The route to extinction in variable environments

Oikos

Volumn 90, Issue 1, 2000, Pages 89-96

  Ripa, Jörgen ^a   Lundberg, Per ^a  

^a LUND UNIVERSITY   (Sweden)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS; EXTINCTION RISK; POPULATION MODELING; STOCHASTICITY;

EID: 0033859831     PISSN: 00301299     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1034/j.1600-0706.2000.900109.x     Document Type: Article

References (28)

1. Burgman, M. A., Ferson, S. and Akçakaya, H. R. 1993. Risk assessment in conservation biology. - Chapman and Hall.
2. Caughley, G. 1994. Directions in conservation biology. J. Anim. Ecol. 63: 215-244.
3. Cohen, J. E. 1995. Unexpected dominance of high frequencies in chaotic nonlinear population models. Nature 378: 610-612.
4. Darroch, J. N. and Seneta, E. 1965. On quasi-stationary distributions in absorbing discrete-time finite Markov chains. - J. Appl. Probability 2: 88-100.
5. Gabriel, W. and Bürger, R. 1992. Survival of small populations under demographic stochasticity. - Theor. Popul. Biol. 41: 44-71.
6. Gaillard, J.-M., Festa-Bianchet, M. and Yoccoz., N. G. 1998. Population dynamics of large herbivores: variable recruitment with constant adult survival. - Trends Ecol. Evol. 13: 58-63.
7. Goodman, D. 1987. The demography of chance extinction. -In: Soulé, M. E. (ed.), Viable population for conservation. Cambridge Univ., pp. 11-34.
8. Gyllenberg, M., Högnäs, G. and Koski, T. 1994. Population models with environmental stochasticity. - J. Math. Biol. 32: 92-108.
9. Halley, J. M. and Iwasa, Y. 1998. Extinction rate of a population under both demographic and environmental stochasticity. - Theor. Popul. Biol. 53: 1-15.
10. Hilborn, R. and Mangel, M. 1997. The ecological detective. -Princeton Univ. Press.
11. Johst, K. and Wissel, C. 1997. Extinction risk in a temporally correlated fluctuating environment. Theor. Popul. Biol. 52: 91-100.
12. Kendall, B. 1998. Estimating the magnitude of environmental stochasticity in survivorship data. - Ecol. Appl. 8: 184-193.
13. Kuno, E. 1991. Some strange properties of the logistic equation defined with r and K inherent defects or artifacts? -Res. Popul. Ecol. 33: 33-39.
14. Lande, R. 1993. Risks of population extinction from demographic and environmental stochasticity, and random catastrophes. - Am. Nat. 142: 911-927.
15. Ludwig, D. 1996. The distribution of population survival times. - Am. Nat. 147: 506-526.
16. Ludwig, D. 1999. Is it meaningful to estimate a probability of extinction? - Ecology 80: 298-310.
17. Mac-Arthur, R. H. and Wilson, E. O. 1967. The theory of island biogeography. - Princeton Univ. Press.
18. Myers, R. A., Barrowman, N. J., Hutchings, J. A. and Rosenberg, A. A. 1995. Population dynamics of exploited fish stocks at low population levels. - Science 269: 1106-1108.
19. Petchey, O. L., Gonzalez, A. and Wilson, H. B. 1997. Effects on population persistence: the interaction between environmental noise color, intraspecific competition and space. Proc. R. Soc. Lond. B 264: 1841-1847.
20. Pimm, S. L. 1991. The balance of nature? - Chicago Univ. Press.
21. Pimm, S. L., Jones, L. and Diamond, J. 1988. On the risk of extinction. Am. Nat. 132: 757-785.
22. Ratner, S., Lande, R. and Roper, B. 1997. Population viability analysis of spring chinook salmon in the South Umpqua River. Oregon. - Conserv. Biol. 11: 879-889.
23. Ripa, J. and Lundberg, P. 1996. Noise color and the risk of population extinctions. - Proc. R. Soc. Lond. B 263: 1751-1753.
24. Ripa, J. and Heino, M. 1999. Linear analysis solves two puzzles in population dynamics: the route to extinction and extinction in coloured environments. Ecol. Lett. 2: 219-222.
25. Stacey, P. B. and Taper, M. 1992. Environmental variation and the persistence of small populations. Ecol. Appl. 2: 18-29.
26. Stephan, T. and Wissel, C. 1994. Stochastic extinction models discrete in time. - Ecol. Model. 75/76: 183-192.
27. Waage, J. K. and Godfray, H. C. J. 1985. Reproductive strategies and population ecology of insect parasitoids. -In: Sibly, R. M. and Smith, R. H. (eds), Behavioural ecology: ecological consequences of adaptive behaviour. Blackwell Scientific, pp. 449-470.
28. Wissel, C. and Stöcker, S. 1991. Extinction of populations by random influences. - Theor. Popul. Biol. 39: 315-328.