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Volumn 299, Issue 5615, 2003, Pages 1991-1992

Europe's population at a turning point

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

POPULATION DYNAMICS;

EID: 0037471163     PISSN: 00368075     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1126/science.1080316     Document Type: Short Survey
Times cited : (206)

References (20)
  • 5
    • 0242472952 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • note
    • Specifically, fertility is assumed to move immediately to, and remain at, about two children per woman, the level that would stabilize population size in the long run; mortality is held constant; and migration is assumed to be zero.
  • 8
    • 0036761121 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • J. Bongaarts, Popul. Dev. Rev. 28, 419 (2002). The average tempo effect for 10 EU countries with available data was estimated at about -0.33 for the period 1990 to 1997. Published data are insufficient to reliably estimate the tempo effect for additional EU countries or more recent years (see supporting online material).
    • (2002) Popul. Dev. Rev. , vol.28 , pp. 419
    • Bongaarts, J.1
  • 10
    • 0035027042 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Trends in countries with a variety of fertility patterns suggest that the quantum of fertility may decline in the future [T. Frejka, G. Calot, Popul. Dev. Rev. 27, 103 (2001)].
    • (2001) Popul. Dev. Rev. , vol.27 , pp. 103
    • Frejka, T.1    Calot, G.2
  • 12
    • 0242556577 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • note
    • Aging is also a concern in the United States, although because of higher fertility and higher immigration, aging of the population is anticipated to be less severe. In Central and Eastern Europe, it is more extreme because of lower fertility and no migration gains.
  • 20
    • 0242389591 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • note
    • The authors acknowledge helpful comments from J. Bongaarts, G. Y. Cao, T. Freika, J. Goldstein, A. Goujon, N. Keilman, H. P. Kohler, R. Lee, P. McDonald, D. Philipov, C. Wilson, and anonymous reviewers.


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.