Annual climate variability in the Holocene: Interpreting the message of ancient trees

Quaternary Science Reviews

Volumn 19, Issue 1-5, 2000, Pages 87-105

  Briffa, Keith R ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF EAST ANGLIA   (United Kingdom)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ANNUAL CYCLE; CLIMATE CHANGE; DENDROCHRONOLOGY; HOLOCENE;

EID: 0033976847     PISSN: 02773791     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/S0277-3791(99)00056-6     Document Type: Conference Paper

References (111)

1. Allan, R.J., D'Arrigo, R.D., 1999. 'Persistent' ENSO sequences: how unusual was the 1990-1995 El Niño? The Holocene 9, 101-118.
2. Baillie, M.G.L. A Slice Through Time: Dendrochronology and Precision Dating, 1995. Batsford, London, 176pp.
3. Baillie, M.G.L., 1999. Exodus to Arthur: Catastrophic Encounters with Comets. Batsford, London, 272pp.
4. Barclay D.J., Wiles G.C., Calkin P.E. A 1119-year tree-ring-width chronology from western Prince William Sound, southern Alaska. The Holocene. 9:1999;79-84.
5. Barnston A.G., Livezey R.E. Classification, seasonality and persistence of low-frequency atmospheric circulation patterns. Monthly Weather Review. 115:1987;1083-1126.
6. Boninsegna J.A. South American dendroclimatic records. Bradley R.S., Jones P.D. Climate Since A.D. 1500. 1992;446-462 Routledge, London.
7. Boninsegna J.A., Villalba R. Dendroclimatology in the Southern Hemisphere. Review and Prospects Dean J.S., Meko D.M., Swetnam T.W. Tree Rings, Environment and Humanity. 1996;127-141 RADIOCARBON, University of Arizona Press, Tucson.
8. Borgaonkar H.P., Pant G.B., Rupa-Kumar K. Dendroclimatic reconstruction of summer precipitation at Shrinigar, Kashmir, India, since the late eighteenth century. The Holocene. 4:1994;299-306.
9. Brauning A. Dendrochronology for the last 1400 years in eastern Tibet. Geo-Journal. 34:1994;75-95.
10. Briffa K.R., Jones P.D., Bartholin T.S., Eckstein D., Schweingruber F.H., Karlén W., Zetterberg P., Eronen M. Fennoscandian summers from A.D. 500. Temperature changes on short and long timescales Climate Dynamics. 7:1992;111-119.
11. Briffa K.R., Jones P.D., Shiyatov S.G., Schweingruber F.H., Cook E.R. unusual twentieth-century warmth in a 1000-year temperature record from Siberia. Nature. 376:1995;156-159.
12. Briffa K.R., Jones P.D., Schweingruber F.H., Karlén W., Shiyatov S.G. Tree ring variables as proxy-climate indicators. problems with low-frequency signals Jones P.D., Bradley R.S., Jouzel J. Climate Variations and Forcing Mechanisms of the Last 2000 Years. 1996;9-41 Springer, Berlin.
13. Briffa K.R., Jones P.D., Schweingruber F.H., Osborn T.J. Influence of volcanic eruptions on Northern Hemisphere summer temperature over the past 600 years. Nature. 393:1998;450-455.
14. Briffa K.R., Schweingruber F.H., Jones P.D., Osborn T.J., Shiyatov S.G., Vaganov E.A. Reduced sensitivity of recent tree-growth to temperatures at high northern latitudes. Nature. 391:1998;678-682.
15. Briffa, K.R., Schweingruber, F.H., Jones, P.D., Osborn, T.J., Harris, I.C., Shiyatov, S.G., Vaganov, E.A., Grudd, H., 1998c. Trees tell of past climates: but are they speaking less clearly today? Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London B 353, 65-73.
16. Briffa, K.R. et al., 1999a. Analysis of dendroclimatic variability and associated natural climates in Eurasia: the last 10,000 years (ADVANCE-10K). In: Proceedings of the European Climate Science Conference, Vienna. European Commission (DGXII), Brussels, in press.
17. Briffa, K.R., Osborn, T.J., Schweingruber, F.H., Jones, P.D., Shiyatov, S.G., Vaganov, E.A., 1999b. Tree-ring width and density chronologies around the Northern Hemisphere: Part 1, local and regional climate signals. The Holocene, in preparation.
18. Briffa, K.R., Osborn, T.J., Schweingruber, F.H., Jones, P.D., Shiyatov, S.G., Vaganov, E.A., 1999c. Tree-ring width and density chronologies around the Northern Hemisphere: Part 2, Spatio-temporal variability and associated climate patterns. The Holocene, in preparation.
19. Buckley B.M., Barbetti M., Watanasak M., D'Arrigo R.D., Boonchirdchoo S., Sarutanon S. Dendrochronological investigations in Thailand. IAWA Bulletin. 16:1995;393-409.
20. Buckley B.M., Cook E.R., Peterson M.J., Barbetti M. A changing temperature response with elevation for Lagarostrobus franklinnii in Tasmania, Australia. Climate Change. 36:1997;245-266.
21. Burgt X., van der Determination of the age of Pinus occidentalis in La Celestina, Dominican Republic, by the use of growth rings. IAWA Journal. 18:1997;139-146.
22. Chambers J.W., Higuchi N., Shimel J.P. Ancient trees in Amazonia. Nature. 391:1998;135.
23. Chbouki N., Stockton C.W., Myers D.E. Spatio-temporal patterns of drought in Morocco. International Journal of Climatology. 15:1995;187-205.
24. Cole J.E., Cook E.R. The changing relationship between ENSO variability and moisture balance in the continental United States. Geophysical Research Letters. 25:1998;4529-4531.
25. Cleaveland, M.K., 1999. A 963-year reconstruction of summer streamflow in the White River, Arkansas, USA, from tree rings. The Holocene, in press.
26. Cook E.R., Briffa K.R., Meko D.M., Graybill D.A., Funkhouser G. The segment length curse in long tree-ring chronology development for paleoclimatic studies. The Holocene. 5:1995;229-237.
27. Cook E.R., D'Arrigo R.D., Briffa K.R. A reconstruction of the North Atlantic Oscillation using tree-ring chronologies from North America and Europe. The Holocene. 8:1998;9-17.
28. Cook, E.R., Buckley, B.M., D'Arrigo, R.D., 1999a. Warm-season temperatures since 1600 B.C. reconstructed from Tasmanian tree rings and their relationship to large-scale sea-surface temperature anomalies. Climate Dynamics, in press.
29. Cook E.R., Meko D.M., Stahle D.W., Cleaveland M.K. Drought reconstructions for the continental United States. Journal of Climate. 12:1999;1145-1162.
30. 2 fertilisation, or greenhouse warming? Proceedings of the Royal Society of Tasmania 130, 65-72.
31. Cook, E.R., Kairiukstis, L.A. (Eds.), 1990. Methods of Dendrochronology. Kluwer, Dordrecht, 394pp.
32. Cook E.R., Meko D.M., Stockton C.W. A new assessment of possible solar and lunar forcing of the bidecadal drought rhythm in the western United States. Journal of Climate. 10:1997;1343-1356.
33. D'Arrigo R.D., Cook E.R., Jacoby G.C., Briffa K.R. NAO and sea surface temperature signatures in tree-ring records from the North Atlantic sector. Quaternary Science Reviews. 12:1993;431-440.
34. D'Arrigo R.D., Jacoby G.C. Dendroclimatic evidence from northern North America. Bradley R.S., Jones P.D. Climate Since A.D. 1500. 1992;296-311 Routledge, London.
35. D'Arrigo R.D., Jacoby G.C., Krusic P. Progress in dendroclimatic studies in Indonesia. Terrestrial and Atmospheric Science. 5:1994;349-363.
36. D'Arrigo R.D., Barbetti M., Watanasak M., Buckley B.M., Krusic P., Boonchirdchoo S., Sarutanon S. Progress in dendroclimatic studies on mountain Pine in Northern Thailand. IAWA Bulletin. 18(4):1997;433-444.
37. D'Arrigo R.D., Cook E.R., Salinger M.J., Palmer J., Krusic P.D., Buckley B.M., Villalba R. Tree-ring records from New Zealand, long-term context for recent warming trend. Climate Dynamics. 14:1998;191-199.
38. Dean, J.S., 1996. Dendrochronology and the study of human behaviour. In: Dean, J.S., Meko, D.M., Swetnam, T.W. (Eds.), Tree Rings, Environment and Humanity. RADIOCARBON, University of Arizona Press, Tuscon, pp. 461-469.
39. Dean, J.S., Meko, D.M., Swetnam, T.W. (Eds.), 1996. Tree Rings, Environment and Humanity. Radiocarbon. University of Arizona Press, Tucson, 889pp.
40. Devall M.S., Parresol B.R., Wright S.J. Dendroecological analysis of Cordia alliodora. Pseudobombax septenatum and Annona spraguei in central Panamá IAWA Journal. 16:1995;411-424.
41. Diaz H.F., Kiladis G.N. Atmospheric teleconnections associated with the extreme phases of the Southern Oscillation. Diaz H.F., Markgraf V. El Niño. 1992;7-28 Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, U.K.
42. Diaz, H.F., Markgraf, V. (Eds.), 1992. El Niño. Historical and Paleoclimatic Aspects of the Southern Oscillation. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 476pp.
43. Eronen M., Hyvarinen H., Zetterberg P. Holocene changes in humidity inferred from lake sediments and submerged Scots pines dated by tree rings in northern Finnish Lapland. The Holocene. 9:1999;569-580.
44. Esper, J., 1999. Long term tree-ring variations in Junipers at the upper timberline in the Karakorum (Pakistan). The Holocene, in press.
45. Esper J., Bosshard A., Schweingruber F.H., Winiger M. Tree-rings from the upper timberline in the Karakorum as climatic indicators for the last 1000 years. Dendrochronologia. 13:1995;79-88.
46. February E.C., Stock W.D. An assessment of the dendrochronological potential of two Podocarpus species. The Holocene. 8:1998;747-750.
47. Fritts, H.C., 1976. Tree Rings and Climate. Academic Press, London, 567pp.
48. Fritts, H.C., 1991. Reconstructing Large-Scale Climatic Patterns from Tree-Ring Data. University of Arizona Press, Tucson, 286pp.
49. Fritts H.C., Vaganov E.A., Sviderskaya I.V., Shashkin A.V. Climatic variation and tree-ring structure in conifers. Empirical and mechanistic model of tree-ring width, number of cell, cell size, cell-wall thickness and wood density Climate Research. 1:1991;97-116.
50. 2 enrichment in tree-ring chronologies. Global Biogeochemical Cycles. 7:1993;81-95.
51. Grissino-Mayer H.D. A 2129-year reconstruction of precipitation for northwestern New Mexico, U.S.A. Dean J.S., Meko D.M., Swetnam T.W. Tree Rings, Environment and Humanity. 1996;191-204 RADIOCARBON, University of Arizona Press, Tucson.
52. Grissino-Mayer H.D., Swetnam T.W., Adams R.K. The rare, old-aged conifers of El Malpais - their role in understanding climate change in the American southwest. New Mexico Bureau of Mines and Mineral Resources Bulletin. 156:1997;155-162.
53. Grudd, H., Briffa, K.R., Karlén, W., Bartholin, T.S., Jones, P.D., Kromer, B., 1999. A 7500-year tree-ring chronology in northern Swedish Lapland. The Holocene, in preparation.
54. Guiot, J. 1992. The combination of historical documents and biological data in the reconstruction of climate variations in space and time. in: Frenzel, B. with Pfister, C. and Glöses, B. (Eds.), European Climate Reconstructed from Documentary Data: Methods and Results. Palaoklimaforschung 7, 93-104.
55. Hantemirov, R.M., 1998. Tree ring reconstruction of summer temperatures on the north of West Siberia during the last 3248 years. Siberian Ecological Journal 5, in press.
56. Hughes M.K. Dendroclimatic evidence from the western Himalaya. Bradley R.S., Jones P.D. Climate Since A.D. 1500. 1992;415-431 Routledge, London.
57. Hughes M.K., Kelly P.M., Pilcher J.R., LaMarche V.C. Jr. Climate From Tree Rings. 1982;Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
58. Hughes M.K., Funkhouser G. Extremes of moisture availability reconstructed from tree rings for recent millennia in the Great Basin of western North America. Beniston M., Innes J. The Impacts of Climate Variability on Forests. 1998;99-107 Springer, Berlin.
59. Hughes M.K., Graumlich L.J. Multimillennial dendroclimatic studies from the western United States. Jones P.D., Bradley R.S., Jouzel J. Climate Variations and Forcing Mechanisms of the Last 2000 Years. 1996;109-124 Springer, Berlin.
60. Hughes, M.K., Vaganov, E.A., Shiyatov, S., Touchan, R., Funkhouser, G., 1999. Twentieth-century summer warmth in a 600-year context. The Holocene, in press.
61. Hughes M.K., Wu X., Shoa X., Garfin G.M. A preliminary reconstruction of rainfall in north-central China since A.D. 1600 from tree-ring density and width. Quaternary Research. 42:1994;88-99.
62. Hurrell J.W., van Loon H. Decadal variations in climate associated with the North Atlantic Oscillation. Climate Change. 36:1997;301-326.
63. Jacoby G.C., D'Arrigo R.D. Tree-ring width and density evidence of climatic and potential forest change in Alaska. Global Biochemical Cycles. 9:1995;227-234.
64. Jacoby G.J., D'Arrigo R.D., Davaajamts Ts. Mongolian tree rings and 20th century warming. Science. 273:1996;771-773.
65. Jacoby G., D'Arrigo R., Luckman B. Millennial and near-millennial scale dendroclimatic studies in northern North America. Jones P.D., Bradley R.S., Jouzel J. Climatic Variations and Forcing Mechanisms of the Last 2000 Years. 1996;67-84 Springer, Berlin.
66. Jacoby G.C. Application of tree-ring analysis to paleoseismology. Reviews of Geophysics. 35:1997;109-124.
67. Jones P.D., Briffa K.R., Barnett T.P., Tett S.F.B. High-resolution palaeoclimatic records for the last millennium. interpretation, integration and comparison with General Circulation Model control run temperatures The Holocene. 8:1998;467-473.
68. Krusic, P., Cook, E., 1994. Nepalese Dendroclimatic Expedition: Project Final Report. National Science Foundation Climate Dynamics Programme submitted for publication.
69. LaMarche V.C. Jr., Graybill D.A., Fritts H.C., Rose M.R. Increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide. tree ring evidence for growth enhancement in natural vegetation Science. 225:1984;1019-1021.
70. Lara A., Villalba R. A 3,620-year temperature reconstruction from Fitzroya cupressoides tree rings in southern South America. Science. 260:1993;1104-1106.
71. Luckman B.H., Briffa K.R., Jones P.D., Schweingruber F.H. Tree-ring based reconstruction of summer temperatures at the Columbia Icefield, Alberta, A.D. 1073-1983. The Holocene. 7:1997;375-389.
72. Mann M.E., Bradley R.S., Hughes M.K. Global scale temperature patterns and climate forcing over the past six centuries. Nature. 392:1998;779-787.
73. Mann M.E., Bradley R.S., Hughes M.K. Northern Hemisphere temperatures during the past millennium: inferences, uncertainties and limitations. Geophysical Research Letters. 26:1999;759-762.
74. Mann, M.E., Bradley, R.S., Hughes, M.J., 1999b. Long-term variability in the El Niño/Southern Oscillation and associated teleconnections. In: Diaz, H.F., Markgraf, V. (Eds.), El Niño and the Southern Oscillation: Multiscale Variability and its Impacts in press.
75. Naurzbaev, M.M., Vaganov, E.A., 1999. 1957-year chronology for eastern Taimir. Siberian Journal of Ecology 6, in press.
76. Ohta, S., Fujii, T., Hughes, M.K., Eckstein, D., (Eds.), 1996. Tree rings: from the past to the future. FFPRI Scientific Meeting Report 1, Tsukuba.
77. Osborn T.J., Briffa K.R., Tett S.F.B., Jones P.D., Trigo R.M. Evaluation of the North Atlantic Oscillation as simulated by a coupled climate model. Climate Dynamics. 15:1999;685-702.
78. Overpeck J., Hughen K., Hardy D., Bradley R., Case R., Douglas M., Finney B., Gajewski K., Jacoby G., Jennings A., Lamoureux S., Lasca A., MacDonald G., Moore J., Retelle M., Smith S., Wolfe A., Zielinski G. Arctic environmental change of the last four centuries. Science. 278:1997;1251-1256.
79. Pant, G.B., Rupa-Kumar, K., 1997. Climates of South Asia. Wiley, Chichester, 310pp.
80. Parker M.L., Henoch W.E.S. The use of Engelmann spruce latewood density for dendrochronological purposes. Canadian Journal of Forest Research. 1:1972;90-98.
81. Polge H. The use of X-ray densitometric methods in dendrochronology. Tree-Ring Bulletin. 30:1970;1-10.
82. Roig F. Jr., Roig C., Rabassa J., Boninsegna J. Fuegan floating tree-ring chronology from subfossil Nothofagus wood. The Holocene. 6:1996;469-476.
83. Salinger M.J., Palmer J.G., Jones P.D., Briffa K.R. Reconstruction of New Zealand climate indices back to A.D. 1731 using dendroclimatic techniques. some preliminary results International Journal of Climatology. 14:1994;1135-1149.
84. Schweingruber, F.H., 1996. Tree Rings and Environment: Dendroecology. Haupt, Berne, 609pp.
85. Schweingruber, F.H., 1988. Tree Rings. Basics and Applications of Dendrochronology. Kluwer, Dordrecht, 276pp.
86. Schweingruber F.H., Briffa K.R., Jones P.D. Yearly maps of summer temperature in western Europe from A.D. 1750 to 1975 and western North America from 1600 to 1982. results of densitometrical studies on tree-rings Vegetatio. 92:1991;5-71.
87. Schweingruber F.H., Briffa K.R., Nogler P. A tree-ring densitometric transect from Alaska to Labrador. comparison of ring-width and maximum-latewood-density chronologies in the conifer belt of northern North America International Journal of Biometeorology. 37:1993;151-169.
88. Schweingruber F.H., Briffa K.R. Tree-ring density networks for climate reconstruction. Jones P.D., Bradley R.S., Jouzel J. Climate Variations and Forcing Mechanisms of the Last 2000 Years. 1996;43-66 Springer, Berlin.
89. Shiyatov S.G., Hantemirov R.M., Schweingruber F.H., Briffa K.R., Moell M. Potential long-chronology development on the northwest Siberian Plain. early results Dendrochronologia. 14:1996;13-29.
90. Stahle D.W., Cleaveland M.K., Hehr J.G. North Carolina climate changes reconstructed from tree rings. A.D. 372 to 1985 Science. 240:1988;1517-1519.
91. Stahle D.W., Cleaveland M.K. Reconstruction and analysis of spring rainfall over the southeastern US for the past 1000 years. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 73:1992;1947-1961.
92. Stahle, D.W., Cleaveland, M.K., Haynes, G.A., Klimowicz, J., Mushove, P., Nicholson, S.E., 1997. Development of a rainfall sensitive tree-ring chronology in Zimbabwe. In: Eight Conference on Global Change Studies, Preprint Volume, American Meteorological Society, 77th Annual Meeting, Long Beach, California.
93. Stahle D.W., Cleaveland M.K., Blanton D.B., Therrell M.D., Gay D.A. The lost colony and Jamestown droughts. Science. 280:1998;564-567.
94. Stahle D.W., D'Arrigo R.D., Krusic P.J., Cleaveland M.K., Cook E.R., Allan R.J., Cole J.E., Dunbar R.B., Therrell M.D., Gay D.A., Moore M.D., Stokes M.A., Burns B.T., Thompson L.G. Experimental dendroclimatic reconstruction of the Southern Oscillation. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 79:1998;2137-2152.
95. Stahle, D.W., Mushove, P.T., Cleaveland, M.K., Roig, F., Haynes, G., 1999. Management implications of annual growth rings in Pterocarpus angolensis from Zimbabwe. Forest Ecology and Management, in press.
96. Stockton, C.W., Glueck, M.F., 1999. Long-term variability of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). In: Preprints of the 10th Symposium on Global Change Studies, American Meteorological Society, pp. 290-293.
97. Swetnam T.W., Betancourt J.L. Mesoscale disturbance and ecological response to decadal climatic variability in the American southwest. Journal of Climate. 11:1998;2138-3147.
98. Vaganov E.A., Sviderskaya I., Kondrat'eva E. Weather conditions and tree-ring structure of conifers: the simulation model of tracheidogram. Lesovedenie. 2:1990;37-45.
99. Vaganov E.A., Naurazbaev M.M., Schweingruber F.H., Briffa K.R., Moell M. An 840-year tree-ring width chronology for Taimyr as an indicator of summer temperature changes. Dendrochronologia. 14:1996;193-205.
100. Vaganov E.A., Hughes M.K., Kirdyanov A.V., Schweingruber F.H., Silkin P.P. Influence of snowfall and melt timing on tree growth in subarctic Eurasia. Nature. 400:1999;149-151.
101. Villalba R., Boninsegna J.A., Lara A., Veblen T.T., Roig F.A., Aravena J.-C., Ripalta A. Interdecadal climatic variations in millennial temperature reconstructions from southern South America. Jones P.D., Bradley R.S., Jouzel J. Climate Variations and Forcing Mechanisms of the Last 2000 Years. 1996;161-189 Springer, Berlin.
102. Villalba R., Cook E.R., D'Arrigo R.D., Jacoby G.C., Jones P.D., Salinger M.J., Palmer J. Sea-level pressure variability around Antarctica since A.D. 1750 inferred from subantarctic tree-ring records. Climate Dynamics. 13:1997;375-390.
103. Villalba R., Grau H.R., Boninsegna J.A., Jacoby G.C., Ripalta A. Tree-ring evidence for long-term precipitation changes in subtropical South America. International Journal of Climatology. 18:1998;1463-1478.
104. Villalba, R., Lara, A., Boninsegna, J.A., Aravena, J.C., 1999a. Millennial temperature reconstructions in southern South America, in preparation.
105. Villalba, R., D'Arrigo, R., Cook, E.R., Wiles, G., Jacoby, G.C., 1999b. Decadal-scale climatic variability along the extra tropical western coast of the Americas: evidence from tree-ring records. In: Markgraf, V. (Ed.), Present and Past Inter-Hemispheric Climate Linkages in the Americas and their Societal Effects. Academic Press, New York, in press.
106. Woodhouse C.A. Tree-ring reconstructions of circulation indices. Climate Research. 8:1997;117-127.
107. Worbes M. The forest ecosystem of the Floodplains. Junk W.J. The Central Amazon Floodplain, Ecological Studies. Vol. 126:1997;223-265 Springer, Berlin.
108. Wu X.D. Dendroclimatic studies in China. Bradley R.S., Jones P.D. Climate Since A.D. 1500. 1992;432-445 Routledge, London.
109. Xiong, L., 1993. A dendroclimatic study of Libocedrus bidwillii Hook. F. (Kaikawaka). Unpublished Ph.D. Dissertation, Lincoln University, New Zealand, 295pp.
110. Yadav R.R., Park W.-K., Bhattacharyya A. Spring temperature variations in western Himalaya, India, as reconstructed from tree-rings. A.D. 1390-1987 The Holocene. 9:1999;85-90.
111. Zetterberg P., Eronen M., Briffa K.R. Evidence on climatic variability and prehistoric human activities between 165 B.C. and A.D. 1400 derived from subfossil Scots pine (Pinus sylvestris) found in a lake in Utsjoki, northern Finland. Bulletin of the Geological Society of Finland. 66:1994;107-124.