Validation of weather and leaf wetness forecasts for a lettuce downy mildew warning system

Canadian Journal of Plant Pathology

Volumn 23, Issue 4, 2001, Pages 371-383

  Wu, B M ^a   Subbarao, K V ^a   Bruggen, A H C van ^b   Pennings, G G H ^c  

^a UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA   (United States)

^b WAGENINGEN UNIVERSITY   (Netherlands)

^c Serviceline Baan   (Netherlands)

Author keywords

Bremia lactucae; Leaf wetness duration; Relative humidity; Solar radiation; Temperature; Wind speed

Indexed keywords

BREMIA; BREMIA LACTUCAE; FUNGI; LACTUCA; PERONOSPORA FARINOSA;

EID: 0035689861     PISSN: 07060661     EISSN: 17152992     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1080/07060660109506958     Document Type: Article

References (36)

1. Armstrong, R., Barthakur, N. N., and Norris, E., 1993. A comparative study of three leaf wetness sensors. Int. J. Biometeorol., 37:7–10.
2. Bailey, J. E., Johnson, G. L., and Toth, S. J., Jr. 1994. Evolution of weather-based peanut leaf spot spray advisory in North Carolina. Plant Dis., 78:530–535.
3. Barthakur, N. N., 1985. A comparative study of radiometric and electronic leaf wetness sensors. Agric. For. Meteorol., 36:83–90.
4. Bass, B., Savdie, I., and Gillespie, T. J., 1991. Simulation of leaf wetness duration for field corn. Agric. For. Meteorol., 57:69–84.
5. Beresford, R. M., and Spink, M., 1992. A national disease forecasting system for apple black spot (Venturia inaequalis) in New Zealand. Acta Hortic. (Wagening), 313:285–296.
6. Brier, G. W., 1950. Verification of forecasts expressed in terms of probability. Mon. Weather Rev., 78:1–3.
7. Crosier, W., 1934. Studies in the biology of Phytophthora infestans (Mont.) de Bary, Cornell Univ. Agr. Exp. Stn. Mem. 155
8. Duncan, N., 1993. Who says they can forecast the weather?. New Sci., 138:44–45. 1879
9. Fry, W. E., Apple, A. E., and Bruhn, J. A., 1982. Evaluation of potato late blight forecasts modified to incorporate host resistance and fungicide weathering. Phytopathology, 73:1054–1059.
10. Gillespie, T. J., and Barr, A., 1984. Adaptation of a dew estimation scheme to a new crop and site. Agric. For. Meteorol., 31:289–295.
11. Gleason, M. L., MacNab, A. A., Pitblado, R. E., Ricker, M. D., East, D. A., and Latin, R. X., 1995. Disease-warning systems for processing tomatoes in Eastern North America:are we there yet?. Plant Dis., 79:113–121.
12. Gleason, M. L., Parker, S. K., Pitblado, R. E., Latin, R. X., Speranzini, D., Hazzard, R. V., Maletta, M. J., Cowgill, W. P., Jr. and Biederstedt, D. L., 1997. Validation of a commercial system for remote estimation of wetness duration. Plant Dis., 81:825–829.
13. Hill, C. D., 1993. Forecast problems in the western region of the national weather service:an overview. Weather and Forecasting, 8:158–165.
14. Huber, L., and Gillespie, T. J., 1992. Modelling leaf wetness in relation to plant disease epidemiology. Annu. Rev. Phytopathol., 30:553–577.
15. Hughes, G., McRoberts, N., and Burnett, F. J., 1999. Decision-making and diagnosis in disease management. Plant Pathol. (Lond), 48:147–153.
16. Krause, R. A., Massie, L. B., and Hyre, R. A., 1975a. BLITECAST:a computerized forecast of potato late blight. Plant Dis. Rep., 59:95–98.
17. Krause, R. A., Massie, L. B., and Hyre, R. A., 1975b. Predictive systems:modern approaches to disease control. Annu. Rev. Phytopathol., 13:31–47.
18. Leipper, D. F., 1994. Fog on the U. S. west coast:a review. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 75:229–240.
19. Murphy, A. H., 1988. Skill score based on the mean square error and their relationships to the correlation coefficient. Mon. Weather Rev., 116:2417–2424.
20. Murphy, A. H., 1996. General decompositions of MSE-based skill scores:measures of some basic aspects of forecast quality. Mon. Weather Rev., 1245:2353–2369.
21. Murphy, A. H., and Sabin, T. E., 1990. Trends in the quality of national weather service forecasts. Weather and Forecasting, 119:42–55.
22. Murphy, A. H., and Winkler, R. L., 1987. A general framework for forecast verification. Mon. Weather Rev., 115:1330–1338.
23. Parker, K. C., and Sutton, T. B., 1993. Effect of temperature and wetness duration on apple fruit infection and eradicant activity of fungicides against Botryosphaeria dothidea. Plant Dis., 77:181–185.
24. Pedro, M. J., and Gillespie, T. J., 1982a. Estimating dew duration. I. Utilizing micrometeorological data. Agric. Meteorol., 25:283–296.
25. Pedro, M. J., and Gillespie, T. J., 1982b. Estimating dew duration. II. Utilizing standard weather station data. Agric. Meteorol., 25:297–310.
26. Phipps, P. M., Deck, S. H., and Walker, D. R., 1996. Weather-based crop and disease advisories for peanut in Virginia. Plant Dis., 81:236–244.
27. Raposo, R., Wilks, D. S., and Fry, W. E., 1993. Evaluation of potato late blight forecasts modified to include weather forecasts:a simulation analysis. Phytopathology, 83:103–108.
28. Royer, M. H., Russo, J. M., and Kelley, J. G. W., 1989. Plant disease prediction using a mesoscale weather forecasting technique. Plant Dis., 73:618–624.
29. SAS Institute Inc. 1988. SAS/STAT(tm) user's guide, version 6.12, Cary, N.C.:SAS Institute Inc.
30. Scherm, H., and van Bruggen, A. H. C., 1993a. Sensitivity of simulated dew duration to meteorological variations in different climatic regions of California. Agric. For. Meteorol., 66:229–245.
31. Scherm, H., and van Bruggen, A. H. C., 1993b. Response surface models for germination and infection of Bremia lactucae, the fungus causing downy mildew of lettuce. Ecol. Model., 65:281–296.
32. Scherm, H., and van Bruggen, A. H. C., 1994. Weather variables associated with infection of lettuce by downy mildew (Bremia lactucae) in coastal California. Phytopathology, 84:860–865.
33. Scherm, H., Koike, S. T., Laemmlen, F. F., and van Bruggen, A. H. C., 1995. Field evaluation of fungicide spray advisories against lettuce downy mildew (Bremia lactucae) based on measured or forecast morning leaf wetness. Plant Dis., 79:511–516.
34. Sys, S., and Soenen, A., 1970. Investigations on the infection criteria of scab (Venturia inaequalis (Cke.) Wint.) on apples with respect to the table of Mills & Laplante. Agric. (Louvain), 18:3–8.
35. Vincelli, P. C., and Lorbeer, J. W., 1989. BLIGHT-ALERT:a weather-based predictive system for timing fungicide applications on onion before infection periods of Botrytis squamosa. Phytopathology, 79:493–498.
36. Xu, X. M., Butt, D. J., and van Santen, G., 1995. A dynamic model simulating infection of apple leaves by Venturia inaequalis. Plant Pathol. (Lond), 44:865–888.