Forecasting malaria incidence from historical morbidity patterns in epidemic-prone areas of Ethiopia: A simple seasonal adjustment method performs best

Tropical Medicine and International Health

Volumn 7, Issue 10, 2002, Pages 851-857

  Abeku, Tarekegn A ^a   De Vlas, Sake J ^b   Borsboom, Gerard ^b   Teklehaimanot, Awash ^b   Kebede, Asnakew ^b   Olana, Dereje ^b   Van Oortmarssen, Gerrit J ^b   Habbema, J D F ^b  

^a ERASMUS MEDICAL CENTER   (Netherlands)

^b LONDON SCHOOL OF HYGIENE AND TROPICAL MEDICINE   (United Kingdom)

Author keywords

Epidemic early warning system; Ethiopia; Forecasting; Malaria; Time series analysis

Indexed keywords

DISEASE PREVALENCE; FORECASTING METHOD; HEALTH MONITORING; MALARIA; MORBIDITY;

ACCURACY; ANALYTICAL ERROR; ARTICLE; CONTROLLED STUDY; EPIDEMIC; ETHIOPIA; FORECASTING; HEALTH CARE FACILITY; HUMAN; INCIDENCE; MALARIA; METEOROLOGICAL PHENOMENA; METHODOLOGY; MORBIDITY; PARASITE TRANSMISSION; PREDICTION; SEASONAL VARIATION;

DISEASE OUTBREAKS; ETHIOPIA; FORECASTING; HUMANS; INCIDENCE; MALARIA; MODELS, STATISTICAL; MORBIDITY; SEASONS; TIME FACTORS;

ETHIOPIA;

PROTOZOA;

EID: 0036401266     PISSN: 13602276     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1046/j.1365-3156.2002.00924.x     Document Type: Article

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