Midterm elections and divided government: An information-driven theory of electoral volatility

Political Research Quarterly

Volumn 52, Issue 3, 1999, Pages 609-629

  Nicholson, Stephen P ^a   Segura, Gary M ^a  

^a NONE

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EID: 0040629449     PISSN: 10659129     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.2307/449151     Document Type: Article

References (38)

1. Abramowitz, Alan. 1988. "Explaining Senate Election Outcomes." American Political Science Review 82 (2): 385-403.
2. _. 1995. "The End of the Democratic Era? 1994 and the Future of Congressional Election Research." Political Research Quarterly 48 (4): 873-89.
3. Alesina, Alberto, and Howard Rosenthal. 1995. Partisan Politics, Divided Government, and the Economy. New York: Cambridge University Press.
4. Alford, John R., and John R. Hibbing. 1981. "Increased Incumbency Advantage in the House." Journal of Politics 43 (4): 1042-61.
5. Alvarez, R. Michael, and Matthew M. Schousen. 1993. "Policy Moderation or Conflicting Expectations?" American Politics Quarterly 21 (4): 410-38.
6. Bartels, Larry M. 1996. "Uninformed Votes: Information Effects in Presidential Elections." American Journal of Political Science 40 (1): 194-230.
7. Bennett, Stephen E., and Linda L. M. Bennett. 1993. "Out of Sight, Out of Mind: Americans' Knowledge of Party Control of the House of Representatives, 1960-1984." Political Research Quarterly 46 (1): 67-80.
8. Cain, Bruce, John Ferejohn, and Morris Fiorina. 1987. The Personal Vote: Constituency Service and Electoral Independence. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.
9. Campbell, Angus. 1966. "Surge and Decline: A Study of Electoral Change." In Campbell, Converse, Miller and Stokes, eds., Elections and the Political Order. New York: Wiley.
10. Campbell, James E. 1993. The Presidential Pulse of Congressional Elections. Lexington: University of Kentucky Press.
11. Cover, Albert. D. 1985. "Surge and Decline in Congressional Elections." Western Political Quarterly 38 (4): 606-19.
12. Converse, Phillip E. 1964. "The Nature of Belief Systems in Mass Publics." In David E. Apter, ed., Ideology and Discontent. New York: Free Press.
13. Cox, Gary W., and Matthew D. McCubbins. 1991. "Divided Control of Fiscal Policy." In Gary W. Cox and Samuel Kernell, eds., The Politics of Divided Government. Boulder, CO: Westview.
14. Erikson, Robert S. 1988. "The Puzzle of Midterm Loss." Journal of Politics 50 (4): 1011-29.
15. Fenno, Richard F. 1982. The United States Senate: A Bicameral Perspective. Washington, DC: American Enterprise Institute.
16. Fiorina, Morris P. 1981. Retrospective Voting in American National Elections. New Haven: Yale University Press.
17. _. 1992. Divided Government. New York: Macmillan.
18. Franklin, Mark N., and Wolfgang P. Hirczy de Miño. 1998. "Separated Powers, Divided Government, and Turnout in U.S. Presidential Elections." American Journal of Political Science 42 (1): 316-36.
19. Ginsberg, Benjamin, and Martin Shefter. 1990. Politics by Other Means: The Declining Importance of Elections in America. New York: Basic Books.
20. Jacobson, Gary C. 1980. Money in Congressional Elections. New Haven: Yale University Press.
21. _. 1990a. The Electoral Origins of Divided Government. Boulder, CO: Westview.
22. _. 1990b. "The Effects of Campaign Spending in House Elections: New Evidence for Old Arguments." American Journal of Political Science 34 (2): 334-62.
23. Jacobson, Gary C., and Samuel Kernell. 1983. Strategy and Choice in Congressional Elections, 2nd.ed. New Haven: Yale University Press.
24. Kernell, Samuel. 1977. "Presidential Popularity and Negative Voting: An Alternative Explanation of the Midterm Congressional Decline of the President's Party." American Political Science Review 71 (1): 44-66.
25. _. 1991. "Facing an Opposition Congress: The President's Strategic Circumstance." In Gary W. Cox and Samuel Kernell, eds., The Politics of Divided Government. Boulder, CO: Westview.
26. King, Gary. 1991. "Constituency Service and Incumbency Advantage." British Journal of Political Science 21 (1): 119-28.
27. Klinkner, Philip A., ed. 1996. Midterm: The Elections of 1994 in Context. Boulder, CO: Westview.
28. Kramer, Gerald H. 1971. "Short-term Fluctuations in U.S. Voting Behavior, 1896-1964." American Political Science Review 65 (1): 131-43.
29. Leyden, Kevin M., and Stephen A. Borrelli. 1995. "The Effect of State Economic Conditions on Gubernatorial Elections: Does Unified Government Make a Difference." Political Research Quarterly 48 (2): 275-90.
30. Lowi, Theodore J. 1985. The Personal President: Power Invested, Promise Unfulfilled. Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press.
31. Mayhew, David R. 1991. Divided We Govern: Party Control, Lawmaking, and Investigations, 1946-1990. New Haven: Yale University Press.
32. McCubbins, Matthew D. 1991. "Government on Lay-Away: Federal Spending and Deficits Under Divided Party Control." In Gary W. Cox and Samuel Kernell, eds., The Politics of Divided Government. Boulder, CO: Westview.
33. Petrocik, John R. 1991. "Divided Government: Is It All in the Campaigns?" In Gary W. Cox and Samuel Kernell, eds., The Politics of Divided Government. Boulder, CO: Westview.
34. Segura, Gary M., and Stephen P. Nicholson. 1995. "Sequential Choices and Partisan Transitions in U.S. Senate Delegations: 1972-1988." Journal of Politics 57 (1): 86-100.
35. Sorauf, Frank J. 1988. Money in American Elections. Glenview, IL: Scott, Foresman.
36. Squire, Peverill. 1992. "Challenger Quality and Voting Behavior in U.S. Senate Elections." Legislative Studies Quarterly 17 (2): 247-61.
37. Tufte, Edward R. 1975. "Determinents of the Outcomes of Midterm Congressional Elections." American Political Science Review 69 (3): 812-26.
38. Wattenburg, Martin P. 1991. "The Republican Presidential Advantage in the Age of Party Disunity." In Gary W. Cox and Samuel Kernell, eds., The Politics of Divided Government. Boulder, CO: Westview.