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Volumn 19, Issue 2, 2000, Pages 193-206

Presidential address - Seeing through the fog: Policymaking with uncertain forecasts

(1)  Aaron, Henry J a  

a NONE

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EID: 0034408417     PISSN: 02768739     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1002/(sici)1520-6688(200021)19:2<193::aid-pam2>3.0.co;2-q     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (14)

References (17)
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    • Aaron, H.J., Gale, W., & Sly, J. (1999). The rocky road to tax reform. In H.J. Aaron and R.D. Reischauer (Eds.), Setting national priorities: The 2000 election and beyond (pp. 211-268). Washington, DC: Brookings Institution.
    • (1999) Setting National Priorities: The 2000 Election and Beyond , pp. 211-268
    • Aaron, H.J.1    Gale, W.2    Sly, J.3
  • 2
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    • Paying for an elderly population
    • H.J. Aaron and R.D. Reischauer (Eds.), Washington, DC: Brookings Institution
    • Aaron, H.J., & Reischauer, R.D. (1998). Paying for an elderly population. In H.J. Aaron and R.D. Reischauer (Eds.), Setting national priorities: The 2000 election and beyond (pp 162-210). Washington, DC: Brookings Institution.
    • (1998) Setting National Priorities: The 2000 Election and Beyond , pp. 162-210
    • Aaron, H.J.1    Reischauer, R.D.2
  • 4
    • 0001660667 scopus 로고
    • Uncertainty and effectiveness of policy
    • Brainard, W.C. (1977). Uncertainty and effectiveness of policy. American Economic Review, 57(2), 411-425.
    • (1977) American Economic Review , vol.57 , Issue.2 , pp. 411-425
    • Brainard, W.C.1
  • 7
    • 0039426082 scopus 로고
    • Consensus and diversity in the model simulation
    • R.C. Bryant, et al. (Eds.), Washington, DC: Brookings Institution
    • Bryant, R.C., Holtham, G., & Hooper, P. (1988). Consensus and diversity in the model simulation. In R.C. Bryant, et al. (Eds.), Empirical macroeconomics for interdependent economics (p. 39). Washington, DC: Brookings Institution.
    • (1988) Empirical Macroeconomics for Interdependent Economics , pp. 39
    • Bryant, R.C.1    Holtham, G.2    Hooper, P.3
  • 8
    • 0037861256 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Would a privatized social security system really pay a higher rate of return?
    • R.D. Arnold, M.J. Graetz, & A.H. Munnell (Eds.), National Academy of Social Insurance
    • Geanokoplos, J., Mitchell, O., & Zeldes, S. (1998). Would a privatized social security system really pay a higher rate of return? In R.D. Arnold, M.J. Graetz, & A.H. Munnell (Eds.), Framing the Social Security debate: Values, politics, and economics. National Academy of Social Insurance.
    • (1998) Framing the Social Security Debate: Values, Politics, and Economics
    • Geanokoplos, J.1    Mitchell, O.2    Zeldes, S.3
  • 9
    • 0000125532 scopus 로고
    • Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk
    • Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A. (1979). Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk. Econometrica, 47, 263-291.
    • (1979) Econometrica , vol.47 , pp. 263-291
    • Kahneman, D.1    Tversky, A.2
  • 10
    • 0040611555 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Global crossing strikes deal with Racal
    • October 11
    • Mehta, S.N., & Raghavan, A. (1999, October 11). Global Crossing strikes deal with Racal. The Wall Street Journal, pp. 1, 3.
    • (1999) The Wall Street Journal , pp. 1
    • Mehta, S.N.1    Raghavan, A.2
  • 11
    • 0002002756 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Perspectives on the social security crisis and proposed solutions
    • Murphy, K.M., & Welch, F. (1998). Perspectives on the Social Security crisis and proposed solutions. American Economic Review, 88(2), 142-150.
    • (1998) American Economic Review , vol.88 , Issue.2 , pp. 142-150
    • Murphy, K.M.1    Welch, F.2
  • 12
    • 0038833508 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • How the cell phone and web contracted an arranged marriage
    • October 11
    • Naik, G. (1999, October 11). How the cell phone and Web contracted an arranged marriage. The Wall Street Journal, pp. 1, 14.
    • (1999) The Wall Street Journal , pp. 1
    • Naik, G.1
  • 13
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    • Washington, D.C.: National Academy of Social Insurance
    • NASI (National Academy of Social Insurance). (1998). Report of the panel on privatization of Social Security. Washington, D.C.: National Academy of Social Insurance.
    • (1998) Report of the Panel on Privatization of Social Security
  • 14
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    • As huge changes roil the market, some ask: Where is the SEC?
    • October 11
    • Paltrow, S.J., Ip, G., & Schroeder, M. (1999, October 11). As huge changes roil the market, some ask: Where is the SEC?" The Wall Street Journal, pp. 1, 10.
    • (1999) The Wall Street Journal , pp. 1
    • Paltrow, S.J.1    Ip, G.2    Schroeder, M.3
  • 15
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    • Environmental policy in the next century
    • H.J. Aaron & R.D. Reischauer (Eds.), Washington, DC: Brookings Institution
    • Portney, P.R. (1999). Environmental policy in the next century. In H.J. Aaron & R.D. Reischauer (Eds.), Setting national priorities: The 2000 election and beyond (pp. 359-392). Washington, DC: Brookings Institution.
    • (1999) Setting National Priorities: The 2000 Election and Beyond , pp. 359-392
    • Portney, P.R.1
  • 17
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    • Why a funded system is needed and why it is not needed
    • 23-26 August
    • Sinn, H.W. (1999). Why a funded system is needed and why it is not needed. Paper presented to the 55th IIPF Congress in Moscow, 23-26 August.
    • (1999) 55th IIPF Congress in Moscow
    • Sinn, H.W.1


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