The flawed case for missile defence

Survival

Volumn 43, Issue 3, 2001, Pages 95-109

  Miller, Steven E ^a  

^a HARVARD UNIVERSITY   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EID: 0040152311     PISSN: 00396338     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1080/00396330112331343065     Document Type: Article

References (35)

1. Immediate abrogation was recommended, for instance, by Charles Krauthammer, 'Bush's To-Do List', Washington Post, 5 January 2001. An example of concern about Bush's commitment to push beyond the ABM Treaty is Frank Gaffney Jr., 'Which Bush on Missile Defense?', Washington Times, 26 June 2001.
2. Immediate abrogation was recommended, for instance, by Charles Krauthammer, 'Bush's To-Do List', Washington Post, 5 January 2001. An example of concern about Bush's commitment to push beyond the ABM Treaty is Frank Gaffney Jr., 'Which Bush on Missile Defense?', Washington Times, 26 June 2001.
3. See 'The Administration Missile Defense Papers', available at www.ceip.org/npp.
4. See, for example, James Dao, 'Work to Begin on Site for Testing Missile Defense', New York Times, 12 July 2001.
5. A useful concise survey of the emerging missile threat is Robert Windrem, 'How Real is the Rogue Threat?', MSNBC.com, 19 June 2001. A fuller discussion of the threat can be found in Charles L. Glaser and Steve Fetter, 'National Missile Defense and the Future of US Nuclear Weapons Policy', International Security, vol. 26, no. 1, Summer 2001.
6. A useful concise survey of the emerging missile threat is Robert Windrem, 'How Real is the Rogue Threat?', MSNBC.com, 19 June 2001. A fuller discussion of the threat can be found in Charles L. Glaser and Steve Fetter, 'National Missile Defense and the Future of US Nuclear Weapons Policy', International Security, vol. 26, no. 1, Summer 2001.
7. William Pfaff, 'What's Left to Do When You Don't "Do Windows"?', International Herald Tribune, 28 June 2001.
8. 'Remarks by the President to Students and Faculty at National Defense University', The White House, 1 May 2001, p. 2, www.whitehouse.gov/ news.releases/2001/05/20010501-10.html
9. 'Prepared Testimony of US Secretary of Defense Donald H. Rumsfeld', Senate Armed Services Committee, 21 June 2001, p. 5. Available at
10. Shibley Telhami, 'Time for Realism on Handling Iraq', Washington Post, 20 June 2001.
11. Paul Wolfowitz, 'Prepared Testimony on Ballistic Missile Defense to the Senate Armed Services Committee', 12 July 2001, available at http:// www.defencelink.mil/speeches/ 2001/s20010712-depsecdef.html, p. 3.
12. This argument is developed in Barry R. Posen, 'US Security Policy in a Nuclear-Armed World, or What if Iraq Had Had Nuclear Weapons?', in Victor Utgoff (ed.), The Coming Crisis: Nuclear Proliferation, US Interests, and World Order (Cambridge, MA: The MIT Press, 2000), pp. 157-190.
13. This is the conclusion, for example, of Victor Utgoff, 'The Coming Crisis: Nuclear Proliferation, US Interests, and World Order - A Combined Perspective', in Utgoff, The Coming Crisis, pp. 290-291.
14. Donald H. Rumsfeld, 'Toward 21st Century Deterrence', Wall Street Journal, 27 June 2001.
15. For more on how opponents might offset US defences, see Steven E. Miller, 'Defenses are Coming: The National Missile Defense Debate in the United States', in Cotta-Ramusino and Martellini, (eds), Missile Threats and Ballistic Missile Defense, pp. 126-127.
16. Peter Gosselin, 'Missiles, Missteps Take Spin', Los Angeles Times, 7 May 2001.
17. An excellent assessment of China's options in responding to US missile defence is Li Bin, 'The Impact of US NMD on Chinese Nuclear Modernization', available at http:// www.pugwash.org/reports/rc/ rc8e.htm.
18. See James R. Schlesinger, 'Rhetoric and Realities in the Star Wars Debate,' International Security, vol. 10, no. 1, Summer 1985, p. 3. Schlesinger writes: 'We were going to expand our offensive capabilities geometrically to deal with Soviet defence'.
19. Peggy Noonan, 'A Chat in the Oval Office', Wall Street Journal, 25 June 2001.
20. Charles Krauthammer, 'From a No-Wobble Bush', Washington Post, 18 June 2001.
21. From William Safire, 'Friendly Dissuasion', New York Times, 3 May 2001.
22. Quoted in Morton Kondracke, 'US Offer to Share Missile Defenses Could Quiet Critics', Roll Call, 18 June 2001.
23. Wolfowitz, 'Prepared Testimony on Ballistic Missile Defense to the Senate Armed Services Committee', p. 7.
24. See Jonathan Wright, Towell Says MAD is Indispensable', Washington Times, 21 June 2001. Powell's statement was interpreted as contradicting the president's declared distaste for mutual assured destruction.
25. David E. Sanger, 'Missile Shield Point Man Does Not Shy Away From Tough Sell', New York Times, 11 June 2001.
26. Quoted in Frank Bruni, 'Bush's Easygoing Words and Hard Line Actions', New York Times, 18 June 2001.
27. Quoted in Bill Sammon, 'Missile Defense a Hard Sell For Bush', Washington Times, 7 June 2001.
28. See, for example, James Dao, 'General Says Missile Shield Needs Money and Prudence', New York Times, 15 June 2001, which reports, 'A Pentagon official close to the missile defense program said all tests scheduled by the missile defense organization through 2003, and perhaps several years beyond that, complied with the treaty, including ones involving an airborne laser and ship-fired missiles'.
29. Coyle testified before the US House Committee on Government Operations. His comments are reported in John F. Tierney, 'Pentagon Report Reveals Flaws in Missile Defense', Boston Globe, 10 July 2001.
30. Thomas L. Friedman, The Rumsfeld Defense', New York Times, 13 July 2001.
31. This is close to the position that the US Strategic Command developed in 1996. See Walter Pincus, 'Military Study Mulled Deterrence of Fear', Washington Post, 5 July 2001.
32. Critics of the Bush administration's denigration of deterrence include Jim Hoagland, 'Getting the Point - Up to a Point', Washington Post, 31 May 2001; and Thomas L. Freedman, 'A Memo From Osama', New York Times, 26 June 2001.
33. Critics of the Bush administration's denigration of deterrence include Jim Hoagland, 'Getting the Point - Up to a Point', Washington Post, 31 May 2001; and Thomas L. Freedman, 'A Memo From Osama', New York Times, 26 June 2001.
34. See Richard Speier, 'Can the Missile Technology Control Regime Be Repaired?', in Joseph Cirincione, (ed.), Repairing the Regime: Preventing the Spread of Weapons of Mass Destruction (New York: Routledge, 2000), pp. 205-216, for a concise survey of the problems and possibilities associated with efforts to constrain international transfers of missiles.
35. James Dao, 'Rumsfeld Outlines To NATO Fast Track for Missile Shield', New York Times, 8 June 2001.