Modelling hydrological responses to land use and climate change: A southern African perspective

Ambio

Volumn 29, Issue 1, 2000, Pages 12-22

  Schulze, Roland E ^a,b  

^a UNIVERSITY OF KWAZULU NATAL   (South Africa)

^b Sci Steering Committee of IGBP BAHC   (South Africa)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE MODELING; HYDROLOGICAL MODELING; HYDROLOGICAL RESPONSE; LAND USE;

(SOUTHERN); AFRICA;

EID: 0034016937     PISSN: 00447447     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1579/0044-7447-29.1.12     Document Type: Article

References (17)

1. Turner, B.L., Skole, B., Sanderson, S., Fischer, G., Fresco, L. and Leemans, R. 1995. Land-Use and Land-Cover Change: Science Research Plan. IGBP Report, 35. IGBP, Stockholm, Sweden, 132 pp.
2. COHS. 1991. Opportunities in the Hydrologic Sciences. National Research Council. Committee on Opportunities in the Hydrologic Sciences, Water Science and Technology Board: Commission on Geosciences, Environment and Resources. National Academy Press, Washington DC, USA, 348 pp.
3. Nemec, J. 1995. General circulation models, climate change, scaling and hydrology. In: Kite, G. W. (ed). Time and the River. Water Resources Publications, Highlands Ranch, CO, USA, pp 317-356.
4. Schulze, R.E. 1995. Hydrology and Agrohydrology. Water Research Commission, Pretoria, RSA, 552 pp.
5. Schulze, R.E. 1997. Impacts of global climate change in a hydrologically vulnerable region: Challenges to South African hydrologists. Progr. Phys. Geogr. 21, 113-136.
6. Kienzle, S.W., Lorentz, S.A. and Schulze, R.E. 1997. Hydrology and Water Quality of the Mgeni Catchment. Water Research Commission, Pretoria, RSA, 88 pp.
7. Schulze, R.E. 1997. South African Atlas of Agrohydrology and Climatology. Water Research Commission, Pretoria, RSA, 276 pp.
8. Acocks, J.P.H. 1988. Veld Types of South Africa. Botanical Survey of South Africa, Memoirs, 57. Botanical Research Institute, Pretoria, RSA, 146 pp.
9. Scott, D.F. and Schulze, R.E. 1992. The hydrological effects of a wildfire in a eucalypt afforested catchment. South African Forestry J. 160, 67-78.
10. Schulze, R.E., Horan, M. and Perks, L. 1997. Water resources assessment in the Nadi catchment for community requirements at Ehlanzeni. ACRUcons Report, 22. University of Natal, Department of Agricultural Engineering, Pietermaritzburg, RSA, 24 pp.
11. Schulze, R.E., Taylor, V., Matthews, G. and Hughes, G.O. 1997. Hydrological impacts of land use practices in the Pongola-Bivane catchment, Phase 2: Re-assessment of land uses in the Bivane catchment and hydrological impacts thereof. ACRUcons Report, 20. University of Natal, Department of Agricultural Engineering, Pietermaritzburg, RSA, 22 pp.
12. Hulme, M., Jiang, T. and Wigley, T.L.M. 1996. SCENGEN, A Climate Change Scenario Generator: User Manual. University of East Anglia, Climatic Research Unit, Norwich, UK, 38 pp.
13. Murphy, J.M. and Mitchell, J.F.B. 1995. Transient response of the Hadley Centre coupled ocean-atmosphere model to increasing carbon dioxide. Part 2, Spatial and temporal structure of the response. J. Climate 8, 57-80.
14. Legget, J., Pepper, W.J. and Swart, R.J. 1992. Emissions scenarios for the IPCC: An update. In: Houghton, J.T., Callander, B.A. and Varney, S.K. (eds). Climate Change 1992: The Supplementary Report to the IPCC Scientific Assessment. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, 38 pp.
15. Lowe, K.L. 1997. Agrohydrological Sensitivity Analysis with Regard to Projected Climate Change in Southern Africa. MSc dissertation. University of Natal, School of Environment and Development, Pietermaritzburg, RSA, 104 pp.
16. Lecler, N.L., Schulze, R.E. and Pike, A. 1996. Initial assessment of methodologies to generate agricultural and hydrological forecasts from seasonal categorical rainfall forecasts in South Africa. Proceedings: Workshop on Reducing Climate Related Vulnerability in Southern Africa. NOAA, Office of Global Programs, Washington DC, USA, pp 113-130.
17. Acknowledgements. The research results reported in this paper have emanated from projects funded by the Water Research Commission, the Foundation for Research Development and ESKOM, all from South Africa, as well as NOAA from the USA. Their support is acknowledged gratefully. I should also like to express my thanks to colleagues Gregory Kiker, Bradford Howe, Mark Horan and Lucille Perks for assistance with analytical/GIS work. All computations and GIS mapping were performed at the Computing Centre for Water Research at the University of Natal, and the Centre is thanked for making its facilities available.