메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 50, Issue 3, 2003, Pages 197-217

When is model complexity too much? Illustrating the benefits of simple models with Hughes' salvo equations

Author keywords

Combat models; Defense analysis; Hughes' salvo equations; JWARS; Simulation; Value of information

Indexed keywords

COMPUTATIONAL COMPLEXITY; COMPUTER SIMULATION; DECISION MAKING; INFORMATION ANALYSIS; MATHEMATICAL MODELS; THEOREM PROVING;

EID: 0037385919     PISSN: 0894069X     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1002/nav.10062     Document Type: Review
Times cited : (30)

References (46)
  • 1
    • 0002934357 scopus 로고
    • A proposed foundation for a theory of combat
    • Bracken, Kress, and Rosenthal (Editors), Wiley, New York
    • C. Ancker, "A proposed foundation for a theory of combat," Warfare modeling, Bracken, Kress, and Rosenthal (Editors), Wiley, New York, 1995, pp. 165-197.
    • (1995) Warfare Modeling , pp. 165-197
    • Ancker, C.1
  • 4
    • 0036253789 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Army operations research - Historical perspectives and lessons learned
    • January-February
    • S. Bonder, Army operations research - historical perspectives and lessons learned, Oper Res 50(1) (January-February 2002), 25-34.
    • (2002) Oper Res , vol.50 , Issue.1 , pp. 25-34
    • Bonder, S.1
  • 5
    • 0002349095 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Operational synthesis: Applying science to military science
    • December
    • A. Brandstein, Operational synthesis: Applying science to military science, PHALANX 32(4) (December 1999), 1, 30-31.
    • (1999) PHALANX , vol.32 , Issue.4 , pp. 1
    • Brandstein, A.1
  • 7
    • 0003100554 scopus 로고
    • Robustness in the strategy of scientific model building
    • R. Launer and G. Wilkinson (Editors), Academic Press, New York
    • G. Box, "Robustness in the strategy of scientific model building," Robustness in statistics, R. Launer and G. Wilkinson (Editors), Academic Press, New York, 1979.
    • (1979) Robustness in Statistics
    • Box, G.1
  • 11
    • 0012836902 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • DoD modeling and simulation (M & S) verification, validation, and accreditation (VV & A)
    • Washington, DC, April
    • Department of Defense, DoD modeling and simulation (M&S) verification, validation, and accreditation (VV&A), DoD Instruction 5000.61, Washington, DC, April 1996.
    • (1996) DoD Instruction 5000.61
  • 13
    • 0002042524 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Non-monotonicity, chaos, and combat models
    • J. Dewar, J. Gillogly, and M. Juncosa, Non-monotonicity, chaos, and combat models, Mil Oper Res 2(2) (1996), 37-49.
    • (1996) Mil Oper Res , vol.2 , Issue.2 , pp. 37-49
    • Dewar, J.1    Gillogly, J.2    Juncosa, M.3
  • 14
    • 0002168065 scopus 로고
    • Conservatism in human information processing
    • B. Kleinmutz (Editor), Wiley, New York
    • W. Edwards, "Conservatism in human information processing," B. Kleinmutz (Editor), Formal representation of human judgement, Wiley, New York, 1968, pp. 17-52.
    • (1968) Formal Representation of Human Judgement , pp. 17-52
    • Edwards, W.1
  • 19
    • 0012780428 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On razors and sabers: Occum's razor and other instruments for shaving extraneous assumptions and complexities from models
    • June
    • R. Helmbold, On razors and sabers: Occum's razor and other instruments for shaving extraneous assumptions and complexities from models, PHALANX 31(2) (June 1998), 17, 29.
    • (1998) PHALANX , vol.31 , Issue.2 , pp. 17
    • Helmbold, R.1
  • 20
    • 0003623177 scopus 로고
    • Is it you or your model talking?
    • R-4114-A/AF/OSD, RAND, Santa Monica, CA
    • J. Hodges and J. Dewar, Is it you or your model talking? A framework for model validation, R-4114-A/AF/OSD, RAND, Santa Monica, CA, 1992.
    • (1992) A Framework for Model Validation
    • Hodges, J.1    Dewar, J.2
  • 22
    • 0012818438 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Overview
    • W. Hughes (Editor), Military Operations Research Society, Alexandria, VA
    • W. Hughes, "Overview," Military modeling for decision making, 3rd edition, W. Hughes (Editor), Military Operations Research Society, Alexandria, VA, 1997, pp. 1-66.
    • (1997) Military Modeling for Decision Making, 3rd Edition , pp. 1-66
    • Hughes, W.1
  • 23
    • 0012827603 scopus 로고
    • A salvo model of warships in missile combat used to evaluate their staying power
    • G. Bracken, M. Kress, and R. Rosenthal (Editors), Wiley, New York
    • W. Hughes, A salvo model of warships in missile combat used to evaluate their staying power, Warfare Modeling, G. Bracken, M. Kress, and R. Rosenthal (Editors), Wiley, New York, 1995, pp. 121-143.
    • (1995) Warfare Modeling , pp. 121-143
    • Hughes, W.1
  • 24
    • 0012840547 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Debate surrounding small ship poses fundamental questions for U.S. Navy
    • 11 July
    • G. Jaffe, Debate surrounding small ship poses fundamental questions for U.S. Navy, The Wall Street Journal, 11 July 2001.
    • (2001) The Wall Street Journal
    • Jaffe, G.1
  • 25
    • 0004259528 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Joint Chiefs of Staff, Washington, DC
    • Joint Chiefs of Staff, Joint vision 2020, Washington, DC, 2000.
    • (2000) Joint Vision 2020
  • 27
    • 0003422576 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Joint Chiefs of Staff, Washington, DC
    • Joint Chiefs of Staff, Joint vision 2010, Washington, DC, 1997.
    • (1997) Joint Vision 2010
  • 30
    • 0012781423 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • quoted in Ref. [22]
    • M. Kendall, quoted in Ref. [22].
    • Kendall, M.1
  • 31
    • 0012879920 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • In my opinion: On analysis
    • March
    • G. Kent, In my opinion: On analysis, PHALANX 33(1) (March 2000), 1, 28-31.
    • (2000) PHALANX , vol.33 , Issue.1 , pp. 1
    • Kent, G.1
  • 34
    • 0242294113 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Human experiments on the values of information and force advantage
    • December
    • J. McGunnigle, W. Hughes, and T. Lucas, Human experiments on the values of information and force advantage, PHALANX 33(4) (December 2000), 10-11, 26-27.
    • (2000) PHALANX , vol.33 , Issue.4 , pp. 10-11
    • McGunnigle, J.1    Hughes, W.2    Lucas, T.3
  • 37
  • 38
    • 0012780429 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Making analysis relevant
    • March
    • V. Roske, Making analysis relevant, PHALANX 31(1) (March 1998).
    • (1998) PHALANX , vol.31 , Issue.1
    • Roske, V.1
  • 39
    • 0012841281 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Understanding instability in a complex deterministic combat simulation
    • K. Saeger and J. Hinch, Understanding instability in a complex deterministic combat simulation, Mil Oper Res 6(4) (2001), 43-55.
    • (2001) Mil Oper Res , vol.6 , Issue.4 , pp. 43-55
    • Saeger, K.1    Hinch, J.2
  • 41
    • 0023324565 scopus 로고
    • Perception of risk
    • P. Slovic, Perception of risk, Science 236 (1987), 280-285.
    • (1987) Science , vol.236 , pp. 280-285
    • Slovic, P.1
  • 43
    • 0012879922 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Models and wartime combat operations research
    • W. Hughes (Editor), Military Operations Research Society, Alexandria, VA
    • C. Thomas, "Models and wartime combat operations research," Military modeling for decision making, 3rd edition, W. Hughes (Editor), Military Operations Research Society, Alexandria, VA, 1997, pp. 69-112.
    • (1997) Military Modeling for Decision Making, 3rd Edition , pp. 69-112
    • Thomas, C.1
  • 45
    • 0012780431 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Objects, objections, and models
    • September
    • K. Yost, Objects, objections, and models, PHALANX 29(3) (September 1996), 6-7, 27-28.
    • (1996) PHALANX , vol.29 , Issue.3 , pp. 6-7
    • Yost, K.1
  • 46
    • 0012767389 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • JWARS overview
    • Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA, 28 October
    • M. Youngren, JWARS overview, Operations Research Departmental Seminar, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA, 28 October 2000.
    • (2000) Operations Research Departmental Seminar
    • Youngren, M.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.