Long-term shoreline position prediction and error propagation

Journal of Coastal Research

Volumn 16, Issue 1, 2000, Pages 145-152

  Douglas, Bruce C ^a   Crowell, Mark ^b  

^a UNIVERSITY OF MARYLAND   (United States)

^b Management Agency   (United States)

Author keywords

Beach width fluctuation; Forecast methods; Shoreline erosion rates

Indexed keywords

BEACH EROSION; ERROR; PREDICTION; SHORELINE EVOLUTION;

BEACH EROSION; COASTAL ZONE MANAGEMENT; ERROR ANALYSIS; FORECASTING METHOD; LONG RANGE FORECAST; SHORELINE CHANGE;

UNITED STATES;

EID: 0034057708     PISSN: 07490208     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: None     Document Type: Article

References (20)

1. ANDERS, F.J. and BYRNES, M.R., 1991. Accuracy of shoreline change rates as determined from maps and aerial photographs. Shore and Beach, 59(1), 17-26.
2. BYRNES, M.R. and HILAND, M.W., 1993. Shoreline position and nearshore bathymetric change (chapter 3). (Technical report prepared for Coastal Engineering Research Center).
3. CROWELL, M.; LEATHERMAN, S.P., and BUCKLEY, M.K., 1991. Historical shoreline change: error analysis and mapping accuracy. Journal of Coastal Research, 7(3), 839-852.
4. CROWELL, M.; DOUGLAS, B.C., and LEATHERMAN, S.P., 1997. On forecasting future U.S. shoreline positions: a test of algorithms. Journal of Coastal Research, 13(4), 1245-1255.
5. DOLAN, R.; HAYDEN, B.P.; MAY, P., and MAY, S., 1980. The reliability of shoreline change measurements from aerial photographs, Shore and Beach, 48, 22-29.
6. DOUGLAS, B.C.; CROWELL, M., and LEATHERMAN, S.P., 1998. Considerations for shoreline position prediction. Journal of Coastal Research, 14(3), 1025-1033.
7. DOUGLASS, S.L.; SANCHEZ, T.A., and JENKINS, S., 1998. Mapping erosion hazard areas in Baldwin County, Alabama and the use of confidence intervals in shoreline change analysis. In CROWELL, M. and LEATHERMAN, S.P. (eds) Mapping and Managing Coastal Erosion Hazard Areas (in press). Virginia: Coastal Education and Research Foundation (CERF).
8. FENSTER, M.S.; DOLAN, R., and ELDER, J.F., 1993. A new method for predicting shoreline positions from historical data. Journal of Coastal Research, 9(1), 147-171.
9. FRENCH, G.T. and LEATHERMAN, S.P., 1994. The use of global positioning systems in coastal studies (Technical report prepared for FEMA).
10. GALGANO, F.A., 1998. Geomorphic Analysis of Modes of Shoreline Behavior, and the Influence of Tidal Inlets on Adjacent Beaches, East Coast USA. Ph.D. Dissertation, University of Maryland, Department of Geography.
11. GALGANO, F.A.; DOUGLAS, B.C., and LEATHERMAN, S.P., 1998, Trends and variability of shoreline position, Journal of Coastal Research, SI 26, 282-291.
12. GELB, A., 1974. (ed.), 1974, Applied Optimal Estimation, Cambridge, Massachusetts. MIT Press.
13. LEATHERMAN, S.P., 1983. Shoreline mapping: a comparison of techniques, Shore and Beach, 51, 28-33.
14. MORTON, R.A., 1991, Accurate shoreline mapping: past present, and future. Coastal Sediments '91, pp. 997-1010.
15. MORTON, R.A. and SPEED, F.M., 1998, Evaluation of Shorelines and Legal Boundaries Controlled by Water Levels on Sandy Beaches. Journal of Coastal Research, in press.
16. MORTON, R.A.; PAINE, J.G., and GIBEAUT, J.C., 1994. Stages and duration of post-storm beach recovery, southeastern Texas coast, USA. Journal of Coastal Research, 10(4), 884-908.
17. PAJAK, M.J., 1997. The High Water Line as Shoreline Indicator. Masters Thesis, University of Maryland, Department of Geography.
18. SHALOWITZ, A.L., 1964. Shore and Sea Boundaries, Volume 2, U.S. Dept. of Commerce, Publication 10-1, U.S. Govt. Printing Office, Washington, D.C., 749 p. Also available online at http://chartmak-er.ncd.noaa.gov/ocs/text/shallow.htm.
19. STAFFORD, D.B., 1971. An aerial photographic technique for beach erosion surveys in North Carolina, CERC Tech. Memo. No. 36, 115 p.
20. ZHANG, K. Twentieth Century Storm Activity and Sea Level Rise Along the U.S. East Coast and their Impact on Shoreline Position. Ph.D. Dissertation, University of Maryland, Department of Geography.