Developmental effects of the content of visually presented baserates

Cahiers de Psychologie Cognitive

Volumn 17, Issue 3, 1998, Pages 555-576

  Castañeda, Javier ^a   Rodrigo, María J ^a  

^a UNIVERSIDAD DE LA LAGUNA   (Spain)

Author keywords

Baserates; Development; Individuating information; Predictive reasoning; Visual and semantic contents

Indexed keywords

EID: 0040635181     PISSN: 02499185     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: None     Document Type: Article

References (38)

1. Bar-Hillel, M. (1980). The base rate fallacy in probability judgments. Acta Psychologica, 44, 211-233.
2. Bernard, R. M. (1990). Using extended captions to improve learning from instructional illustrations. British Journal of Educational Technology, 21, 215-225.
3. Castañeda, J., & Rodrigo, M. J. (1993). Modelos mentales en el razonamiento predictivo de expertos. Revista de Psicologia General y Aplicada, 46 (3), 275-283
4. Dozier, (1991). Functional measurement assessment of young childrens' ability to predict future behavior. Child Development, 62, 1091-1099.
5. Edwards, W. (1968). Conservationism in human information processing. In B. Kleinmuntz (Ed.), Formal representation of human judgment. New York: John Wiley and Sons, Inc.
6. Fischhoff, B., & Beyth-Marom, M. (1983). Hypothesis evaluation from bayesian perspective. Psychological Review, 90 (3), 239-260.
7. Fivush, R., & Slackman, E. (1986). The acquisition and development of scripts. In K. Nelson (Ed.), Event knowledge. Structure and function in development (pp. 71-94). Hillsdale, NJ: Erlbaum.
8. Gigerenzer, G., Hell, W., & Blank, H. (1988). Presentation and content: The use of base rate as a continuous variable. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Human Perception and Performance, 14, 513-525.
9. Guri-Rozenblit, S. (1988). The interrelationship between diagrammatic representations and verbal explanations in learning from social science text. Instructional Science, 17, 219-234.
10. Hart, K. M. (1988). Ratio and proportions. In J. Hiebert & M. Behr (Eds.), Research agenda for mathematics education: Number, concepts and operations in the middle grades (Vol. 2, 198-219). Hillsdale, NJ: Erlbaum.
11. Hoemann, H., & Ross, B. M. (1971). Childrens' understanding of probability concepts. Child Development, 42, 221-236.
12. Jacobs J. E., & Potenza, M. (1991). The use of judgment heuristics to make social and object decisions: A developmental perspective. Child Development, 62, 166-178.
13. Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A. (1972). Subjective probability: a judgment of representativeness. Cognitive Psychology, 3, 430-454.
14. Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A. (1973). On the psychology of prediction. Psychological Review, 80, 237-251.
15. Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A. (1982). On the study of statistical intuitions. Cognition, 11, 123-141.
16. Karplus, R., & Karplus, E. F. (1972). Intellectual development beyond elementary school: III. Ratio: A longitudinal study. School Science and Mathematics, 72, 9-13.
17. Koehler, J. J. (1996). The base rate fallacy reconsidered: Descriptive, normative, and methodological challenges. Behavioral and Brain Sciences, 19, 1-53.
18. Kosslyn, S. M., & Kagan, J. (1981). Concrete thinking and the development of social cognition. In J. H. Flavell & L. Ross (Eds.), Social cognitive Development (pp. 82-95). Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
19. Lynch, J. G., & Ofir, Ch. (1989). Effects of cue consistency and value on base rate utilization. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 56 (2), 170-181.
20. Manis, M., Dovalina, I., & Avis, N. E. (1980). Baserates can affect individual predictions. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 38, 231-248.
21. Nelson, K. (1978). How children represent knowledge of their world in and out of language, a preliminar report. In R. S. Siegler (Ed.), Children's thinking: What develops? Hillsdale, NJ: Lawrence Erlbaum Associates.
22. Overton, W. F., & Brodzinsky, D. (1972). Perceptual and logical factors in the development of multiplicative classification. Developmental Psychology, 6 (1), 104-109.
23. Overton, W. F., & Jordan, R. (1971). Stimulus preference and multiplicative classification in children. Developmental Psychology, 5 (3), 505-510.
24. Piaget, J., & Inhelder, B. (1951). La genèse de l'idée de hasard chez l'enfant. Paris: Presses Universitaires de France.
25. Piaget, J., & Inhelder, B. (1971). Biology and knowledge. University of Chicago Press.
26. Piaget, J., & Inhelder, B. (1951, 1975). The origin of idea of chance in children. New York: Norton.
27. Rodrigo, M. J. (1982). La crisis de la noción de estructura lógica: análisis experimental del estadio de las operaciones concretas. Infancia y Aprendizaje, 17, 115-127.
28. Rodrigo, M. J., de Vega, M., & Castañeda, J. (1992). Updating mental models in predictive reasoning. European Journal of Cognitive Psychology. 4 (2), 141-157.
29. Rodrigo, M. J., & Fonte, M. C. (1984). La representatividad en los juicios predictivos. Comunicación presentada al Simposium sobre Actividad Humana y Procesos Cognitivos. Madrid, 1984.
30. Rodrigo, M. J., & Fonte, M. C. (1985). Desarrollo temprano de la representatividad en los juicios predictives. Revista de Investigación Psicológica.
31. Rodrigo, M. J., & Fonte, M.C. (1986). Ontogénesis del razonamiento predictivo. Unpublished manuscript, Universidad de La Laguna.
32. Schnotz, W., Picard, E., & Hron, A. (1993). How do successful and unsuccessful learners use texts and graphics? Learning and Instruction, 3, 181-199.
33. Siegel, A. W., & Kresch, E. (1971). Childrens' ability to operate within a matrix: A developmental study. Developmental Psychology, 4 (2), 232-239.
34. Siegler, R. S. (1981). Recent trends in the study of cognitive development: Variations on a task-analytic theme. Human Development, 23, 278-285.
35. Spence, I., & Krizel, P. (1994). Childrens' perception of proportions in graphs. Child Development, 65, 1193-1213.
36. Spinillo, A. G., & Bryant, P. (1991). Childrens' proportional judgments: The importance of "half". Child Development, 62, 427-440.
37. Surber, C. F., & Haines, B. A. (1987). The growth of proportional reasoning: Methodological issues. In R. Vasta (Ed.), Annals of child development (Vol. 4, pp. 35-87). Greenwich, CT: JAI.
38. Tversky, A., & Kahneman, D. (1974). Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases. In D. Kahneman, P. Slovic, & A. Tversky (Eds.), Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases. Cambridge University Press.