Uncertainty in social security trust fund projections

National Tax Journal

Volumn 53, Issue 3, 2000, Pages 515-529

  Meyerson, Noah ^a   Sabelhaus, John ^a  

^a Macroeconomic Analysis Division   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EID: 0039847631     PISSN: 00280283     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.17310/ntj.2000.3.11     Document Type: Article

References (12)

1. Board of Trustees, Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance Disability Insurance Trust Funds. 1999 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of the Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance Disability Insurance Trust Funds. (House Document 106-48). Washington, D.C.: Gov-ernment Printing Office, March, 1999.
2. Frees, Edward W. (Jed). "Summary of Social Security Administration Projections of the OASDI System." Social Security Advisory Panel Working Paper, December, 1999.
3. Frees, Edward W. (Jed), Yueh-Chuan Kung, Marjorie A. Rosenberg, Virginia R. Young, and Siu-Wai Lai. "Forecasting Social Security Actuarial Assumptions." North American Actuarial Journal 1 No. 4 (October, 1997): 49-84.
4. Foster, Richard S. "A Stochastic Evaluation of the Short-Range Economic Assumptions in the 1994 OASDI Trustees Report." Social Security Administration Actuarial Study No. 109. Baltimore: MD: SSA Office of the Actuary, August, 1994.
5. Holmer, Martin R. "Demographic Results from SSASIM, a Long-Run Stochastic Simulation Model of Social Security." Appendix A in Report of the 1994-1995 Advisory Council on Social Security, Volume II. Washington, D.C.: U.S. Government Printing Office, 1996.
6. Holmer, Martin R. "Stochastic Simulation of Economic Growth Effects of Social Security Reform." In Prospects for Social Security Reform, edited by Olivia S. Mitchell. Philadelphia: University of Pennsylvania Press for the Pension Research Council, 1999.
7. Holmer, Martin R. Introductory Guide to SSASIM. Washington, D.C.: Policy Simulation Group, March, 2000. Available at www.polsim.com.
8. Lee, Ronald D., and Shripad Tuljapurkar. "Stochastic Population Projections for the United States: Beyond Low, Medium, High." Journal of the American Statistical Association 89 No. 428 (December, 1994): 1175-89.
9. Lee, Ronald D., and Shripad Tuljapurkar. "Uncertain Demographic Futures and Social Security Finances." American Economic Review 88 No. 2 (May, 1998a): 237-41.
10. Lee, Ronald D., and Shripad Tuljapurkar. "Stochastic Forecasts of Social Security." In Frontiers in the Economics of Aging, edited by David A. Wise. Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1998b.
11. Social Security Advisory Board. The 1999 Technical Panel on Assumptions and Methods. Washington, D.C.: Social Security Advisory Board, November, 1999.
12. Sze, Michael. "Stochastic Simulation of the Financial Status of Social Security Trust Funds in the Next 75 Years." Appendix B in Report of the 1994-1995 Advisory Council on Social Security, Volume II. Washington, D.C.: U.S. Government Printing Office, 1996.