Decision analysis: Dealing with uncertainty in diagnostic testing

Preventive Veterinary Medicine

Volumn 45, Issue 1-2, 2000, Pages 139-162

  Smith, R D ^a   Slenning, B D ^b  

^a UNIVERSITY OF ILLINOIS AT URBANA CHAMPAIGN   (United States)

^b Population Medicine Program   (United States)

Author keywords

Decision analysis; Decision tree; Modeling; Multiple testing; Pay off table; Sensitivity analysis; Veterinary

Indexed keywords

ANIMAL; ANIMAL DISEASE; ARTICLE; CATTLE; CATTLE DISEASE; DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEM; DIAGNOSTIC TEST; DIFFERENTIAL DIAGNOSIS; DOG; DOG DISEASE; ENZYME LINKED IMMUNOSORBENT ASSAY; FILARIASIS; PARATUBERCULOSIS; PERITONITIS; PREVALENCE; PROBABILITY; SENSITIVITY AND SPECIFICITY; VETERINARY MEDICINE;

ANIMALS; CATTLE; CATTLE DISEASES; DECISION SUPPORT TECHNIQUES; DIAGNOSIS, DIFFERENTIAL; DIAGNOSTIC TESTS, ROUTINE; DIROFILARIASIS; DOG DISEASES; DOGS; ENZYME-LINKED IMMUNOSORBENT ASSAY; PARATUBERCULOSIS; PERITONITIS; PREVALENCE; PROBABILITY; SENSITIVITY AND SPECIFICITY; VETERINARY MEDICINE;

EID: 0034732870     PISSN: 01675877     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/S0167-5877(00)00121-5     Document Type: Article

References (34)

1. Carpenter T.E., Berry S.L., Glenn J.S. Economics of Brucella ovis control in sheep: computerized decision-tree analysis. J. Am. Vet. Med. Assoc. 190:1987;983-987.
2. Clemen, R.T., 1995. Making Hard Decisions: An Introduction to Decision Analysis. Wadsworth, Belmont, CA, 752 pp.
3. Collins M.T., Morgan I.R. Economic decision analysis model of a paratuberculosis test and cull program. J. Am. Vet. Med. Assoc. 199:1991;1724-1729.
4. Courtney C.H., Zeng Q.-Y. Sensitivity and specificity of two heartworm antigen tests. Can. Pract. 18:1993;20-22.
5. Courtney C.H., Zeng Q.-Y., MacKinnon B.R. Comparison of two antigen tests and the modified Knott's test for the detection of canine heartworm at different worm burdens. Can. Pract. 18:1993;5-7.
6. Dargatz D.A., Salman M.D. Decision tree analysis and its value to herd health. Comp. Cont. Educ. Pract. Vet. 12:1990;433-439.
7. Dargatz D.A., Salman M.D. The use of break-even curves in decision making. Comp. Cont. Educ. Pract. Vet. 12:1990;1347-1351.
8. Dijkhuizen, A.A., Huirne, R.B.M., Hardaker, J.B., 1997. Scope and concepts of risky decision making. In: Dijkhuizen, A.A., Morris, R.S. (Eds.), Animal Health Economics. University of Sydney, pp. 135-148.
9. Dubensky R.A., White M.E. The sensitivity, specificity and predictive value of total plasma protein in the diagnosis of traumatic reticuloperitonitis. Can. J. Comp. Med. 47:1983;241-244.
10. Ducharme N.G., Pascoe P.J., Lumsden J.H., Ducharme G.R. A computer-derived protocol to aid in selecting medical versus surgical treatment of horses with abdominal pain. Equine Vet. J. 21:1989;447-450.
11. Eloit M., Lamy F., Glevarec M., Galaup F., Turmel R., Vigouroux A., Benet J.J., Toma B. Detection of bovine leukemia virus antibodies in bulk tank milk using an ELISA test: improvement of the predictive value of results by repeated testing. Biologicals. 18:1990;19-23.
12. Erb H.N. The benefit-cost analysis of disease control programs. Vet. Clin. North. Am. Food. Anim. Pract. 4:1988;169-181.
13. Fetrow J., Madison J.B., Galligan D. Economic decisions in veterinary practice: a method for field use. J. Am. Vet. Med. Assoc. 186:1985;792-797.
14. Galligan D.T., Ramberg C., Curtis C., Ferguson J., Fetrow J. Application of portfolio theory in decision tree analysis. J. Dairy Sci. 74:1991;2138-2144.
15. Gardner I.A., Carpenter T.E., Leontides L., Parsons T.D. Financial evaluation of vaccination and testing alternatives for control of parvovirus-induced reproductive failure in swine. J. Am. Vet. Med. Assoc. 208:1996;863-869.
16. Gardner I.A., Stryhn H., Lind P., Collins M.T. Conditional dependence between tests affects the diagnosis and surveillance of animal diseases. Prev. Vet. Med. 45:2000;107-122.
17. Kassirer J., Moskowitz P.A.J., Lau J., Pauker S.G. Decision analysis: a progress report. Ann. Internat. Med. 106:1987;275-291.
18. Knox K.M., Reid S.W., Irwin T., Murray M., Gettinby G. Objective interpretation of bovine clinical biochemistry data: application of Bayes law to a database model. Prev. Vet. Med. 33:1998;147-158.
19. Kramer, M.S., 1988. Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics. Springer, New York, 286 pp.
20. Lilford R.J., Pauker S.G., Braunholtz D.A., Chard J. Decision analysis and the implementation of research findings. Br. Med. J. 317:1998;405-409.
21. Madison J.B., Fetrow J., Galligan D. Economic decisions in food animal practice: to treat or not to treat. J. Am. Vet. Med. Assoc. 185:1984;520-521.
22. Martin, S.W., Meek, A.H., Willeberg, P., 1987. Veterinary Epidemiology: Principles and Methods. Iowa State University Press, Ames, 356 pp.
23. Mohammed H.O., Loefler S., Shearer J. Financial comparison of three testing strategies for detection of estrus in cattle. J. Am. Vet. Med. Assoc. 196:1990;865-869.
24. Oltenacu P.A., Ferguson J.D., Lednor A.J. Economic evaluation of pregnancy diagnosis in dairy cattle: a decision analysis approach. J. Dairy. Sci. 73:1990;2826-2831.
25. Pauker S.G., Kassirer J.P. Decision analysis. N. Engl. J. Med. 316:1987;250-258.
26. Ridge S.E., Vizard A.L. Determination of the optimal cutoff value for a serological assay: an example using the Johne's absorbed EIA. J. Clinic. Microbiol. 31:1993;1256-1261.
27. Slenning B.D. Financial analysis of a clinical trial comparing simple estrus detection with estrus detection after prostaglandin-based appointment breeding in a commercial dairy herd in California, USA. Prev. Vet. Med. 18:1994;239-257.
28. Slenning B.D., Gardner I.A. Economic evaluation of risks to producers who use milk residue testing programs. J. Am. Vet. Med. Assoc. 211:1997;419-427.
29. Smith R.D. Decision analysis in the evaluation of diagnostic tests. J. Am. Vet. Med. Assoc. 203:1993;1184-1192.
30. Smith, R.D., 1995a. Veterinary Clinical Epidemiology. A Problem-Oriented Approach. CRC Press, Boca Raton, 270 pp.
31. Smith, R.D., 1995b. Decision-analysis of heartworm diagnostic-tests and management options. In: Soll, M.D., Knight, D.H. (Eds.), Proceedings of the Heartworm Symposium'95. American Heartworm Society, Batavia, pp. 147-156.
32. Thrusfield, M., 1997. Veterinary Epidemiology. Iowa State University Press, Ames, 498 pp.
33. Vaillancourt, J.-P., Toma, B., et al., 1999. Dictionary of Veterinary Epidemiology. Iowa State University Press, Ames, 300 pp.
34. Wren, G., 1998. Testing for Johne's. Bovine Veterinarian: A supplement to Dairy Herd Management and Drovers for Bovine Practitioners. July-August, 4-8, Vance Publishing Corp., Lenexa, KS, USA.