메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 17, Issue 4, 2001, Pages 607-621

On forecasting cointegrated seasonal time series

Author keywords

Forecasting; Periodic cointegration; Seasonal cointegration

Indexed keywords


EID: 0035486239     PISSN: 01692070     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/S0169-2070(01)00085-1     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (9)

References (28)
  • 2
    • 0007123151 scopus 로고
    • Testing for an unstable root in conditional and structural error correction models
    • Boswijk, H. P. (1994). Testing for an unstable root in conditional and structural error correction models. Journal of Econometrics 63, 37-60.
    • (1994) Journal of Econometrics , vol.63 , pp. 37-60
    • Boswijk, H.P.1
  • 6
    • 0033407236 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Common cycles in seasonal non-stationary time series
    • Cubadda, G. (1999). Common cycles in seasonal non-stationary time series. Journal of Applied Econometrics 14, 273-291.
    • (1999) Journal of Applied Econometrics , vol.14 , pp. 273-291
    • Cubadda, G.1
  • 7
    • 0000013567 scopus 로고
    • Co-integration and error correction: Representation, estimation and testing
    • Engle, R. F., & Granger, C. W. J. (1987). Co-integration and error correction: Representation, estimation and testing. Econometrica 55, 251-276.
    • (1987) Econometrica , vol.55 , pp. 251-276
    • Engle, R.F.1    Granger, C.W.J.2
  • 11
    • 0032417981 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Cointegration analysis of seasonal time series
    • Franses, P. H., & McAleer, M. (1998). Cointegration analysis of seasonal time series. Journal of Economic Surveys 12(5), 651-678.
    • (1998) Journal of Economic Surveys , vol.12 , Issue.5 , pp. 651-678
    • Franses, P.H.1    McAleer, M.2
  • 12
    • 0029484108 scopus 로고
    • Seasonality and stochastic trends in German consumption and income
    • Franses, P. H., & Paap, R. (1995). Seasonality and stochastic trends in German consumption and income. Empirical Economics 20, 109-132.
    • (1995) Empirical Economics , vol.20 , pp. 109-132
    • Franses, P.H.1    Paap, R.2
  • 13
    • 0031232281 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Performance of periodic error correction models in forecasting consumption data
    • Herwartz, H. (1997). Performance of periodic error correction models in forecasting consumption data. International Journal of Forecasting 13, 421-431.
    • (1997) International Journal of Forecasting , vol.13 , pp. 421-431
    • Herwartz, H.1
  • 16
    • 0000612352 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Likelihood analysis of seasonal cointegration
    • Johansen, S., & Schaumburg (1999). Likelihood analysis of seasonal cointegration. Journal of Econometrics, 88, 301-339.
    • (1999) Journal of Econometrics , vol.88 , pp. 301-339
    • Johansen, S.1    Schaumburg2
  • 18
    • 0001342550 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The impact of seasonal constants on forecasting seasonally cointegrated time series
    • Kunst, R. M., & Franses, P. H. (1998). The impact of seasonal constants on forecasting seasonally cointegrated time series. Journal of Forecasting 17, 109-124.
    • (1998) Journal of Forecasting , vol.17 , pp. 109-124
    • Kunst, R.M.1    Franses, P.H.2
  • 19
    • 0000665271 scopus 로고
    • Seasonal cointegration, common seasonals, and forecasting seasonal series
    • Kunst, R. M. (1993). Seasonal cointegration, common seasonals, and forecasting seasonal series. Empirical Economics 18, 761-776.
    • (1993) Empirical Economics , vol.18 , pp. 761-776
    • Kunst, R.M.1
  • 20
    • 38249009343 scopus 로고
    • Maximum likelihood inference on cointegration and seasonal cointegration
    • Lee, U. S. (1992). Maximum likelihood inference on cointegration and seasonal cointegration. Journal of Econometrics 54, 1-47.
    • (1992) Journal of Econometrics , vol.54 , pp. 1-47
    • Lee, U.S.1
  • 21
    • 21844512042 scopus 로고
    • A note on the critical values for the maximum likelihood (seasonal) cointegration tests
    • Lee, H. S., & Siklos, P. (1995). A note on the critical values for the maximum likelihood (seasonal) cointegration tests. Economic Letters 49, 137-145.
    • (1995) Economic Letters , vol.49 , pp. 137-145
    • Lee, H.S.1    Siklos, P.2
  • 22
    • 0031232278 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The role of seasonality in economic time series - Reinterpreting money-output causality in US data
    • Lee, H. S., & Siklos, P. (1997). The role of seasonality in economic time series - Reinterpreting money-output causality in US data. International Journal of Forecasting 13, 381-391.
    • (1997) International Journal of Forecasting , vol.13 , pp. 381-391
    • Lee, H.S.1    Siklos, P.2
  • 23
    • 44949279807 scopus 로고
    • The implications of periodically varying coefficients for seasonal time series processes
    • Osborn, D. R. (1991). The implications of periodically varying coefficients for seasonal time series processes. Journal of Econometrics 48, 373-384.
    • (1991) Journal of Econometrics , vol.48 , pp. 373-384
    • Osborn, D.R.1
  • 24
  • 25
    • 0000784320 scopus 로고
    • Asymptotic properties of residual based tests for cointegration
    • Phillips, P. C. B., & Ouliaris, S. (1990). Asymptotic properties of residual based tests for cointegration. Econometrica 58, 165-193.
    • (1990) Econometrica , vol.58 , pp. 165-193
    • Phillips, P.C.B.1    Ouliaris, S.2
  • 26
    • 0031231788 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Forecasting of seasonal cointegrated processes
    • Reimers, H. -E. (1997). Forecasting of seasonal cointegrated processes. International Journal of Forecasting 13, 369-380.
    • (1997) International Journal of Forecasting , vol.13 , pp. 369-380
    • Reimers, H.-E.1
  • 27
    • 77956888888 scopus 로고
    • Hidden periodic autoregressive-moving average models in time series data
    • Tiao, G. C., & Grupe, M. R. (1980). Hidden periodic autoregressive-moving average models in time series data. Biometrika 67, 365-373.
    • (1980) Biometrika , vol.67 , pp. 365-373
    • Tiao, G.C.1    Grupe, M.R.2
  • 28
    • 0031232063 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelling seasonal patterns and long-run trends in US time series
    • Wells, J. M. (1997). Modelling seasonal patterns and long-run trends in US time series. International Journal of Forecasting 13, 407-420.
    • (1997) International Journal of Forecasting , vol.13 , pp. 407-420
    • Wells, J.M.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.