Conditional first-order second-moment method and its application to the quantification of uncertainty in groundwater modeling

Water Resources Research

Volumn 38, Issue 4, 2002, Pages 6-1-6-14

  Kunstmann, Harald ^a   Kinzelbach, Wolfgang ^b   Siegfried, Tobias ^b  

^a KARLSRUHE INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY   (Germany)

^b ETH ZURICH   (Switzerland)

Author keywords

Environmental tracer; First order second moment method; Groundwater recharge; Inverse stochastic modeling; Monte Carlo method; Uncertainty propagation

Indexed keywords

AQUIFERS; FLOW OF WATER; GROUNDWATER; HYDRAULIC CONDUCTIVITY; MONTE CARLO METHODS;

QUANTIFICATION;

WATER RESOURCES;

DECISION MAKING; GROUNDWATER FLOW; HYDROLOGICAL MODELING; MONTE CARLO ANALYSIS; RECHARGE; WATER MANAGEMENT;

BOTSWANA; PALLA ROAD AQUIFER;

EID: 0036547448     PISSN: 00431397     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1029/2000wr000022     Document Type: Article

References (51)

1. The use of environmental chloride and tritium to estimate total recharge in an unconfined aquifer
2. Estimation of aquifer parameters under transient and steady state conditions, 1, Maximum likelihood method incorporating prior information
3. Effects of kriging and inverse modeling on conditional simulation of the Avra Valley aquifer in southern Arizona
4. An analysis of perturbation based methods for the treatment of parameter uncertainty in numerical groundwater models
5. A method of estimating parameters and assessing reliability for models of steady state groundwater flow, 2, Application of statistical analysis
6. Analysis of flow through heterogeneous random aquifers, 2, Unsteady flow in confined formations
7. Spatial variability and uncertainty in groundwater flow parameters, A geostatistical approach
8. First order analysis of uncertainty in numerical models of groundwater flow, 1, Mathematical development
9. Pore velocity estimation uncertainties
10. A geochemical and isotopic approach to recharge evaluation in semi-arid zones - Past and present
11. Chloride concentration in groundwater, recharge rate and rate of deposition of chloride in the Israel coastal plain
12. Stochastic analysis of nonstationary subsurface solute transport, 1, Unconditional moments
13. Stochastic analysis of nonstationary subsurface solute transport, 2, Conditional moments
14. Probabilistic screening tool for groundwater contamination and risk assessment
15. Comparison of Gaussian conditional mean and kriging estimation in the geostatistical solution of the inverse problem
16. Linear and Monte Carlo uncertainty analysis for subsurface contaminant transport simulation
17. Parameter estimation in contaminant transport modelling
18. Computation of stochastic wellhead protection zones by combining the first-order second-moment method and Kolmogorov backward equation analysis
19. Groundwater resources management under uncertainty
20. Groundwater recharge, A guide to understanding and estimating natural recharge
21. A distributed parameter approach for evaluating the accuracy of groundwater model predictions, 1, Theory
22. Regionale stromungs- und transport-modellierung zur ermittlung des einzugsgebiets der mineralquellen von stuttgart - Bad cannstatt
23. Cross-correlated random field generation with the direct Fourier transform method
24. General theory of dispersion in porous media
25. Groundwater recharge estimation using chloride, deuterium and oxygen-18 profiles in the deep coastal sands of Western Australia
26. Estimation of natural groundwater recharge
27. A first-order reliability approach to stochastic analysis of subsurface flow and solute transport
28. The first-over reliability method of predicting cumulative mass flux in heterogeneous porous formations
29. Stochastic analysis of steady state groundwater flow in a bounded domain, 2, Two-dimensional simulations
30. Simulation of groundwater flow and mass transport under uncertainty
31. Analysis of uncertainty in optimal groundwater contaminant capture design
32. Computationally efficient algorithms for parameter estimation and uncertainty propagation in numerical models of groundwater flow
33. Chemical and isotopic methods for quantifying ground-water recharge in a regional, semiarid environment
34. Probabilistic multiphase flow modeling using the limit-state method
35. Review of parameter identification procedures in ground-water hydrology: The inverse problem
36. Use of a numerical flow and transport model in the interpretation of environmental tracer data