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1
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85033890181
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note
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Many thanks to Richard I. Hofferbert, participants at the SUNY-Binghamton political science graduate colloquium, and the political science department at Washington University in St. Louis for thoughtful comments on earlier ideas and drafts.
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2
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Changing models of party organization: The emergence of the cartel party
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R. Katz, and P. Mair, 'Changing models of party organization: The emergence of the cartel party', Party Politics 1,1 (1995), 5-28.
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Katz, R.1
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M. Duverger, Political Parties (New York, Wiley and Sons, 1954). D. W. Rae, The Political Consequences of Electoral Laws (New Haven, Yale University Press, 1967). W. H. Riker, 'The number of political parties: A re-examination of Duverger's law', Comparative Politics 9 (1976): 93-106. A. Lijphart, 'The political consequences of electoral laws, 1945-85', The American Political Science Review 84,9 (1990): 481-496.
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Political Parties
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Duverger, M.1
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M. Duverger, Political Parties (New York, Wiley and Sons, 1954). D. W. Rae, The Political Consequences of Electoral Laws (New Haven, Yale University Press, 1967). W. H. Riker, 'The number of political parties: A re-examination of Duverger's law', Comparative Politics 9 (1976): 93-106. A. Lijphart, 'The political consequences of electoral laws, 1945-85', The American Political Science Review 84,9 (1990): 481-496.
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M. Duverger, Political Parties (New York, Wiley and Sons, 1954). D. W. Rae, The Political Consequences of Electoral Laws (New Haven, Yale University Press, 1967). W. H. Riker, 'The number of political parties: A re-examination of Duverger's law', Comparative Politics 9 (1976): 93-106. A. Lijphart, 'The political consequences of electoral laws, 1945-85', The American Political Science Review 84,9 (1990): 481-496.
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M. Duverger, Political Parties (New York, Wiley and Sons, 1954). D. W. Rae, The Political Consequences of Electoral Laws (New Haven, Yale University Press, 1967). W. H. Riker, 'The number of political parties: A re-examination of Duverger's law', Comparative Politics 9 (1976): 93-106. A. Lijphart, 'The political consequences of electoral laws, 1945-85', The American Political Science Review 84,9 (1990): 481-496.
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S. M. Lipset, and S. Rokkan, Party Systems and Voter Alignments (New York, Free, 1967). R. Rose, and D. Urwin, 'Persistence and change in western party systems since 1945', Political Studies, 18 (1970), 287-319.
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Party Systems and Voter Alignments
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Lipset, S.M.1
Rokkan, S.2
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12
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Persistence and change in western party systems since 1945
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S. M. Lipset, and S. Rokkan, Party Systems and Voter Alignments (New York, Free, 1967). R. Rose, and D. Urwin, 'Persistence and change in western party systems since 1945', Political Studies, 18 (1970), 287-319.
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Urwin, D.2
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R. J. Dalton, Citizen Politics: Public Opinion and Political Parties Parties in Advanced Industrial Democracies (Chatham, NJ, Chatham House, 1996). R. Inglehart, Modernization and Post-modernization (Princeton, Princeton University Press, 1997).
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R. J. Dalton, Citizen Politics: Public Opinion and Political Parties Parties in Advanced Industrial Democracies (Chatham, NJ, Chatham House, 1996). R. Inglehart, Modernization and Post-modernization (Princeton, Princeton University Press, 1997).
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S. Bartolini, and P. Mair, Identity, Competition, and Electoral Availability: the Stabilisation of European Electorates 1885-1985 (New York, Cambridge University Press, 1990).
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Identity, Competition, and Electoral Availability: The Stabilisation of European Electorates 1885-1985
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Bartolini, S.1
Mair, P.2
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M. Duverger, Political Parties. A. Lijphart, Electoral Systems and Party Systems: a Study of Twenty-Seven Democracies, 1945-1990 (New York, Oxford University Press, 1994). R. J. Dalton, S. Flanagan, and P. Beck, Electoral Change in Advanced Industrial Societies: Realignment or Dealignment (Princeton, Princeton University Press, 1984).
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Political Parties
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Duverger, M.1
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17
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0003889006
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New York, Oxford University Press
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M. Duverger, Political Parties. A. Lijphart, Electoral Systems and Party Systems: a Study of Twenty-Seven Democracies, 1945-1990 (New York, Oxford University Press, 1994). R. J. Dalton, S. Flanagan, and P. Beck, Electoral Change in Advanced Industrial Societies: Realignment or Dealignment (Princeton, Princeton University Press, 1984).
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Lijphart, A.1
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M. Duverger, Political Parties. A. Lijphart, Electoral Systems and Party Systems: a Study of Twenty-Seven Democracies, 1945-1990 (New York, Oxford University Press, 1994). R. J. Dalton, S. Flanagan, and P. Beck, Electoral Change in Advanced Industrial Societies: Realignment or Dealignment (Princeton, Princeton University Press, 1984).
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(1984)
Electoral Change in Advanced Industrial Societies: Realignment or Dealignment
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Dalton, R.J.1
Flanagan, S.2
Beck, P.3
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19
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0004057162
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M. Duverger, Political Parties. D. W. Rae, Political Consequences of Electoral Laws. A. Lijphart, Eletoral Systems and Party Systems.
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Political Parties
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Duverger, M.1
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Political parties and confidence in government: A comparison of Norway, Sweden and the United States
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A. H. Miller, and O. Listhaug, 'Political parties and confidence in government: A comparison of Norway, Sweden and the United States', British Journal of Political Science, 29 (1990), 357-86.
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, vol.29
, pp. 357-386
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Listhaug, O.2
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The sources and structure of legitimation in western democracies: A consolidated model tested with time-series data in six countries since World War II
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F. Weil, 'The sources and structure of legitimation in western democracies: a consolidated model tested with time-series data in six countries since World War II', American Sociological Review, 54 (1989), 82-706.
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The politics of anti-party sentiment
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S. Scarrow, and T. Poguntke, 'The politics of anti-party sentiment', European Journal of Political Research, 29,3 (1996): 57-262.
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A. Lijphart, Democracies (new Haven, Yale University Press, 1984). G. B. Powell, Contemporary Democracies: Participation, Stability and Violence (Cambridge MA, Harvard University Press, 1982).
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Contemporary Democracies: Participation, Stability and Violence
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note
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Italy was left out of the analysis because it experienced significant electoral volatility, elections under a new electoral law, as well as the fundamental reformation of its party system during the period investigated here. Interested readers may obtain the empirical results with the Italian case included by contacting the author.
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29
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84971790778
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The theoretical limits of maximum distortion: Some analytic expressions for electoral systems
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J. Loosemore and V. Hanby, 'The theoretical limits of maximum distortion: some analytic expressions for electoral systems', British Journal of Political Science, 1 (1971), 467-77.
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84949792766
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Effective number of parties: A measure with application to west Europe
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M. Laakso and R. Taagepera, 'Effective number of parties: a measure with application to west Europe', Comparative Political Studies, 12 (1979), 3-27.
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Comparative Political Studies
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Laakso, M.1
Taagepera, R.2
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33
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85033896388
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note
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Instead of using the more widely known Rae/Taylor index of party system fractionalization, I measure party system change by changes in the effective number of parliamentary and electoral parties in system. Note, however, that the formula for the effective number of parties carries the same information as Rae's index of party system fractionalization, only expressed in a different metric. The reader can obtain Rae's fractionalization index (F) by substituting the value for the effective number of parties (N) in the following formula: F = 1 - (1/N).
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36
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The dynamics of European party systems: Changing patterns of electoral volatility
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M. Pedersen, 'The dynamics of European party systems: changing patterns of electoral volatility', European Journal of Political Research, 7 (1979), 7-26. M. Pedersen, 'Changing patterns of electoral volatility in European party systems, 1945-1977: explorations in explanation', in H. Daalder and P. Mair (eds), West European Party Systems: Continuity and Change (London, Sage, 1983), pp.29-66.
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Pedersen, M.1
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H. Daalder and P. Mair (eds), London, Sage
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M. Pedersen, 'The dynamics of European party systems: changing patterns of electoral volatility', European Journal of Political Research, 7 (1979), 7-26. M. Pedersen, 'Changing patterns of electoral volatility in European party systems, 1945-1977: explorations in explanation', in H. Daalder and P. Mair (eds), West European Party Systems: Continuity and Change (London, Sage, 1983), pp.29-66.
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, pp. 29-66
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Pedersen, M.1
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38
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85033878462
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note
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The somewhat lower levels of significance reported in some of the analyses may be due to the small number of cases analysed here. Thus, our interpretive strategy examines the direction of size of the correlation coefficient first, and its statistical significance second.
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39
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note
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The relationship between party system fragmentation and electoral volatility is virtually zero. Thus, it would be difficult to conclude that systems with a greater effective number of parties also display higher levels of electoral volatility.
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40
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0003422664
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Chatham, NJ, Chatham House
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For details, see R. Dalton, Citizen Politics: Public Opinion and Political Parties in Advanced Industrial Democracies, 2nd ed. (Chatham, NJ, Chatham House, 1996).
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Citizen Politics: Public Opinion and Political Parties in Advanced Industrial Democracies, 2nd Ed.
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Dalton, R.1
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42
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85033887576
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The Pearson correlation coefficient is 0.33 (Western Europe) and 0.46 (all cases; p < 0.1)
-
The Pearson correlation coefficient is 0.33 (Western Europe) and 0.46 (all cases; p < 0.1).
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43
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85033885516
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note
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I use averages here to smooth out any temporary fluctuations that may exist in the data. Note, however, that the substantive conclusions are unchanged when I employ year-by-year data.
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44
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0031286124
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Political institutions and satisfaction with democracy: A cross-national analysis of consensus and majoritarian systems
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Studies that have employed the democracy satisfaction measure as a dependent variable include C. J. Anderson, and C. A. Guillory, 'Political institutions and satisfaction with democracy: a cross-national analysis of consensus and majoritarian systems', American Political Science Review, 91,1 (1997), 66-81. H. D. Clarke, N. Dutt, and A. Kornberg, 'The political economy of attitudes toward polity and society in western European countries', Journal of Politics, 55 (1993), 998-1021. R. Harmel, and J. Robertson, 'Government stability and regime support: a cross-national analysis', Journal of Politics, 48 (1986), 1029-40.
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Anderson, C.J.1
Guillory, C.A.2
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45
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0002416022
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The political economy of attitudes toward polity and society in western European countries
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Studies that have employed the democracy satisfaction measure as a dependent variable include C. J. Anderson, and C. A. Guillory, 'Political institutions and satisfaction with democracy: a cross-national analysis of consensus and majoritarian systems', American Political Science Review, 91,1 (1997), 66-81. H. D. Clarke, N. Dutt, and A. Kornberg, 'The political economy of attitudes toward polity and society in western European countries', Journal of Politics, 55 (1993), 998-1021. R. Harmel, and J. Robertson, 'Government stability and regime support: a cross-national analysis', Journal of Politics, 48 (1986), 1029-40.
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Dutt, N.2
Kornberg, A.3
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46
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84974231640
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Government stability and regime support: A cross-national analysis
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Studies that have employed the democracy satisfaction measure as a dependent variable include C. J. Anderson, and C. A. Guillory, 'Political institutions and satisfaction with democracy: a cross-national analysis of consensus and majoritarian systems', American Political Science Review, 91,1 (1997), 66-81. H. D. Clarke, N. Dutt, and A. Kornberg, 'The political economy of attitudes toward polity and society in western European countries', Journal of Politics, 55 (1993), 998-1021. R. Harmel, and J. Robertson, 'Government stability and regime support: a cross-national analysis', Journal of Politics, 48 (1986), 1029-40.
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For analyses of support for democratic norms in Eastern Europe and the former Soviet Union, see J. L. Gibson, 'A mile wide but an inch deep (?): The structure of democratic commitments in the former USSR', American Journal of Political Science, 40,2 (1996), 396-420. G. Evans, and S. Whitefieid, 'The politics and economics of democratic commitment: support for democracy in transition societies', British Journal of Political Science, 25,4 (1995), 485-514.
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The politics and economics of democratic commitment: Support for democracy in transition societies
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For analyses of support for democratic norms in Eastern Europe and the former Soviet Union, see J. L. Gibson, 'A mile wide but an inch deep (?): The structure of democratic commitments in the former USSR', American Journal of Political Science, 40,2 (1996), 396-420. G. Evans, and S. Whitefieid, 'The politics and economics of democratic commitment: support for democracy in transition societies', British Journal of Political Science, 25,4 (1995), 485-514.
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J.-E. Lane, and S. Ersson, Politics and Society in Western Europe, 2nd ed. (London, Sage, 1991) p. 194.
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H.-D. Klingemann and Dieter Fuchs (eds) New York, Oxford University Press
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D. Fuchs, G. Guidorossi, and P. Svensson, 'Support for the Democratic System', In H.-D. Klingemann and Dieter Fuchs (eds) Citizens and the State (New York, Oxford University Press, 1995). p. 328.
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Support for the Canadian Federal Progressive Conservative Party since 1988: The impact of economic evaluations and economic issues
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n. 24
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H. D. Clarke, and A. Kornberg, 'Support for the Canadian Federal Progressive Conservative Party since 1988: the impact of economic evaluations and economic issues', Canadian Journal of Political Science, 25 (1992), p. 47, n. 24; and A. Kornberg, and H. D. Clarke, 'Beliefs about democracy and satisfaction with democratic government: the Canadian case', Political Research Quarterly, 47 (1994), 537-63, report on a variety of tests designed to establish construct validity of the satisfaction with democracy question as an indicator of system support. They find that satisfaction with democracy is clearly an indicator of actual system support and not coterminous with support for the incumbent government. Similarly, Fuchs ( D. Fuchs, 'Trends of political support', in D. Berg-Schlosser and R. Rytlewski (eds), Political Culture in Germany (New York, St. Martin s), p. 242) examines the validity of the satisfaction with democracy indicator and finds that the results constitute 'a successful validation of the indicator as a measuring instrument for a generalized attitude towards the political system on the legitimacy dimension'. Weil ('Structure and Sources of Legitimation , pp.692-3) provides some indirect construct validity for the satisfaction with democracy indicator as well by reporting high positive correlations with political trust.
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Canadian Journal of Political Science
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Clarke, H.D.1
Kornberg, A.2
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Beliefs about democracy and satisfaction with democratic government: The Canadian case
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H. D. Clarke, and A. Kornberg, 'Support for the Canadian Federal Progressive Conservative Party since 1988: the impact of economic evaluations and economic issues', Canadian Journal of Political Science, 25 (1992), p. 47, n. 24; and A. Kornberg, and H. D. Clarke, 'Beliefs about democracy and satisfaction with democratic government: the Canadian case', Political Research Quarterly, 47 (1994), 537-63, report on a variety of tests designed to establish construct validity of the satisfaction with democracy question as an indicator of system support. They find that satisfaction with democracy is clearly an indicator of actual system support and not coterminous with support for the incumbent government. Similarly, Fuchs ( D. Fuchs, 'Trends of political support', in D. Berg-Schlosser and R. Rytlewski (eds), Political Culture in Germany (New York, St. Martin s), p. 242) examines the validity of the satisfaction with democracy indicator and finds that the results constitute 'a successful validation of the indicator as a measuring instrument for a generalized attitude towards the political system on the legitimacy dimension'. Weil ('Structure and Sources of Legitimation , pp.692-3) provides some indirect construct validity for the satisfaction with democracy indicator as well by reporting high positive correlations with political trust.
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Clarke, H.D.2
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D. Berg-Schlosser and R. Rytlewski (eds), (New York, St. Martin s)
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H. D. Clarke, and A. Kornberg, 'Support for the Canadian Federal Progressive Conservative Party since 1988: the impact of economic evaluations and economic issues', Canadian Journal of Political Science, 25 (1992), p. 47, n. 24; and A. Kornberg, and H. D. Clarke, 'Beliefs about democracy and satisfaction with democratic government: the Canadian case', Political Research Quarterly, 47 (1994), 537-63, report on a variety of tests designed to establish construct validity of the satisfaction with democracy question as an indicator of system support. They find that satisfaction with democracy is clearly an indicator of actual system support and not coterminous with support for the incumbent government. Similarly, Fuchs ( D. Fuchs, 'Trends of political support', in D. Berg-Schlosser and R. Rytlewski (eds), Political Culture in Germany (New York, St. Martin s), p. 242) examines the validity of the satisfaction with democracy indicator and finds that the results constitute 'a successful validation of the indicator as a measuring instrument for a generalized attitude towards the political system on the legitimacy dimension'. Weil ('Structure and Sources of Legitimation , pp.692-3) provides some indirect construct validity for the satisfaction with democracy indicator as well by reporting high positive correlations with political trust.
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Political Culture in Germany
, pp. 242
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Fuchs, D.1
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Political support in East-Central Europe
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H.-D. Klingemann and D. Fuchs (eds), New York, Oxford University Press
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G. Tóka, 'Political support in East-Central Europe', H.-D. Klingemann and D. Fuchs (eds), Citizens and the State (New York, Oxford University Press, 1995). For an overview, see A. H. Miller, V. L. Hesli, and W. M. Reisinger, 'Conceptions of democracy among mass and elite in post-soviet societies', British Journal of Political Science, 27 (1997), 157-90.
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G. Tóka, 'Political support in East-Central Europe', H.-D. Klingemann and D. Fuchs (eds), Citizens and the State (New York, Oxford University Press, 1995). For an overview, see A. H. Miller, V. L. Hesli, and W. M. Reisinger, 'Conceptions of democracy among mass and elite in post-soviet societies', British Journal of Political Science, 27 (1997), 157-90.
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Anderson, C.J.1
Guillory, C.A.2
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