The quality of BLS projections: A historical account

Monthly Labor Review

Volumn 122, Issue 5, 1999, Pages 27-35

  Rosenthal, Neal H ^a  

^a NONE

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[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EID: 0040218579     PISSN: 00981818     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: None     Document Type: Article

References (11)

1. Manpower Challenge of the 1960s (U.S. Department of Labor, 1960).
2. The Outlook for Technological Change and Employment, Appendix Volume 1, Technology and the American Economy (Washington, National Commission on Technology, Automation, and Economic Progress, February 1996).
3. On the Internet at: http://stats.bls.gov/empbib06.htm
4. Projections for occupations developed through an industry-occupation matrix and independently that were merged for publication purposes can be seen in Occupational Projections and Training Data, Bulletin 1824 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1974), pp. 79-87.
5. BLS conducted a Survey of Scientific and Technical Personnel in Industry, funded by the National Science Foundation, from the late 1950s through the 1960s. This survey program was the forerunner to the Occupational Employment Statistics survey. Similar information was collected in the Occupational Employment Statistics survey when it began.
6. Agricultural Services was covered by the Occupational Employment Statistics survey beginning in the early 1990s.
7. Because of data limitations and resource constraints, the occupational estimates for self-employed and unpaid family workers were not distributed across industries. Consequently, occupation/industry cross-tabulations were available only for wage and salary employment.
8. Some users considered the difference between the high- and low-scenario projections to be a range rather than projections having different assumptions.
9. See The Outlook for Technological Change and Employment, page I-15.
10. The latest example in the Monthly Labor Review is, "Evaluating the 1995 projections," September 1997, pp. 3-31.
11. Occupations not projected were listed, by size of employment, in the Occupational Projections and Training Data. 1982 Edition, Bulletin 2202 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, December 1982), pp. 89-96.