Modelling infrastructure deterioration risks using Bayesian mixtures

International Journal of Modelling and Simulation

Volumn 23, Issue 1, 2003, Pages 43-51

  Maes, M A ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF CALGARY   (Canada)

Author keywords

Bayesian mixtures; Inspection updating; Probabilistic deterioration models; Structural reliability

Indexed keywords

BRIDGES; CHLORINE COMPOUNDS; CORROSION; DETERIORATION; INSPECTION; MATHEMATICAL MODELS; MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATION; RANDOM PROCESSES; REINFORCED CONCRETE; RELIABILITY; RISK ASSESSMENT; STRUCTURAL ANALYSIS;

BAYESIAN MIXTURES; EMPERICAL BAYES METHOD; INFRASTRUCTURE DETORIATION; PROBABILISTIC DETORIATION; STRUCTURAL RELIABILITY;

COMPUTER SIMULATION;

EID: 0037220045     PISSN: 02286203     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1080/02286203.2003.11442254     Document Type: Article

References (14)

1. W.H. Hartt, S.K. Lee, & J.E. Costa, Condition assessment and deterioration rate for chloride contaminated reinforced concrete structures, Proc. of the International Seminar on Repair and Rehabilitation of Reinforced Concrete Structures: The State of the Art, ASCE, Hawaii, 1997, 82-104.
2. M. Faber & J.D. Sorensen, Bayesian sampling using condition indicators, Proc. of the ICOSSAR Conf. 2001, Newport Beach, CA, 2001 (published on CD).
3. M.H. Faber, Risk based structural maintenance planning: Probabilistic methods for structural design, Solid Mechanics and Its Applications, 56 (Special Issue), 1997, 27-34.
4. J.S. Maritz & T. Lwin, Empirical Bayes methods (London: Chapmann & Hall, 1989).
5. K.W. Breitung, An empirical Bayes model for common cause failures, unpublished manuscript, Department of Civil Engineering, University of Pavia, Italy, 2000.
6. H. Robbins, An empirical Bayes approach to statistics, Proc. of the 3rd Berkeley Symp. on Mathematical Statistics and Probability, 1, Berkeley, CA, 1955, 157-164.
7. J.J. Deeley & D.V. Lindley, Bayes Empirical Bayes, Journal of the American Statistical Association, 76(376), 1981, 833-841.
8. D.V. Lindley, The use of prior probability distributions in statistical inference and decision, Proc. of the 4th Berkeley Symp. on Mathematical Statistics and Probability, 1, Berkeley, CA, 1961, 453-468.
9. X. Wei, Reliability-based assessment and inspection updating of concrete structures subject to corrosion, doctoral dissertation, Department of Civil Engineering, University of Calgary, Canada, 2002.
10. M.A. Maes, Tail heaviness in structural reliability, Proc. of the 7th ICASP Conf., Paris, 1995, 997-1002.
11. M.B. Roberts, C. Atkins, V. Hogg, & C. Middleton, A proposed empirical corrosion model for reinforced concrete, Proceedings of the Institute of Civil Engineers-Structures and Buildings, 140, 2000, 1-11.
12. D.M. Frangopol, K.-Y. Lin, & A.C. Estes, Reliability of reinforced concrete girders under corrosion attack, Journal of Structural Engineering, 123(3), 1996, 286-297.
13. M.A. Maes & X. Wei, Reliability of prestressed concrete structures subject to stress corrosion cracking, Proc. of the 9th International Federation for Information Processing Working Group 7.5 Conf. (Reliability and Optimization of Structural Systems), Ann Arbor, MI, 2000, 143-156.
14. M.A. Maes, SOROS: Second-order reliability in the original variable space: VB program and Excel add-in, User Notes, Civil Engineering Department, University of Calgary, Canada, 2000.