Stakeholder Values and Scientific Modeling in the Neuse River Watershed

Group Decision and Negotiation

Volumn 10, Issue 4, 2001, Pages 355-373

  Borsuk, Mark ^a   Clemen, Robert ^a   Maguire, Lynn ^a   Reckhow, Kenneth ^a  

^a DUKE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

Author keywords

Bayes net; Decision analysis; Predictive modeling; Probability network; Risk assessment; Stakeholder involvement; Value focused thinking

Indexed keywords

EID: 0035592405     PISSN: 09262644     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1023/A:1011231801266     Document Type: Article

References (34)

1. Abramson, B., J. Brown, W. Edwards, A. Murphy, and R. L. Winkler. (1996). "Hailfinder: A Bayesian System for Forecasting Severe Weather," International Journal of Forecasting 12, 57-71.
2. Anderson, J. L. (1998). "Embracing Uncertainty: The Interface of Bayesian Statistics and Cognitive Psychology," Conservation Ecology, 2, 2.
3. Borsuk, M. E., C. A. Stow, R. A. Luettich Jr., H. W. Paerl, and J. L. Pinckney. (1999). "Probabilistic Prediction of Hypoxia in the Neuse River Estuary Using an Empirical Model of Oxygen Dynamics," Limnology and Oceanography. Under review.
4. Bowen, J. D. (1997). "Using a Mechanistic Eutrophication Model for Water Quality Management of the Neuse River," University of North Carolina-Charlotte, draft.
5. Burkholder, J. M., H. B. Glasgow, and E. J. Noga. (1993). "The Role of a Newly Discovered Toxic Dinoflagellate in Finfish and Shellfish Kills in the Neuse and Pamlico Estuaries," Albemarle-Pamlico Estuarine Study Report 93-08, NC. Department of Environment, Health and Natural Resources, Raleigh, NC.
6. Burkholder, J. M., and H. B. Glasgow. (1997). "Pfiesteria Piscicida and Other Pfiesteria-like Dinoflagellates: Behavior, Impacts, and Environmental Controls," Limnology and Oceanography 42, 1052-1075.
7. Burkholder, J. M., M. A. Mallin, and H. B. Glasgow. (1999). "Fish Kills, Bottom-Water Hypoxia, and the Toxic Pfiesteria Complex in the Neuse River and Estuary," Marine Ecology Progress Series 179, 301-310.
8. Clemen, R. T. (1996). Making Hard Decisions: An Introduction to Decision Analysis, 2nd edn. Pacific Grove, CA.: Duxbury.
9. Decisioneering. (1997). Analytica. Denver, CO.: Decisioneering, Inc.
10. Devore, J. L. (1991). Probability and Statistics for Engineering and the Sciences. Pacific Grove, CA.: Brooks/ Cole.
11. Glasgow, H. B., J. M. Burkholder, D. E. Schmechel, P. A. Tester, and P. A. Rublee. (1995). "Insidious Effects of a Toxic Estuarine Dinoflagellate on Fish Survival and Human Health," Journal of Toxicology and Environmental Health 46, 501-522.
12. Griffith, D. (1999). "Exaggerating Environmental Health Risk: The Case of the Toxic Dinoflagellate Pfiesteria," Human Organization 58, 119-127.
13. Kahneman, D., P. Slovic, and A. Tversky. (1982). Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
14. Keeney, R. L. (1992). Value-Focused Thinking. Cambridge, MA.: Harvard University Press.
15. Kuikka, S., and O. Varis. (1997). "Uncertainties of Climatic Change Impacts in Finnish Watersheds: A Bayesian Network Analysis of Expert Knowledge," Boreal Environment Research 2: 109-128.
16. Lauritzen, S. L., and D. J. Spiegelhalter. (1988). "Local Computations with Probabilities on Graphical Structures and their Application to Expert Systems (with discussion)," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society B50, 157-224.
17. Lind, E. A. (1995). Social Conflict and Social Justice: Some Lessons from the Social Psychology of Justice. Leiden, the Netherlands: Leiden University Press.
18. Lind, E. A., and T. R. Tyler. (1988). Social Psychology of Procedural Justice. New York: Plenum.
19. Maloney, K. A., L. A. Maguire, and E. A. Lind. (2000). "Neuse River Estuary Modeling and Monitoring Project Stage 1: Assessment of Stakeholder Interest and Concerns to Inform Long-term Modeling," UNC Water Resources Research Institute Report No. 325-G, Raleigh, NC.
20. Meyer, M., and J. Booker. (1991). Eliciting and Analyzing Expert Judgment: A Practical Guide. London: Academic Press.
21. Morgan, M.G., and M. Henrion. (1990). Uncertainty. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
22. Oliver, R. M., and J. Q. Smith (eds). (1990). Influence Diagrams, Belief Nets, and Decision Analysis. Chichester: Wiley.
23. Paerl, H. W., M. A. Mallin, C. A. Donahue, M. Go, and B. L. Peierls. (1995). "Nitrogen Loading Sources and Eutrophication of the Neuse River Estuary, North Carolina." Report No. 291. UNC Water Resources Research Institute, Raleigh, NC.
24. Paerl, H. W., J. L. Pinckney, J. M. Fear, and B. L. Peierls. (1998). "Ecosystem Responses to Internal and Watershed Organic Matter Loading: Consequences for Hypoxia in the Eutrophying Neuse River Estuary, North Carolina, USA," Marine Ecology Progress Series 166, 17-25.
25. Pearl, J. (1988). Probabilistic Reasoning in Intelligent Systems: Networks of Plausible Inference. San Mateo, CA: Morgan Kaufmann.
26. Raiffa, H., and R. Schlaifer. (1961). Applied Statistical Decision Theory. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.
27. Reckhow, K. H. (1994). "Water Quality Simulation Modeling and Uncertainty Analysis for Risk Assessment and Decision Making," Ecological Modeling 72, 1-20.
28. Reckhow, K. H. (1999). "Water Quality Prediction and Probability Network Models," Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 56, 1150-1158.
29. Stow, C. A., M. E. Borsuk, and D. W Stanley. (1999). "Nutrient Loading in the Neuse River Watershed: An Opportunity for Adaptive Management," Duke University, draft.
30. Thibaut, J. and L. Walker. (1975). Procedural Justice: A Psychological Analysis. Hillsdale, NJ: Erlbaum.
31. Thibaut, J., and L. Walker. (1978). "A Theory of Procedure," California Law Review 66, 541-566.
32. USEPA. (1998). Clean Water Action Plan: Restoring and Protecting America's Waters. EPA-840-R-98-001.
33. Varis, O. (1995). "Belief Networks for Modelling and Assessment of Environmental Change," Environmetrics 6, 439-444.
34. Walters, C. J. (1986). Adaptive Management of Renewable Resources. New York: McMillan.