-
1
-
-
8344262182
-
-
note
-
New businesses and private sector investment, represented in the model as the endeavors of stylized "entrepreneurs" have produced much, and perhaps most, of the economic gains from the transition to markets (e.g., Krueger, 1992; Tesche and Tohamy, 1994; Murrell, 1996).
-
-
-
-
2
-
-
8344275745
-
-
note
-
The population is assumed to be sufficiently large that no generality is lost by using a continuous function to describe the share of the population in favor of maintaining the reform.
-
-
-
-
3
-
-
8344234797
-
-
note
-
In practice, institutions can be corrupt or incompetent. Quite obviously, this can decrease efficiency, as can γ < 0. The model assumes that γ ≥ 0 to focus on the more interesting cases.
-
-
-
-
4
-
-
8344248402
-
-
note
-
Figure 1 could easily be modified to reflect a supermajority rule. If, for example, changing the reform required a vote over 67%, then W(t) = 0.33 would indicate the time at which there would be enough winners to block legislation. A supermajority rule would be relevant if, for example, (1) private property rights could be guaranteed under a constitution and (2) the country had somehow established a credible commitment to requiring a supermajority to amend the constitution. Committing to a supermajority rule would neither eliminate the commitment difficulties encountered under democratic government nor change the nature of the analysis in this article.
-
-
-
-
5
-
-
85088004843
-
-
note
-
redist does not exist, in which case losers would never prefer redistribution.
-
-
-
-
6
-
-
85088006298
-
-
note
-
redist/∂r > 0. (Proof available from author.)
-
-
-
-
7
-
-
8344221780
-
-
note
-
2 nor any other time can be rationally scheduled for redistribution.
-
-
-
-
8
-
-
85088004770
-
-
note
-
1 = 5, entry begins at t = 10.4.
-
-
-
-
9
-
-
8344274188
-
-
note
-
Numerical solutions are rounded.
-
-
-
-
10
-
-
8344286898
-
-
note
-
This focuses the analysis on the cases in which group B potentially can be an obstacle to reform: (i) group B can be decisive in voting, (ii) majority rule among voters holds meaningfully, (iii) the commitment issue is not trivialized by assuming a rule allowing only "winners" (who will oppose redistribution) to vote, (iv) the higher expected private sector returns for members of group A gives them a potential reason to prevent group B from voting, and (v) the issue of credible commitment to nonvoters is not trivialized.
-
-
-
-
11
-
-
8344266656
-
-
note
-
Obviously, even if democracy threatens property rights, it may not be undesirable. Individuals may value highly the democratic process itself. And, in practice, the alternatives to democracy have often produced disastrous policy.
-
-
-
-
12
-
-
85088004272
-
-
note
-
redist (which is easy to show when T = 0).
-
-
-
-
13
-
-
85088004146
-
-
note
-
A will reduce the value of redistribution.
-
-
-
-
14
-
-
8344268390
-
-
note
-
This is not to suggest that redistributing wealth is necessarily undesirable, inefficient, or detrimental to transition. The model's key concern with redistribution is that insecure property rights can reduce incentives to create wealth. Note that efficiency-enhancing aspects of redistribution are consistent with all the theoretical findings in the model: efficiency-enhancing redistribution can be modeled as a market-supporting institution that may either enhance or derail growth, depending on commitment issues and timing. Furthermore, it is easy to see how, in practice, a policy of ending transfer payments might be so unpopular that it would doom majority support for reform. And, at least in principle, redistribution can be used to compensate losers, thereby building a constituency in favor of more efficient policy (e.g., Blanchard, 1996; Rodrik, 1996). On the relationship between redistribution and growth, see, for example, Alesina and Rodrik (1994).
-
-
-
-
15
-
-
8344276531
-
-
note
-
There are several mechanisms through which tax enforcement institutions may improve efficiency (parallel to γ > 0 in the model). First, because widespread evasion greatly reduces the tax base, strengthening enforcement would allow marginal tax rates on reported income to be cut, without decreasing total tax revenue. This would generally be expected to reduce the deadweight loss of taxation, thereby improving efficiency. Second, weak enforcement may lead to inefficient revenue collection if governments resort, as they often have, to capricious seizures of wealth or to inflationary expansion of the money supply. Third, the inability to raise revenue may lead to an inefficiently low provision of public goods and of publicly provided goods that influence growth. For a discussion of models in which publicly provided goods influence economic growth, see Barro and Sala-i-Martin (1992). As should be obvious, this is not to say that increasing tax revenue will necessarily improve efficiency.
-
-
-
-
16
-
-
8344263706
-
-
note
-
Kornai (1990) also argues that strict enforcement of tax laws may not be optimal for transition.
-
-
-
-
17
-
-
8344290232
-
-
note
-
Olson (1982) also points out benefits from dismantling institutions. Naturally, rules against hiring or appointing former communists have caused controversy; for related scholarly work, see Frydman and Rapaczynski (1994) and Barberis et al. (1996).
-
-
-
-
18
-
-
8344279401
-
-
note
-
In practice, of course, moral hazard matters when establishing or dismantling institutions. The model ignores such problems because it is trivial to show how incompetent agencies can decrease efficiency. Corrupt agencies have indeed hindered entrepreneurs, creating disincentives to invest (e.g., Goldberg, 1994). See also Shu (1992), Shleifer and Vishny (1994), and Mauro (1995).
-
-
-
-
19
-
-
85088006153
-
-
note
-
b > 0. This generalization is straightforward because, when the first-best reform will not lead to immediate entry, there will never be any benefit to delay setting up the institution.
-
-
-
-
20
-
-
0000652243
-
Why are Stabilizations Delayed?
-
Alesina, Alberto, and Allan Drazen. 1991. "Why are Stabilizations Delayed?" 81 American Economic Review 1170-1188.
-
(1991)
American Economic Review
, vol.81
, pp. 1170-1188
-
-
Alesina, A.1
Drazen, A.2
-
21
-
-
84942834707
-
Distributive Politics and Economic Growth
-
Alesina, Alberto, and Dani Rodrik. 1994. "Distributive Politics and Economic Growth," 109 Quarterly Journal of Economics 465-490.
-
(1994)
Quarterly Journal of Economics
, vol.109
, pp. 465-490
-
-
Alesina, A.1
Rodrik, D.2
-
22
-
-
0030551316
-
The Determinants and Impact of Property Rights: Land Titles on the Brazilian Frontier
-
Alston, Lee J., Gary D. Libecap, and Robert Schneider. 1996. "The Determinants and Impact of Property Rights: Land Titles on the Brazilian Frontier," 12 Journal of Law, Economics, & Organization 25-61.
-
(1996)
Journal of Law, Economics, & Organization
, vol.12
, pp. 25-61
-
-
Alston, L.J.1
Libecap, G.D.2
Schneider, R.3
-
23
-
-
0010752971
-
-
San Francisco: Pacific Research Institute for Public Policy
-
Anderson, Terry L. 1995. Sovereign Nations or Reservations. San Francisco: Pacific Research Institute for Public Policy.
-
(1995)
Sovereign Nations or Reservations
-
-
Anderson, T.L.1
-
24
-
-
0030456301
-
How Does Privatization Work? Evidence from the Russian Shops
-
Barberis, Nicholas, Maxim Boycko, Andrei Shleifer, and Natalia Tsukanova. 1996. "How Does Privatization Work? Evidence From the Russian Shops," 104 Journal of Political Economy 764-790.
-
(1996)
Journal of Political Economy
, vol.104
, pp. 764-790
-
-
Barberis, N.1
Boycko, M.2
Shleifer, A.3
Tsukanova, N.4
-
26
-
-
84963034235
-
Public Finance in Models of Economic Growth
-
Barro, Robert J., and Xavier Sala-i-Martin. 1992. "Public Finance in Models of Economic Growth," 59 Review of Economic Studies 645-661.
-
(1992)
Review of Economic Studies
, vol.59
, pp. 645-661
-
-
Barro, R.J.1
Sala-i-Martin, X.2
-
28
-
-
0000509864
-
Theoretical Aspects of Transition
-
Papers and Proceedings
-
Blanchard, Olivier. 1996. "Theoretical Aspects of Transition," 86 American Economic Review (Papers and Proceedings) 117-122.
-
(1996)
American Economic Review
, vol.86
, pp. 117-122
-
-
Blanchard, O.1
-
30
-
-
84963062266
-
Economic Reform and Dynamic Political Constraints
-
Dewatripont, M., and G. Roland. 1992. "Economic Reform and Dynamic Political Constraints," 59 Review of Economic Studies 703-730.
-
(1992)
Review of Economic Studies
, vol.59
, pp. 703-730
-
-
Dewatripont, M.1
Roland, G.2
-
31
-
-
0000515718
-
Resistance to Reform: Status Quo Bias in the Presence of Individual-Specific Uncertainty
-
Fernandez, Raquel, and Dani Rodrik. 1991. "Resistance to Reform: Status Quo Bias in the Presence of Individual-Specific Uncertainty," 81 American Economic Review 1146-1155.
-
(1991)
American Economic Review
, vol.81
, pp. 1146-1155
-
-
Fernandez, R.1
Rodrik, D.2
-
33
-
-
0039346579
-
Complementarities in the Transition to Socialism: A Firm-Level Analysis
-
J. McMillan and B. Naughton, eds., Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press
-
Gates, Susan, Paul Milgrom, and John Roberts. 1996. "Complementarities in the Transition to Socialism: A Firm-Level Analysis," in J. McMillan and B. Naughton, eds., Reforming Asian Socialism: The Growth of Market Institutions. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press.
-
(1996)
Reforming Asian Socialism: The Growth of Market Institutions
-
-
Gates, S.1
Milgrom, P.2
Roberts, J.3
-
34
-
-
8344285555
-
Bureaucrats Stamping Nyet on Russia Reforms
-
August 22
-
Goldberg, Carey. 1994. "Bureaucrats Stamping Nyet on Russia Reforms." Los Angeles Times, August 22, A1.
-
(1994)
Los Angeles Times
-
-
Goldberg, C.1
-
35
-
-
8344282559
-
Tax Implementation Issues in the Transition from a Planned Economy
-
Ickes, Barry W., and Joel Slemrod. 1992. "Tax Implementation Issues in the Transition from a Planned Economy," 47 Public Finances / Finances Publiques (supplement) 384-399.
-
(1992)
Public Finances / Finances Publiques
, vol.47
, Issue.SUPPL.
, pp. 384-399
-
-
Ickes, B.W.1
Slemrod, J.2
-
38
-
-
0011333509
-
Institutions for the New Private Sector
-
C. Clague and G. C. Rausser, eds., Cambridge: Blackwell
-
Krueger, Ann O. 1992. "Institutions for the New Private Sector," in C. Clague and G. C. Rausser, eds., The Emergence of Market Economies in Eastern Europe. Cambridge: Blackwell.
-
(1992)
The Emergence of Market Economies in Eastern Europe
-
-
Krueger, A.O.1
-
39
-
-
0000643498
-
Rules Rather than Discretion: The Inconsistency of Optimal Plans
-
Kydland, Finn E., and Edward C. Prescott. 1977. "Rules Rather than Discretion: The Inconsistency of Optimal Plans," 85 Journal of Political Economy 473-491.
-
(1977)
Journal of Political Economy
, vol.85
, pp. 473-491
-
-
Kydland, F.E.1
Prescott, E.C.2
-
40
-
-
0003026996
-
Dynamic Optimal Taxation, Rational Expectations and Optimal Control
-
Kydland, Finn E., and Edward C. Prescott. 1980. "Dynamic Optimal Taxation, Rational Expectations and Optimal Control," 2 Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 79-91.
-
(1980)
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
, vol.2
, pp. 79-91
-
-
Kydland, F.E.1
Prescott, E.C.2
-
41
-
-
21844518521
-
The Institutional Foundations of Regulatory Commitment: A Comparative Analysis of Telecommunications Regulation
-
Levy, Brian, and Pablo T. Spiller. 1994. "The Institutional Foundations of Regulatory Commitment: A Comparative Analysis of Telecommunications Regulation," 10 Journal of Law, Economics, & Organization 201-246.
-
(1994)
Journal of Law, Economics, & Organization
, vol.10
, pp. 201-246
-
-
Levy, B.1
Spiller, P.T.2
-
42
-
-
0025948762
-
Discretionary Behaviour and Soviet Economic Reform
-
Litwack, John. 1991 "Discretionary Behaviour and Soviet Economic Reform," 43 Soviet Studies 255-279.
-
(1991)
Soviet Studies
, vol.43
, pp. 255-279
-
-
Litwack, J.1
-
44
-
-
0001874824
-
The Economics of Autocracy and Majority Rule: The Invisible Hand and the Use of Force
-
McGuire, Martin C., and Mancur Olson. 1996 "The Economics of Autocracy and Majority Rule: The Invisible Hand and the Use of Force," 34 Journal of Economic Literature 72-96.
-
(1996)
Journal of Economic Literature
, vol.34
, pp. 72-96
-
-
McGuire, M.C.1
Olson, M.2
-
45
-
-
0000393874
-
Financial Control in the Transition from Classical Socialism to a Market Economy
-
McKinnon, Ronald I. 1991. "Financial Control in the Transition from Classical Socialism to a Market Economy," 5 Journal of Economic Perspectives 107-122.
-
(1991)
Journal of Economic Perspectives
, vol.5
, pp. 107-122
-
-
McKinnon, R.I.1
-
48
-
-
0010014177
-
-
manuscript, Stanford University
-
Montinola, Gaoriella, Yingyi Qian, and Barry R. Weingast. 1994. "Federalism, Chinese Style: The Political Basis for Economic Success in China," manuscript, Stanford University.
-
(1994)
Federalism, Chinese Style: The Political Basis for Economic Success in China
-
-
Montinola, G.1
Qian, Y.2
Weingast, B.R.3
-
49
-
-
84960583830
-
The Transition to a Market Economy: Pitfalls of Partial Reform
-
Murphy, Kevin, Andrei Shleifer, and Robert Vishny. 1992. "The Transition to a Market Economy: Pitfalls of Partial Reform," 107 Quarterly Journal of Economics 889-906.
-
(1992)
Quarterly Journal of Economics
, vol.107
, pp. 889-906
-
-
Murphy, K.1
Shleifer, A.2
Vishny, R.3
-
50
-
-
0002762241
-
How Far Has the Transition Progressed?
-
Murrell, Peter. 1996. "How Far Has the Transition Progressed?" 10 Journal of Economic Perspectives 25-44.
-
(1996)
Journal of Economic Perspectives
, vol.10
, pp. 25-44
-
-
Murrell, P.1
-
53
-
-
84974486152
-
Constitutions and Commitment: The Evolution of Institutions Governing Public Choice in Seventeenth Century England
-
North, Douglass C, and Barry R. Weingast. 1989. "Constitutions and Commitment: The Evolution of Institutions Governing Public Choice in Seventeenth Century England," 49 Journal of Economic History 803-832.
-
(1989)
Journal of Economic History
, vol.49
, pp. 803-832
-
-
North, D.C.1
Weingast, B.R.2
-
55
-
-
1542475983
-
Big Bills Left on the Sidewalk: Why Some Nations are Rich, and Others Poor
-
Olson, Mancur. 1996. "Big Bills Left on the Sidewalk: Why Some Nations are Rich, and Others Poor," 10 Journal of Economic Perspectives 3-24.
-
(1996)
Journal of Economic Perspectives
, vol.10
, pp. 3-24
-
-
Olson, M.1
-
57
-
-
0003183081
-
The Role of the State and the Market in Establishing Property Rights
-
Rapaczynski, Andrzej. 1996. "The Role of the State and the Market in Establishing Property Rights," 10 Journal of Economic Perspectives 87-103.
-
(1996)
Journal of Economic Perspectives
, vol.10
, pp. 87-103
-
-
Rapaczynski, A.1
-
58
-
-
0002596097
-
Understanding Economic Policy Reform
-
Rodrik, Dani. 1996. "Understanding Economic Policy Reform," 34 Journal of Economic Literature 9-41.
-
(1996)
Journal of Economic Literature
, vol.34
, pp. 9-41
-
-
Rodrik, D.1
-
59
-
-
84984474607
-
The Role of Political Constraints in Transition Strategies
-
Roland, Gerard. 1994. "The Role of Political Constraints in Transition Strategies," 2 Economics of Transition 27-41.
-
(1994)
Economics of Transition
, vol.2
, pp. 27-41
-
-
Roland, G.1
-
60
-
-
0013386724
-
Unemployment and Inflationary Finance Dynamics at the Early Stages of Transition
-
Ruggerone, Luigi. 1996. "Unemployment and Inflationary Finance Dynamics at the Early Stages of Transition," 106 Economic Journal 483-494.
-
(1996)
Economic Journal
, vol.106
, pp. 483-494
-
-
Ruggerone, L.1
-
61
-
-
0001802588
-
Postcommunist Parties and the Politics of Entitlements
-
Sachs, Jeffrey. 1995. "Postcommunist Parties and the Politics of Entitlements," 6 Transition 1-4.
-
(1995)
Transition
, vol.6
, pp. 1-4
-
-
Sachs, J.1
-
62
-
-
0030532172
-
The Costs and Benefits of Privatization: An Incomplete Contracts Approach
-
Schmidt, Klaus M. 1996. "The Costs and Benefits of Privatization: An Incomplete Contracts Approach," 12 Journal of Law, Economics, & Organization 1-24.
-
(1996)
Journal of Law, Economics, & Organization
, vol.12
, pp. 1-24
-
-
Schmidt, K.M.1
-
64
-
-
8344260465
-
Income Tax Evasion and Enforcement: A Purely Theoretical Analysis of Chinese Income Tax System
-
Shu, Wei. 1992. "Income Tax Evasion and Enforcement: A Purely Theoretical Analysis of Chinese Income Tax System," 47 Public Finance / Finances Publiques 287-302.
-
(1992)
Public Finance / Finances Publiques
, vol.47
, pp. 287-302
-
-
Shu, W.1
-
65
-
-
8344221041
-
A Note on Economic Liberalization and Privatization in Hungary and Egypt
-
Tesche, Jean, and Sahar Tohamy. 1994. "A Note on Economic Liberalization and Privatization in Hungary and Egypt," 36 Comparative Economic Studies 51-72.
-
(1994)
Comparative Economic Studies
, vol.36
, pp. 51-72
-
-
Tesche, J.1
Tohamy, S.2
-
66
-
-
21144471988
-
Constitutions as Governance Structures: The Political Foundations of Secure Markets
-
Weingast, Barry R. 1993. "Constitutions as Governance Structures: The Political Foundations of Secure Markets," 149 Journal of Institutional and Theoretical Economics 286-311.
-
(1993)
Journal of Institutional and Theoretical Economics
, vol.149
, pp. 286-311
-
-
Weingast, B.R.1
-
67
-
-
0039395559
-
The Economic Role of Political Institutions: Market Preserving Federalism and Economic Development
-
Weingast, Barry R. 1995. "The Economic Role of Political Institutions: Market Preserving Federalism and Economic Development," 11 Journal of Law, Economics, & Organization 1-31.
-
(1995)
Journal of Law, Economics, & Organization
, vol.11
, pp. 1-31
-
-
Weingast, B.R.1
-
68
-
-
0031507203
-
The Political Foundations of Democracy and the Rule of Law
-
Weingast, Barry R. 1997. "The Political Foundations of Democracy and the Rule of Law," 91 American Political Science Review 245-263.
-
(1997)
American Political Science Review
, vol.91
, pp. 245-263
-
-
Weingast, B.R.1
|