When oracles fail-A comparison of four procedures for aggregating subjective probability forecasts

Organizational Behavior and Human Performance

Volumn 28, Issue 1, 1981, Pages 96-110

  Fischer, Gregory W ^a  

^a CARNEGIE MELLON UNIVERSITY   (United States)

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[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EID: 0038266605     PISSN: 00305073     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/0030-5073(81)90017-9     Document Type: Article

References (25)

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4. Group judgments in the field of lifted weights
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6. Calibration of probabilities: The state of the art
7. Scoring rules in probability assessment and evaluation
8. Conservatism in a simple probability inference task
9. Improving the quality of group judgment: Social judgment analysis and the Delphi technique
10. Assessing probability with multiple individuals: Group interaction vs. mathematical aggregation
11. An experiment in probabilistic weather forecasting
12. Probabilistic forecasting: An experiment related to the stock market
13. Costs and payoffs in perceptual research
14. Encoding subjective probabilities
15. The consensus of subjective probability distributions
16. Probabilistic prediction Some experimental results