Terrorism and Probability Neglect

Journal of Risk and Uncertainty

Volumn 26, Issue 2-3, 2003, Pages 121-136

  Sunstein, Cass R ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF CHICAGO LAW SCHOOL   (United States)

Author keywords

Behavioral economics; Probability; Risk perception; Terrorism

Indexed keywords

EID: 0037786760     PISSN: 08955646     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1023/A:1024111006336     Document Type: Review

References (27)

1. Alkahami, A.S. and P. Slovic. (1994). "A Psychological Study of the Inverse Relationship Between Perceived Risk and Perceived Benefit," Risk Analysis 14, 1085-1096.
2. Corso, P., J. Hammitt, and J. Graham. (2001). "Valuing Mortality-Risk Reduction: Using Visual Aids to Improve the Validity of Contingent Valuation," Journal of Risk and Uncertainty 23, 165-184.
3. Elster, J. (1983). Explaining Technical Change. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
4. Foster, K., D. Bernstein, and P. Huber, (eds.). (1993). Phantom Risk: Scientific Inference and the Law. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.
5. Gibbs, L.M. (1998). Love Canal: The Story Continues. New York: New Society Publishers.
6. Hamilton, J. and W.K. Viscusi. Calculating Risks: The Spatial and Political Dimensions of Hazardous Waste Policy. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.
7. Harrington, M. (2002). "People's Willingness To Accept Airport Security Delays in Exchange for Lesser Risk," (unpublished manuscript, on file with author).
8. Huber, P. (1983). "The Old-New Division in Risk Regulation," Virginia Law Review 69, 1025-1106.
9. Johnson, E.J., J. Hershey, J. Meszaros, and H. Kunreuther. (1993). "Framing, Probability Distortions, and Insurance Decisions," Journal of Risk and Uncertainty 7, 35-41.
10. Kahneman, D. and A. Tversky. (1979). "Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision Under Risk," Econometrica 47, 263-291.
11. Kunreuther, H., N. Novemsky, and Daniel Kahneman. (2001). "Making Low Probabilities Useful," Journal of Risk and Uncertainty 23, 103-120.
12. Kuran, T. and C. Sunstein. (1999). "Availability Cascades and Risk Regulation," Stanford Law Review 51, 683-768.
13. Loewenstein, G.F., E.U. Weber, C.K. Hsee, and E.S. Welch. (2001). "Risk as Feelings," Psychological Bulletin 127, 267-286.
14. Margolis, Howard. (1993). Dealing With Risk. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.
15. Noll, R. and J. Krier. (1990). "Some Implications of Cognitive Psychology for Risk Regulation," Journal of Legal Studies 19, 747-779.
16. Rothschild, M. (2001). "Terrorism and You - The Real Odds," Policy Matters, AEI-Brookings Joint Center for Regulatory Studies, available at http://www.aei-brookings.org/policy/page.php?id=19#top.
17. Rottenstreich, Y. and C. Hsee. (2001). "Money, Kisses, and Electric Shocks: On the Affective Psychology of Risk," Psychological Science 12, 185-190.
18. Sandman, P., N.D. Weinstein, and W.K. Hallman. (1998). "Communications to Reduce Risk Underestimation and Overestimation," Risk Decision and Policy 3, 93-108.
19. Sandman, P., P. Miller, B. Johnson, and N.D. Weinstein. (1994). "Agency Communication, Community Outrage, and Peception of Risk: Three Simulation Experiments," Risk Analysis 13, 589-602.
20. Slovic, P. (2000). The Perception of Risk. London: Earthscan Publications.
21. Slovic, P., M. Finucane, E. Peters, and D. MacGregor. (2002). "The Affect Heuristic." In T. Gilovich, D. Griffin, and D. Kahneman (eds.), Heuristics and Biases: The Psychology of Intuitive Judgment, pp. 397-420.
22. Slovic, P., J. Monahan, and D. MacGregor. (2000). "Violence Risk Assessment and Risk Communication: The Effect of Using Actual Cases, Providing Instructions, and Employing Probability vs. Frequency Formats," Law and Human Behavior 24, 271-296.
23. Sunstein, C. (2002a). Risk and Reason: Safety, Law, and the Environment. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
24. Sunstein, C. (2002b). "Probability Neglect: Emotions, Worst Cases, and Law," Yale Law Journal 112, 61-107.
25. Tversky, A. and D. Kahneman. (1974). "Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases," Science 185, 1124-1131.
26. Viscusi, W. Kip. (2000). "Corporate Risk Analysis: A Reckless Act?" Stanford Law Review 52, 547-597.
27. Wildavsky, A. (1995). But Is It True? A Citizen's Guide to Environmental Health and Safety Issues. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.