Uncertainty, change, and war: Power fluctuations and war in the modern elite power system

Journal of Peace Research

Volumn 38, Issue 1, 2001, Pages 49-66

  Morton, Jeffrey S ^a   Starr, Harvey ^b  

^a FLORIDA ATLANTIC UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^b UNIVERSITY OF SOUTH CAROLINA   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EID: 0035584599     PISSN: 00223433     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1177/0022343301038001003     Document Type: Article

References (56)

1. Barringer, Richard E., 1972. War: Patterns of Conflict. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.
2. Boulding, Kenneth, 1962. Conflict and Defense. New York: Harper.
3. Bueno de Mesquita, Bruce, 1975. ’Measuring Systemic Polarity’, Journal of Conflict Resolution 19 (June): 187-216.
4. Bueno de Mesquita, Bruce, 1978. ’Systemic Polarization and the Occurrence and Duration of War’, Journal of Conflict Resolution 22 (June): 241-267.
5. Cashman, Greg, 1993. What Causes War? New York: Lexington Books.
6. Deutsch, Karl W. & J. David Singer, 1964. ’Multipolar Systems and International Stability’, World Politics 16 (April): 390-406.
7. Doran, Charles, 1980. ’War and the Cycle of Relative Power’, American Political Science Review 74 (December): 947-965.
8. Doran, Charles, 1991. Systems in Crisis. New York: Cambridge University Press.
9. Friedman, Gil & Harvey Starr, 1997. Agency, Structure, and International Politics. London: Routledge.
10. Gaddis, John Lewis, 1991. ’Great Illusions, the Long Peace, and the Future of the International System’, in Charles Kegley, ed., The Long Postwar Peace. New York: HarperCollins (25-51).
11. Gilpin, R., 1984. ’The Theory of Hegemonic War’. Paper given at the Conference on the Origins and Prevention of Major War, Durham, NH, October.
12. Goldstein, Joshua, 1988. Long Cycles: Prosperity and War in the Modern Age. New Haven, CT: Yale University Press.
13. Haas, Michael, 1974. International Conflict. Indianapolis, IN: Bobbs-Merill Press.
14. Jacoby, William G., 1999. ’Levels of Measurement and Political Research: An Optimistic View’, American Journal of Political Science 43 (January): 271-301.
15. Jervis, Robert, 1989. The Meaning of the Nuclear Revolution. Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press.
16. Kaplan, Morton, 1957. System and Process in International Politics. New York: John Wiley.
17. Kegley, Charles W., Jr. & Gregory A. Raymond, 1992. ’Must We Fear a Post-Cold War Multipolar System?’, Journal of Conflict Resolution 36 (September): 573-585.
18. Kennedy, Paul, 1987. The Rise and Fall of the Great Powers. New York: Random House.
19. Keohane, Robert O., 1984. After Hegemony: Cooperation and Discord in the World Political Economy. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.
20. Kim, Woosang & James D. Morrow, 1992. ’When Do Power Shifts Lead to War?’ American Journal of Political Science 36 (November): 896-922.
21. Kindleberger, Charles, 1973. The World In Depression, 1929-1939. Berkeley, CA: University of California Press.
22. Krasner, Stephen, 1976. ’State Power and the Structure of International Trade’, World Politics 28 (April): 317-347.
23. Kugler, Jacek & A. F. K. Organski, 1989. ’The Power Transition: A Retrospective and Prospective Evolution’, in Manus I. Midlarsky, ed., The Handbook of War Studies. Boston, MA: Unwin Hyman (171-194).
24. Levy, Jack S., 1983. War in the Modern Great Power System, 1495-1975. Lexington, KY: University Press of Kentucky.
25. Levy, Jack S., 1985a. ’Polarity of the System and International Stability: An Empirical Analysis’, in A. Sabrosky, ed., Polarity and War: The Changing Structure of International Conflict. Boulder, CO: Westview Press (41-66).
26. Levy, Jack S., 1985b. ’Theories of General War’, World Politics 37 (April): 344-374.
27. Levy, Jack S., 1989. ’The Causes of War: A Theoretical Review’, in Philip Tetlock, Jo Husbands, Robert Jervis, Paul Stern & Charles Tilly, eds, Behavior, Society and Nuclear War, vol. 1. New York: Oxford University Press (209-333).
28. Mackinder, Sir Halford, 1920. Distant Lands: An Elementary Study in Geography. London: G. Philip Sons.
29. Mahan, Alfred Thayer, 1890. The Influence of Sea Power in History. Boston, MA: Little, Brown.
30. Mandelbaum, Michael, 1981. The Nuclear Revolution: International Politics Before and After Hiroshima. New York: Cambridge University Press.
31. Mansfield, Edward D., 1994. Power, Trade and War. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.
32. Midlarsky, Manus I., 1974. ’Power, Uncertainty and the Onset of International Violence’, Journal of Conflict Resolution 18 (September): 395-431.
33. Midlarsky, Manus I., 1986. ’A Hierarchical Equilibrium Theory of Systemic War’, International Studies Quarterly 30 (March): 77-105.
34. Midlarsky, Manus I., 1988. The Onset of World War. Boston, MA: Unwin Hyman.
35. Midlarsky, Manus I., 1991. ’International Structure and the Learning of Cooperation: The Postwar Experience’, in Charles W. Kegley, ed., The Long Postwar Peace. New York: Harper-Collins (105-122).
36. Modelski, George, 1971. ’War and the Great Powers’, Peace Research Society, Papers, VIII: 45-59.
37. Modelski, George & William R. Thompson, 1988. Seapower in Global Politics, 1494-1993. Seattle, WA: University of Washington Press.
38. Morgenthau, Hans, 1948. Politics Among Nations. New York: Alfred A. Knopf.
39. Most, Benjamin A. & Harvey Starr, 1980. ’Diffusion, Reinforcement, Geo-Politics, and the Spread of War’, American Political Science Review 74 (December): 932-946.
40. Most, Benjamin & Harvey Starr, 1989. Inquiry, Logic and International Politics. Columbia, SC: University of South Carolina Press.
41. Most, Benjamin A., Harvey Starr, & Randolph M. Siverson, 1989. ’The Logic and Study of the Diffusion of International Conflict’, in Manus I. Midlarsky, ed., Handbook of War Studies. Boston, MA: Unwin Hyman (111-139).
42. Mueller, John, 1989. Retreat From Doomsday: The Obsolescence of Major War. New York: Basic Books.
43. Nye, Joseph, 1987. ’Nuclear Learning and U.S.-Soviet Security Regimes’, International Organizational (Summer): 371-402.
44. Organski, A. F. K., 1958. World Politics. New York: Knopf.
45. Ray, James Lee, 1989. ’The Abolition of Slavery and the End of International War’, International Organization 43 (Summer): 405-439.
46. Richardson, Lewis F., 1960. Statistics of Deadly Quarrels. Chicago, IL: Quadrangle Books.
47. Roberts, J. M., 1980. The Pelican History of the World. Middlesex: Harmondsworth Press.
48. Saperstein, Alvin M., 1991. ’The "Long Peace" -Result of a Bipolar Competitive World?’, Journal of Conflict Resolution 35 (March): 68-79.
49. Snyder, Glenn H. & Paul Diesing, 1977. Conflict Among Nations. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.
50. Starr, Harvey, 1975. Coalitions and Future War. Beverly Hills, CA: Sage.
51. Starr, Harvey, 1992. ’Democracy and War: Choice, Learning, and Security Communities’, Journal of Peace Research 29 (May): 207-214.
52. Starr, Harvey & Benjamin A. Most, 1976. ’The Substance and Study of Borders in International Relations Research’, International Studies Quarterly 20 (December): 581-620.
53. Vasquez, John, 1993. The War Puzzle. New York: Cambridge University Press.
54. Wallace, Michael, 1973. ’Alliance Polarization, Cross-Cutting, and International War, 1815-1964’, Journal of Conflict Resolution 17 (December): 576-604.
55. Waltz, Kenneth N., 1979. Theory of International Politics. Reading, MA: Addison-Wesley.
56. Waltz, Kenneth N., 1981. The Spread of Nuclear Weapons: More May Be Better. Adelphi Papers, No. 171. London: International Institute of Strategic Studies.