Equifinality, data assimilation, and uncertainty estimation in mechanistic modelling of complex environmental systems using the GLUE methodology

Journal of Hydrology

Volumn 249, Issue 1-4, 2001, Pages 11-29

  Beven, Keith ^a   Freer, Jim ^a  

^a LANCASTER UNIVERSITY   (United Kingdom)

Author keywords

GLUE; Maimai catchment; Parameter conditioning; Prediction uncertainty; Rainfall runoff modelling; TOPMODEL

Indexed keywords

ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT; ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION; MATHEMATICAL MODELS; PARAMETER ESTIMATION; RAIN; RUNOFF;

LIKELIHOOD UNCERTAINTY ESTIMATION;

HYDROLOGY;

DATA ASSIMILATION; ESTIMATION METHOD; FORECASTING METHOD; RAINFALL-RUNOFF MODELING; UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS;

EID: 0035426008     PISSN: 00221694     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/S0022-1694(01)00421-8     Document Type: Article

References (49)

1. Uncertainty and equifinality in calibrating distributed roughness coefficients in a flood propagation model with limited data
2. A quasi-dynamic wetness index for characterising the spatial distribution of zones of surface saturation and soil water content
3. Changing ideas in hydrology: The case of physically based models
4. Prophecy, reality and uncertainty in distributed hydrological modelling
5. Equifinality and Uncertainty in Geomorphological Modelling
6. A discussion of distributed modelling
7. TOPMODEL: A critique
8. Uniqueness of place and the representation of hydrological processes
9. The future of distributed models: Model calibration and uncertainty prediction
10. A dynamic TOPMODEL
11. A physically-based variable contributing area model of basin hydrology
12. TOPMODEL
13. An evolving perceptual model of hillslope flow at the Maimai catchment
14. An analysis of transformations
15. Calibration and predictive uncertainty estimation of groundwater quality models: Application to Twin Lake Tracer Test
16. Flood frequency estimation by continuous simulation for a gauged upland catchment (with uncertainty)
17. Effective and efficient global optimisation for conceptual rainfall-runoff models
18. Imposing constrains on parameter values of a conceptual hydrological model using Gaseflow response
19. Modelling of streamflow at Slapton Wood using TOPMODEL within an uncertainty estimation framework
20. Bayesian estimation of uncertainty in land surface-atmosphere flux predictions
21. Estimation of evapotranspiration at the landscape scale: A fuzzy disaggregation approach
22. Conditioning a multiple patch SVAT model using uncertain time-space estimates of latent heat fluxes as inferred from remotely-sensed data
23. Multi-objective conditioning of a simple SVAT model
24. On constraining the predictions of a distributed model: The incorporation of fuzzy estimates of saturated areas into the calibration process
25. Bayesian estimation of uncertainty in runoff prediction and the value of data: An application of the GLUE approach
26. Topographic controls on subsurface stormflow at the hillslope scale for two hydrologically distinct small catchments
27. Modelling dispersion in complex open channel flows, 2. Fuzzy calibration
28. An approach to the preliminary analysis of environmental systems
29. Monte Carlo assessment of parameter uncertainty in conceptual catchment models: The metropolis algorithm
30. Use of spatially distributed water table observations to constrain uncertainty in a rainfall-runoff model
31. A reassessment of ground-water inverse problems
32. Mathematical models: Questions of trustworthiness
33. River flow forecasting through conceptual models, part 1: A discussion of principles
34. Modelling the hydrological response of Mediterranean catchments: Prades, Catalonia - The use of models as aids to hypothesis formulation
35. The ln (al tan(β) index: How to calculate it and how to use it within the TOPMODEL framework
36. Dynamic real-time prediction of flood inundation probabilities
37. Evaluation of predictive uncertainty in non-linear hydrological models using a Bayesian approach
38. Bayesian calibration of flood inundation models
39. Hydrology and related changes after harvesting native forest catchments and establishing Pinus radiata plantations
40. Equifinality and the problem of robust calibration in nitrogen budget simulations
41. Parameter uncertainty and interaction in complex environmental models
42. Observed spatial organisation of soil moisture and its relation to terrain indices
43. The changing spatial variability of subsurface flow across a hillside
44. Equifinality, sensitivity and uncertainty in the estimation of critical loads
45. Uncertainty in the estimation of critical loads: A practical methodology