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Volumn 74, Issue 1, 2000, Pages 1-28

The retreat of plague from central Europe, 1640-1720: A geomedical approach

(1)  Eckert, Edward A a  

a NONE

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ARTICLE; EPIDEMIC; EUROPE; HEALTH SURVEY; HISTORY; HUMAN; PERIODICITY; PLAGUE; SHIP; TRAVEL; WAR;

EID: 0034146484     PISSN: 00075140     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1353/bhm.2000.0015     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (27)

References (56)
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    • note
    • Boundaries on the maps are present-day. The abbreviations used are Poland (POL), and former German lands now in Poland: Silesia (SIL), Pomerania (POM), and East Prussia (EP); Sweden (SWED), Denmark (DEN), Low Countries (Belgium and Netherlands, LC), Switzerland (SW), Slovakia (SLOV); in the Czech Republic, Bohemia (BOH) and Moravia (MOR); in Germany, Bavaria (BAV), Lower Saxony (LS), Saxony (SAX), Saxon Anhalt (SA), Brandenburg (BR), Mecklenburg (MECK), and Schleswig-Holstein (SH); in Austria (AUS), Styria (STY) and Carinthia (CAR); and Hungary (HUN).
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    • (n. 2), chap. 2
    • Most original sources of mortality data have been lost in a continuing process of destruction amplified during both world wars. Surviving parish or civil records of burials are not uniformly distributed, their concentrations varying markedly in different regions. In order to maximize the available quantitative data, three different categories of sources have been utilized. Burial data have been collected directly from the parish registers of some four hundred communities, most located in the southern half of Germany and in the west in the Rhine region. These data provide estimates of the normal yearly burial rate, the crisis mortality related to the epidemic, and the ratio between the two values as a measure of the intensity of the outbreak, as well as a characterization of the mortality crisis in terms of seasonality and the shape of the time-mortality curve, thus permitting verification of plague as the causal factor and indicating the variability of the crises in communities within the epidemic area. Irregularities inherent in these data are discussed more fully in Eckert, Structure of Plagues (n. 2), chap. 2. Less verifiable are quantitative data derived from later published articles and books. While nineteenth-century researchers provide a rich source of information about historic epidemics, the original parish or civil registers of the relevant communities have since disappeared. The data in the publications may have been derived from original registers or from vaguer estimates, as in historical chronicles of communities. Fortunately, in many (but not all) cases details expressed in the publications indicate that registers were the source of the data. Provided in such studies are estimates of population, burials in crisis years as compared to those in normal years, or tabular lists of yearly burials, but the precise data provided are variable in form and substance. These earlier publications are the basis for most of the quantitative data for the central part of northern Germany, the Netherlands, and Scandinavia. Another source of quantitative information was introduced for the later epidemics in eastern central Europe, notably Prussian and Austrian Habsburg lands: Prussian parish officers were required to send weekly lists of burials to the district governments, where mortality numbers were recorded and tabulated by civil servants, following which summaries were sent to central government bureaus. Since this system of weekly reporting made minimal demands on parish officers, with their varied levels of education and sense of orderliness, and since few weekly reports were missing, the data appear to be reliable. This is confirmed by the consistency of the scatter of yearly mortalities about the mean in normal times, while during epidemic periods the time-mortality curves conform closely to those of common plague epidemic curves. A similar system was employed in Austrian lands; however, most of this information, both the original weekly reports and the tabular summaries, has since disappeared. For both Prussian and Habsburg lands the data used here are derived from published tabulations for limited time periods, extracted from the original reports by scholars with an interest in crisis mortalities or population estimates.
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