Can we predict centres of plant species richness and rarity from environmental variables in sub-Saharan Africa?

Botanical Journal of the Linnean Society

Volumn 142, Issue 2, 2003, Pages 187-197

  Taplin, James R D ^a,b   Lovett, Jon C ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF YORK   (United Kingdom)

^b Center for Applied Biodiversity Science   (United States)

Author keywords

African flora; Climate; Environmental predictor; Range size rarity; Surrogate measure

Indexed keywords

ENVIRONMENTAL FACTOR; PREDICTION; RARITY; SPECIES RICHNESS; VEGETATION MAPPING;

AFRICA;

EID: 0038686899     PISSN: 00244074     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1046/j.1095-8339.2003.00164.x     Document Type: Article

References (40)

1. Balmford A, Moore JL, Brooks T, Burgess N, Hansen LA, Williams P, Rahbek C. 2001. Conservation conflicts across Africa. Science 291: 2616-2619.
2. Bartlein PJ, Whitlock C, Shafer SL. 1997. Future climate in the Yellowstone National Park region and its potential impact on vegetation. Conservation Biology 11: 782-792.
3. Box EO. 1987. Modeling vegetation-environment relationships with Mediterranean examples. Annali di Botanica 45: 7-36.
4. Brooks T, Balmford A, Burgess N, Fjeldså J, Hansen LA, Moore J, Rahbek C, Williams P. 2001. Towards a blueprint for conservation in Africa. Bioscience 51: 613-624.
5. CELP. 2002. (The Centre for Ecology, Law and Policy) http://www.york.ac.uk/res/celp/webpages/projects/worldmap/worldmap.htm.
6. Corbett JD, O'Brien RF. 1997. The spatial characterization tool-Africa v, 1.0. Blackland Research Center Report no. 97-03, CDROM Publication. Blackland Research Center, Temple Texas: Texas Agricultural Experiment Station, Texas A&M University System.
7. Crisp MD, Laffan S, Linder HP, Monro A. 2001. Endemism in the Australian flora. Journal of Biogeography 28: 183-198.
8. Currie DJ. 2001. Projected effects of climate change on patterns of vertebrate and tree species richness in the conterminous United States. Ecosystems 4: 216-225.
9. Currie DJ, Paquin V. 1987. Large-scale biogeographic patterns of species richness in trees. Nature 329: 326-327.
10. Gentry AH. 1988. Changes in plant community diversity and floristic composition on environmental and geographic gradients. Annals of the Missouri Botanical Garden 75: 1-34.
11. Githaiga-Mwicigi JMW, Fairbanks DHK, Midgley G. 2002. Hierarchical processes define spatial pattern of avian assemblages restricted and endemic to the arid Karoo, South Africa. Journal of Biogeography 29: 1067-1087.
12. Goldblatt P. 1977. Systematics of Moraea in tropical Africa. Annuals of the Missouri Botanical Gardens 64: 243-295.
13. Goldblatt P. 1978. An analysis of the flora of Southern Africa: its characteristics, relationships, and origins. Annals of the Missouri Botanical Garden 65: 369-436.
14. Goldblatt P. 1997. Floristic diversity in the Cape Flora of South Africa. Biodiversity and Conservation 6: 359-377.
15. Hepper FN. 1979. Second edition of the map showing the extent of floristic exploration in Africa south of the Sahara. In: Kunkel, G, ed. Proceedings of the IX Plenary Meeting of AETFAT, 18-23 Marine 1978. Las Palmas de Gran Canaria: A.E.T.F.A.T. 157-162.
16. Hutchinson MF, Nix HA, McMahon JP, Ord KD. 1995. Topographic and climate database for Africa, Version 1.0. Canberra: Centre for Resource and Environmental Studies, Australian National University.
17. Iverson LR, Prasad AM. 1998. Predicting abundance for 80 tree species following climate change in the Eastern United States. Ecological Monographs 68: 465-485.
18. Jetz W, Rahbek C. 2002. Geographic range size and determinants of avian species richness. Science 297: 1548-1551.
19. La Ferla B, Taplin J, Ockwell D, Lovett JC. 2002. Continental scale patterns of biodiversity: Can higher taxa accurately predict African plant distributions? Botanical Journal of the Linnean Society 138: 225-235.
20. Lawton JH, Bgnell DE, Bolton B, Bloemers GF, Eggleton P, Hammond PM, Hodda M, Holt RD, Larsen TB, Mawdsley NA, Stork NE, Srivastava DS, Watt AD. 1998. Biodiversity inventories, indicator taxa and effects of habitat modification in tropical forest. Nature 391: 72-76.
21. Linder HP. 1985. Gene flow, speciation and species diversity patterns in a species rich area. The Cape Flora. In: Vrba ES, ed. Species and speciation. Pretoria: Transvaal Museum Monographs, 53-57.
22. Linder HP. 1991. Environmental correlates of patterns of species richness in the south western Cape Provinces of South Africa. Journal of Biogeography 18: 509-518.
23. Linder HP. 2001. Plant diversity and endemism in sub-Saharan tropical Africa. Journal of Biogeography 28: 169-182.
24. Lovett JC. 1990. Classification and status of the moist forests of Tanzania. Mitteilungen aus dem Institut für Allgemeine Botanik Hamburg 23a: 287-300.
25. Lovett JC, Friis I. 1996. Some patterns of endemism in the tropical north east and eastern African woody flora. In: Van der Maesen LJG, Van der Burgt XM, Van Medenbach de Rooy JM, eds. The biodiversity of African plants. Dordrecht: Kluwer Academic Publishers, 582-601.
26. Lovett JC, Rudd S, Taplin J, Frimodt-Møller C. 2000. Patterns of plant diversity in Africa south of the Sahara and their implications for conservation management. Biodiversity and Conservation 9: 33-42.
27. Mutke J, Kier G, Braun G, Schultz C, Barthlott W. 2002. Patterns of African vascular plant diversity - a GIS based analysis. Systematics and Geography of Plants 71: 1125-1136.
28. Myers N, Mittermeier RA, Mittermeier CG, da Fonseca GAB, Kent J. 2000. Biodiversity hotspots for conservation priorities. Nature 403: 853-858.
29. O'Brien EM. 1988. Climatic correlates of species richness for woody 'edible' plants across Southern Africa. Monographs in Systematic Botany from the Missouri Botanical Garden 25: 385-401.
30. O'Brien EM. 1993. Climatic gradients in woody plant species richness: towards an explanaition based on an analysis of southern Africa's woody flora. Journal of Biogeography 20: 181-198.
31. O'Brien EM. 1998. Water-energy dynamics, climate, and prediction of woody plant species richness: an interim general model. Journal of Biogeography 25: 379-398.
32. Phillips OL, Hall P, Gentry AH, Sawyer SA, Vásquez R. 1994. Dynamics and species richness of tropical rain forests. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, USA 91: 2805-2809.
33. Prentice KC. 1990. Bioclimatic distribution of vegetation for general circulation model studies. Journal of Geophysical Research 95: 11811-11830.
34. Schall JJ, Pianka ER. 1978. Geographic trends in number of species. Science 201: 679-686.
35. Shafer SL, Bartlein PJ, Thompson RS. 2001. Potential changes in the distributions of western North American tree and shrub taxa under future climate scenarios. Ecosystems 4: 200-215.
36. SPSS. 1999. Statistical Package for the Social Sciences, Release 10.0.5. (27 Nov 199). http://www.spss.com.
37. Taplin JRD. 1996. An economic analysis of the least cost methods for the conservation of endemic biodiversity richness in tree species along the Afromontane archipelago. Unpublished BSc Project, York, UK: Department of Environmental Economics and Environmental Management, University of York.
38. Williams PH. 1999. Worldmap. London: Natural History Museum.
39. Wright DH. 1983. Species-energy theory: an extension of species-area theory. Oikos 41: 496-506.
40. Wright DH, Currie DJ, Mauer BA. 1993. Energy supply and patterns of species richness in local and regional scales. In: Ricklefs RE, Schluter D, eds. Species diversity in ecological communities. Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 66-74.