attention in automatization: Does attention operate at encoding, or retrieval, or both? Memory & Cognition, 25, 36-46.
    • (1997) Memory & Cognition , vol.25 , pp. 36-46
    • Boronat, C.B.1    Logan, G.D.2
  • 13
    • 0025756834 scopus 로고
    • Availability and category-frequency estimation
    • Bruce, D., Hockley, W. E., & Craik, F. I. M. (1991). Availability and category-frequency estimation. Memory & Cognition, 19, 301-312.
    • (1991) Memory & Cognition , vol.19 , pp. 301-312
    • Bruce, D.1    Hockley, W.E.2    Craik, F.I.M.3
  • 14
    • 0014527651 scopus 로고
    • Illusory correlation as an obstacle to the use of valid psychodiagnostic signs
    • Chapman, L. J., & Chapman, J. P. (1969). Illusory correlation as an obstacle to the use of valid psychodiagnostic signs. Journal of Abnormal Psychology, 74, 271-280.
    • (1969) Journal of Abnormal Psychology , vol.74 , pp. 271-280
    • Chapman, L.J.1    Chapman, J.P.2
  • 16
    • 0041149020 scopus 로고
    • The role of coherence in differentiating genuine from spurious causes
    • D. Sperber, D. Premack, & A. J. Premack (Eds.), Oxford, England: Clarendon Press
    • Cheng, P. W., & Lien, Y. (1995). The role of coherence in differentiating genuine from spurious causes. In D. Sperber, D. Premack, & A. J. Premack (Eds.), Causal cognition: A multidisciplinary debate (pp. 463-490). Oxford, England: Clarendon Press.
    • (1995) Causal Cognition: A Multidisciplinary Debate , pp. 463-490
    • Cheng, P.W.1    Lien, Y.2
  • 19
    • 0029036727 scopus 로고
    • The generation effect and the modeling of associations in memory
    • Clark, S. E. (1995). The generation effect and the modeling of associations in memory. Memory & Cognition, 23, 442-455.
    • (1995) Memory & Cognition , vol.23 , pp. 442-455
    • Clark, S.E.1
  • 20
    • 0002257134 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Global matching models of recognition memory: How the models match the data
    • Clark, S. E., & Gronlund, S. D. (1996). Global matching models of recognition memory: How the models match the data. Psychonomic Bulletin and Review, 3, 37-60.
    • (1996) Psychonomic Bulletin and Review , vol.3 , pp. 37-60
    • Clark, S.E.1    Gronlund, S.D.2
  • 21
    • 38249033129 scopus 로고
    • Reduction of hindsight bias by restoration of foresight perspective: Effectiveness of foresight-encoding and hindsight retrieval strategies
    • Davies, M. F. (1987). Reduction of hindsight bias by restoration of foresight perspective: Effectiveness of foresight-encoding and hindsight retrieval strategies. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 40, 50-68.
    • (1987) Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes , vol.40 , pp. 50-68
    • Davies, M.F.1
  • 22
    • 0039369552 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The effect of experience on the calibration of probability judgments
    • August Vanderbilt University, Nashville, TN
    • Dougherty, M. R. P. (1998, August). The effect of experience on the calibration of probability judgments. Paper presented at the 31st Annual Meeting of the Society for Mathematical Psychology, Vanderbilt University, Nashville, TN.
    • (1998) 31st Annual Meeting of the Society for Mathematical Psychology
    • Dougherty, M.R.P.1
  • 25
    • 0011535206 scopus 로고
    • Response bias explanation of conservative human inference
    • DuCharme, W. (1970). Response bias explanation of conservative human inference. Journal of Experimental Psychology, 85, 66-74.
    • (1970) Journal of Experimental Psychology , vol.85 , pp. 66-74
    • DuCharme, W.1
  • 26
    • 0004141817 scopus 로고
    • H. A. Ruger & C. E. Bussenius, Trans.. New York: Dover. Original work published 1885
    • Ebbinghaus, H. (1964). Memory: A contribution to experimental psychology (H. A. Ruger & C. E. Bussenius, Trans.). New York: Dover. (Original work published 1885).
    • (1964) Memory: A Contribution to Experimental Psychology
    • Ebbinghaus, H.1
  • 27
    • 0002542465 scopus 로고
    • Probabilistic reasoning in clinical medicine: Problems and opportunities
    • D. Kahneman, P. Slovic, & A. Tversky (Eds.), New York: Cambridge University Press
    • Eddy, D. M. (1982). Probabilistic reasoning in clinical medicine: Problems and opportunities. In D. Kahneman, P. Slovic, & A. Tversky (Eds.), Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases (pp. 249-267). New York: Cambridge University Press.
    • (1982) Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases , pp. 249-267
    • Eddy, D.M.1
  • 28
    • 0002168065 scopus 로고
    • Conservatism in human information processing
    • B. Kleinmuntz (Ed.), New York: Wiley
    • Edwards, W. (1968). Conservatism in human information processing. In B. Kleinmuntz (Ed.), Formal representation of human judgment (pp. 17-52). New York: Wiley.
    • (1968) Formal Representation of Human Judgment , pp. 17-52
    • Edwards, W.1
  • 29
    • 58149407822 scopus 로고
    • Confidence in judgment: The illusion of validity
    • Einhorn, H. J., & Hogarth, R. M. (1978). Confidence in judgment: The illusion of validity. Psychological Review, 85, 395-416.
    • (1978) Psychological Review , vol.85 , pp. 395-416
    • Einhorn, H.J.1    Hogarth, R.M.2
  • 31
    • 12044259660 scopus 로고
    • Simultaneous over- and underconfidence: The role of error in judgment processes
    • Erev, I., Wallsten, T. S., & Budescu, D. V. (1994). Simultaneous over- and underconfidence: The role of error in judgment processes. Psychological Review, 101, 519-527.
    • (1994) Psychological Review , vol.101 , pp. 519-527
    • Erev, I.1    Wallsten, T.S.2    Budescu, D.V.3
  • 32
    • 0000281610 scopus 로고
    • The dependence of the conjunction fallacy on subtle linguistic factors
    • Fiedler, K. (1988). The dependence of the conjunction fallacy on subtle linguistic factors. Psychological Research, 50, 123-129.
    • (1988) Psychological Research , vol.50 , pp. 123-129
    • Fiedler, K.1
  • 33
    • 1542682082 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Explaining and simulating judgment biases as an aggregation phenomenon in probabilistic, multiple-cue environments
    • Fiedler, K. (1996). Explaining and simulating judgment biases as an aggregation phenomenon in probabilistic, multiple-cue environments. Psychological Review, 103, 193-214.
    • (1996) Psychological Review , vol.103 , pp. 193-214
    • Fiedler, K.1
  • 40
    • 0039369553 scopus 로고
    • The application of Bayes's theorem when the true data state is uncertain
    • Gettys, C. F., & Willke, T. A. (1969). The application of Bayes's theorem when the true data state is uncertain. Organizational Behavior and Human Performance, 4, 125-141.
    • (1969) Organizational Behavior and Human Performance , vol.4 , pp. 125-141
    • Gettys, C.F.1    Willke, T.A.2
  • 41
    • 84953484366 scopus 로고
    • How to make cognitive illusions disappear: Beyond "heuristics and biases."
    • Gigerenzer, G. (1991). How to make cognitive illusions disappear: Beyond "heuristics and biases." European Review of Social Psychology, 2, 83-114.
    • (1991) European Review of Social Psychology , vol.2 , pp. 83-114
    • Gigerenzer, G.1
  • 42
    • 0000714472 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On narrow norms and vague heuristics: A reply to Kahneman and Tversky (1996)
    • Gigerenzer, G. (1996). On narrow norms and vague heuristics: A reply to Kahneman and Tversky (1996). Psychological Review, 103, 592-596.
    • (1996) Psychological Review , vol.103 , pp. 592-596
    • Gigerenzer, G.1
  • 43
    • 0030266119 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Reasoning the fast and frugal way: Models of bounded rationality
    • Gigerenzer, G., & Goldstein, D. G. (1996). Reasoning the fast and frugal way: Models of bounded rationality. Psychological Review, 103, 650-669.
    • (1996) Psychological Review , vol.103 , pp. 650-669
    • Gigerenzer, G.1    Goldstein, D.G.2
  • 44
    • 11944267218 scopus 로고
    • How to improve Bayesian reasoning without instruction: Frequency formats
    • Gigerenzer, G., & Hoffrage, U. (1995). How to improve Bayesian reasoning without instruction: Frequency formats. Psychological Review, 102, 684-704.
    • (1995) Psychological Review , vol.102 , pp. 684-704
    • Gigerenzer, G.1    Hoffrage, U.2
  • 45
    • 0026234897 scopus 로고
    • Probabilistic mental models: A Brunswikian theory of confidence
    • Gigerenzer, G., Hoffrage, U., & Kleinbolting, H. (1991). Probabilistic mental models: A Brunswikian theory of confidence. Psychological Review, 98, 506-528.
    • (1991) Psychological Review , vol.98 , pp. 506-528
    • Gigerenzer, G.1    Hoffrage, U.2    Kleinbolting, H.3
  • 46
    • 0001571109 scopus 로고
    • The hot hand in basketball: On the misperception of random sequences
    • Gilovich, T., Vallone, R., & Tversky, A. (1985). The hot hand in basketball: On the misperception of random sequences. Cognitive Psychology, 17, 295-314.
    • (1985) Cognitive Psychology , vol.17 , pp. 295-314
    • Gilovich, T.1    Vallone, R.2    Tversky, A.3
  • 48
    • 34248446554 scopus 로고
    • Self-relevant scenarios as mediators of likelihood estimates and compliance: Does imagining make it so?
    • Gregory, W. L., Cialdini, R. B., & Carpenter, K. M. (1982). Self-relevant scenarios as mediators of likelihood estimates and compliance: Does imagining make it so? Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 43, 89-99.
    • (1982) Journal of Personality and Social Psychology , vol.43 , pp. 89-99
    • Gregory, W.L.1    Cialdini, R.B.2    Carpenter, K.M.3
  • 49
    • 0009333459 scopus 로고
    • Explanations for common responses to the blue/ green cab probabilistic inference word problem
    • Hamm, R. M. (1993). Explanations for common responses to the blue/ green cab probabilistic inference word problem. Psychological Reports, 72, 219-242.
    • (1993) Psychological Reports , vol.72 , pp. 219-242
    • Hamm, R.M.1
  • 51
    • 0031503218 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Influencing probability judgments by manipulating the accessibility of sample spaces
    • Hanita, M., Gavanski, I., & Fazio, R. H. (1997). Influencing probability judgments by manipulating the accessibility of sample spaces. Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin, 23, 801-813.
    • (1997) Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin , vol.23 , pp. 801-813
    • Hanita, M.1    Gavanski, I.2    Fazio, R.H.3
  • 54
  • 55
    • 33645832308 scopus 로고
    • The relationship between memory and judgment depends on whether the judgment task is memory-based or on-line
    • Hastie, R., & Park, B. (1986). The relationship between memory and judgment depends on whether the judgment task is memory-based or on-line. Psychological Review, 93, 258-268.
    • (1986) Psychological Review , vol.93 , pp. 258-268
    • Hastie, R.1    Park, B.2
  • 56
    • 11944269217 scopus 로고
    • Hindsight: Biased judgments of past events after the outcomes are known
    • Hawkins, S. A., & Hastie, R. (1990). Hindsight: Biased judgments of past events after the outcomes are known. Psychological Bulletin, 107, 311-327.
    • (1990) Psychological Bulletin , vol.107 , pp. 311-327
    • Hawkins, S.A.1    Hastie, R.2
  • 57
    • 0024115061 scopus 로고
    • Hindsight bias: An interaction of automatic and motivational factors?
    • Hell, W., Gigerenzer, G., Gauggel, S., Mall, M., & Müller, M. (1988). Hindsight bias: An interaction of automatic and motivational factors? Memory & Cognition, 16, 533-538.
    • (1988) Memory & Cognition , vol.16 , pp. 533-538
    • Hell, W.1    Gigerenzer, G.2    Gauggel, S.3    Mall, M.4    Müller, M.5
  • 59
    • 0002669751 scopus 로고
    • Recognition memory and recall in MINERVA2: Analysis of the recognition-failure paradigm
    • P. Morris (Ed.), London: Wiley
    • Hintzman, D. L. (1987). Recognition memory and recall in MINERVA2: Analysis of the recognition-failure paradigm. In P. Morris (Ed.), Modeling cognition: Proceedings of the International Workshop on Modeling Cognition (pp. 215-229). London: Wiley.
    • (1987) Modeling Cognition: Proceedings of the International Workshop on Modeling Cognition , pp. 215-229
    • Hintzman, D.L.1
  • 60
    • 58149370644 scopus 로고
    • Judgments of frequency and recognition memory in a multiple-trace memory model
    • Hintzman, D. L. (1988). Judgments of frequency and recognition memory in a multiple-trace memory model. Psychological Review, 95, 528-551.
    • (1988) Psychological Review , vol.95 , pp. 528-551
    • Hintzman, D.L.1
  • 61
    • 0025059110 scopus 로고
    • Human learning and memory: Connections and dissociations
    • Hintzman, D. L. (1990). Human learning and memory: Connections and dissociations. Annual Review of Psychology, 41, 109-139.
    • (1990) Annual Review of Psychology , vol.41 , pp. 109-139
    • Hintzman, D.L.1
  • 65
    • 58149417364 scopus 로고
    • On the psychology of prediction
    • Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A. (1973). On the psychology of prediction. Psychological Review, 80, 237-251.
    • (1973) Psychological Review , vol.80 , pp. 237-251
    • Kahneman, D.1    Tversky, A.2
  • 66
    • 0002554835 scopus 로고
    • The simulation heuristic
    • D. Kahneman, P. Slovic, & A. Tversky (Eds.), New York: Cambridge University Press
    • Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A. (1982). The simulation heuristic. In D. Kahneman, P. Slovic, & A. Tversky (Eds.), Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases (pp. 201-208). New York: Cambridge University Press.
    • (1982) Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases , pp. 201-208
    • Kahneman, D.1    Tversky, A.2
  • 67
    • 19244362077 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On the reality of cognitive illusions
    • Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A. (1996). On the reality of cognitive illusions. Psychological Review, 103, 582-591.
    • (1996) Psychological Review , vol.103 , pp. 582-591
    • Kahneman, D.1    Tversky, A.2
  • 69
    • 21844487370 scopus 로고
    • A distributed memory model of averaging phenomena in person impression formation
    • Kashima, Y., & Kerekes, A. R. Z. (1994). A distributed memory model of averaging phenomena in person impression formation. Journal of Experimental Social Psychology, 30, 407-455.
    • (1994) Journal of Experimental Social Psychology , vol.30 , pp. 407-455
    • Kashima, Y.1    Kerekes, A.R.Z.2
  • 70
  • 71
    • 0001037403 scopus 로고
    • Calibration and probability judgments: Conceptual and methodological issues
    • Keren, G. (1991). Calibration and probability judgments: Conceptual and methodological issues. Acta Psychologica, 77, 217-273.
    • (1991) Acta Psychologica , vol.77 , pp. 217-273
    • Keren, G.1
  • 72
    • 0026249754 scopus 로고
    • Explanation, imagination, and confidence in judgment
    • Koehler, D. K. (1991). Explanation, imagination, and confidence in judgment. Psychological Bulletin, 110, 499-519.
    • (1991) Psychological Bulletin , vol.110 , pp. 499-519
    • Koehler, D.K.1
  • 74
    • 0020787912 scopus 로고
    • The effect of increasing the memorability of category instances on estimates of category size
    • Lewandowsky, S., & Smith, P. W. (1983). The effect of increasing the memorability of category instances on estimates of category size. Memory & Cognition, 11, 347-350.
    • (1983) Memory & Cognition , vol.11 , pp. 347-350
    • Lewandowsky, S.1    Smith, P.W.2
  • 76
    • 0002941732 scopus 로고
    • Calibration of probabilities: The state of the art to 1980
    • D. Kahneman, P. Slovic, & A. Tversky (Eds.), New York: Cambridge University Press
    • Lichtenstein, S., Fischhoff, B., & Phillips, L. D. (1982). Calibration of probabilities: The state of the art to 1980. In D. Kahneman, P. Slovic, & A. Tversky (Eds.), Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases (pp. 306-334). New York: Cambridge University Press.
    • (1982) Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases , pp. 306-334
    • Lichtenstein, S.1    Fischhoff, B.2    Phillips, L.D.3
  • 78
    • 1842646010 scopus 로고
    • Toward an instance theory of automatization
    • Logan, G. D. (1988). Toward an instance theory of automatization. Psychological Review, 95, 492-527.
    • (1988) Psychological Review , vol.95 , pp. 492-527
    • Logan, G.D.1
  • 83
    • 0003834557 scopus 로고
    • New York: Freeman
    • Marr, D. (1982). Vision. New York: Freeman.
    • (1982) Vision
    • Marr, D.1
  • 84
    • 0031488883 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Motivation, attention, and judgment: A natural sample spaces account
    • McMullen, M. N., Fazio, R. H., & Gavanski, I. (1997). Motivation, attention, and judgment: A natural sample spaces account. Social Cognition, 15, 77-90.
    • (1997) Social Cognition , vol.15 , pp. 77-90
    • McMullen, M.N.1    Fazio, R.H.2    Gavanski, I.3
  • 85
    • 0002958261 scopus 로고
    • Can weather forecasters formulate reliable probability forecasts of precipitation and temperature?
    • Murphy, A. H., & Winkler, R. L. (1977). Can weather forecasters formulate reliable probability forecasts of precipitation and temperature? National Weather Digest, 2, 2-9.
    • (1977) National Weather Digest , vol.2 , pp. 2-9
    • Murphy, A.H.1    Winkler, R.L.2
  • 86
    • 0025968803 scopus 로고
    • Dissociative effects in different prime domains
    • Nelson, D. L., LaLomia, M. J., & Canas, J. J. (1991). Dissociative effects in different prime domains. Memory & Cognition, 19, 44-62.
    • (1991) Memory & Cognition , vol.19 , pp. 44-62
    • Nelson, D.L.1    LaLomia, M.J.2    Canas, J.J.3
  • 88
    • 58149449547 scopus 로고
    • Overconfidence in case study judgments
    • Oskamp, S. (1965). Overconfidence in case study judgments. Journal of Consulting Psychology, 29, 261-265.
    • (1965) Journal of Consulting Psychology , vol.29 , pp. 261-265
    • Oskamp, S.1
  • 89
    • 0014143625 scopus 로고
    • Sequential effects in the revision of subjective probabilities
    • Pitz, G. F., Downing, L., & Reinhold, H. (1967). Sequential effects in the revision of subjective probabilities. Canadian Journal of Psychology, 21, 381-393.
    • (1967) Canadian Journal of Psychology , vol.21 , pp. 381-393
    • Pitz, G.F.1    Downing, L.2    Reinhold, H.3
  • 91
    • 21344456041 scopus 로고
    • Distributional versus singular approaches to probability and errors in probabilistic reasoning
    • Reeves, T., & Lockhart, R. S. (1993). Distributional versus singular approaches to probability and errors in probabilistic reasoning. Journal of Experimental Psychology: General, 122, 207-226.
    • (1993) Journal of Experimental Psychology: General , vol.122 , pp. 207-226
    • Reeves, T.1    Lockhart, R.S.2
  • 93
  • 95
    • 0018039271 scopus 로고
    • When does a response error become a judgmental bias? Commentary on "Judged frequency of lethal events."
    • Shanteau, J. (1978). When does a response error become a judgmental bias? Commentary on "Judged frequency of lethal events." Journal of Experimental Psychology: Human Learning and Memory, 4, 579-581.
    • (1978) Journal of Experimental Psychology: Human Learning and Memory , vol.4 , pp. 579-581
    • Shanteau, J.1
  • 96
    • 38249028327 scopus 로고
    • Psychological characteristics and strategies of expert decision makers
    • Shanteau, J. (1988). Psychological characteristics and strategies of expert decision makers. Acta Psychologica, 68, 203-215.
    • (1988) Acta Psychologica , vol.68 , pp. 203-215
    • Shanteau, J.1
  • 99
    • 58149406088 scopus 로고
    • Controlled and automatic human information processing: II. Perceptual learning, automatic attending, and a general theory
    • Shiffrin, R. M., & Schneider, W. (1977). Controlled and automatic human information processing: II. Perceptual learning, automatic attending, and a general theory. Psychological Review, 84, 127-190.
    • (1977) Psychological Review , vol.84 , pp. 127-190
    • Shiffrin, R.M.1    Schneider, W.2
  • 100
    • 58149433367 scopus 로고
    • Rational choice and the structure of the environment
    • Simon, H. (1956). Rational choice and the structure of the environment. Psychological Review, 63, 129-138.
    • (1956) Psychological Review , vol.63 , pp. 129-138
    • Simon, H.1
  • 103
    • 0000487965 scopus 로고
    • Illusory correlation in a simulated exemplar-based memory
    • Smith, E. M. (1991). Illusory correlation in a simulated exemplar-based memory. Journal of Experimental Social Psychology, 27, 107-123.
    • (1991) Journal of Experimental Social Psychology , vol.27 , pp. 107-123
    • Smith, E.M.1
  • 104
    • 0002572585 scopus 로고
    • Exemplar-based model of social judgment
    • Smith, E. M., & Zatare, M. A. (1992). Exemplar-based model of social judgment. Psychological Review, 99, 3-21.
    • (1992) Psychological Review , vol.99 , pp. 3-21
    • Smith, E.M.1    Zatare, M.A.2
  • 105
    • 0039369549 scopus 로고
    • Conditional dependence and decomposition strategies in diagnostic inference systems
    • Steiger, J., & Gettys, C. (1973). Conditional dependence and decomposition strategies in diagnostic inference systems. Organizational Behavior and Human Performance, 10, 88-107.
    • (1973) Organizational Behavior and Human Performance , vol.10 , pp. 88-107
    • Steiger, J.1    Gettys, C.2
  • 106
    • 58149426837 scopus 로고
    • A law of comparative judgment
    • Thurstone, L. L. (1927). A law of comparative judgment. Psychological Review, 34, 273-286.
    • (1927) Psychological Review , vol.34 , pp. 273-286
    • Thurstone, L.L.1
  • 107
    • 0041149017 scopus 로고
    • Pre-decision and conditional research in long-term memory
    • Tiberghien, G., Cauzinille, E., & Mathieu, J. (1979). Pre-decision and conditional research in long-term memory. Acta Psychologica, 43, 329-343.
    • (1979) Acta Psychologica , vol.43 , pp. 329-343
    • Tiberghien, G.1    Cauzinille, E.2    Mathieu, J.3
  • 108
    • 0015705636 scopus 로고
    • Encoding specificity and retrieval processes in episodic memory
    • Tulving, E., & Thomson, D. M. (1973). Encoding specificity and retrieval processes in episodic memory. Psychological Review, 80, 359-380.
    • (1973) Psychological Review , vol.80 , pp. 359-380
    • Tulving, E.1    Thomson, D.M.2
  • 109
    • 33745847757 scopus 로고
    • Belief in the law of small numbers
    • Tversky, A., & Kahneman, D. (1971). Belief in the law of small numbers. Psychological Bulletin, 76, 105-110.
    • (1971) Psychological Bulletin , vol.76 , pp. 105-110
    • Tversky, A.1    Kahneman, D.2
  • 110
    • 34247529903 scopus 로고
    • Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability
    • Tversky, A., & Kahneman, D. (1973). Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability. Cognitive Psychology, 5, 207-232.
    • (1973) Cognitive Psychology , vol.5 , pp. 207-232
    • Tversky, A.1    Kahneman, D.2
  • 111
    • 0016264378 scopus 로고
    • Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases
    • September
    • Tversky, A., & Kahneman, D. (1974, September). Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases. Science, 185, 1124-1130.
    • (1974) Science , vol.185 , pp. 1124-1130
    • Tversky, A.1    Kahneman, D.2
  • 112
    • 0019392722 scopus 로고
    • The framing of decisions and the psychology of choice
    • January
    • Tversky, A., & Kahneman, D. (1981, January). The framing of decisions and the psychology of choice. Science, 211, 453-458.
    • (1981) Science , vol.211 , pp. 453-458
    • Tversky, A.1    Kahneman, D.2
  • 113
    • 0002931074 scopus 로고
    • Judgments of and by representativeness
    • D. Kahneman, P. Slovic, & A. Tversky (Eds.), New York: Cambridge University Press
    • Tversky, A., & Kahneman, D. (1982). Judgments of and by representativeness. In D. Kahneman, P. Slovic, & A. Tversky (Eds.), Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases (pp. 84-98). New York: Cambridge University Press.
    • (1982) Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases , pp. 84-98
    • Tversky, A.1    Kahneman, D.2
  • 114
    • 43249084062 scopus 로고
    • Extensional versus intuitive reasoning: The conjunction fallacy in probability judgment
    • Tversky, A., & Kahneman, D. (1983). Extensional versus intuitive reasoning: The conjunction fallacy in probability judgment. Psychological Review, 90, 293-315.
    • (1983) Psychological Review , vol.90 , pp. 293-315
    • Tversky, A.1    Kahneman, D.2
  • 116
    • 79959234289 scopus 로고
    • The theoretical status of judgmental heuristics
    • R. W. Scholz (Ed.), Amsterdam: Elsevier
    • Wallsten, T. S. (1983). The theoretical status of judgmental heuristics. In R. W. Scholz (Ed.), Decision making under uncertainty (pp. 21-39). Amsterdam: Elsevier.
    • (1983) Decision Making under Uncertainty , pp. 21-39
    • Wallsten, T.S.1
  • 117
    • 0037591477 scopus 로고
    • And let us not forget memory: The role of memory processes and techniques in the study of judgment and choice
    • J. Busemeyer, R. Hastie, & D. L. Medin (Eds.), San Diego, CA: Academic Press
    • Weber, E. U., Goldstein, W. M., & Barlas, S. (1995). And let us not forget memory: The role of memory processes and techniques in the study of judgment and choice. In J. Busemeyer, R. Hastie, & D. L. Medin (Eds.), Decision making, the psychology of learning and motivation: Advances in research and theory (Vol. 32, pp. 33-81). San Diego, CA: Academic Press.
    • (1995) Decision Making, the Psychology of Learning and Motivation: Advances in Research and Theory , vol.32 , pp. 33-81
    • Weber, E.U.1    Goldstein, W.M.2    Barlas, S.3
  • 118
    • 0039369550 scopus 로고
    • Beyond strategies: Implications of memory representation and memory processes for models of judgments and decision making
    • W. E. Hockley & S. Lewandowski (Eds.), Hillsdale, NJ: Erlbaum
    • Weber, E. U., Goldstein, W. M., & Busemeyer, J. R. (1991). Beyond strategies: Implications of memory representation and memory processes for models of judgments and decision making. In W. E. Hockley & S. Lewandowski (Eds.), Relating theory to data: Essays on human memory in honor of Benet B. Murdock (pp. 75-100). Hillsdale, NJ: Erlbaum.
    • (1991) Relating Theory to Data: Essays on Human Memory in Honor of Benet B. Murdock , pp. 75-100
    • Weber, E.U.1    Goldstein, W.M.2    Busemeyer, J.R.3
  • 119
    • 38249042642 scopus 로고
    • Conjunction errors: Evidence for multiple judgment procedures, including "signed summation."
    • Yates, J. F., & Carlson, B. W. (1986). Conjunction errors: Evidence for multiple judgment procedures, including "signed summation." Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 37, 230-253.
    • (1986) Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes , vol.37 , pp. 230-253
    • Yates, J.F.1    Carlson, B.W.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.