Predicting future forestland area: A comparison of econometric approaches

Forest Science

Volumn 46, Issue 3, 2000, Pages 363-376

  Ahn, SoEun ^a   Plantinga, Andrew J ^a   Alig, Ralph J ^b  

^a UNIVERSITY OF MAINE   (United States)

^b PACIFIC NORTHWEST RESEARCH STATION   (United States)

Author keywords

Econometric analysis; Forecasting; Forest area; Land rent

Indexed keywords

EID: 0033853634     PISSN: 0015749X     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: None     Document Type: Article

References (31)

1. ALIG, RJ. 1986. Econometric analysis of forest acreage trends in the Southeast. For. Sci. 32(1):119-134.
2. ALIG, R.J., AND R. HEALY. 1987. Urban and built-up area changes in the United States: An empirical investigation of determinants. Land Econ. 63(3):215-226.
3. BALESTRA, P., AND M. NERLOVE. 1966. Pooling cross section and time series data in the estimation of a dynamic model: The demand for natural gas. Econometrica 34(3):585-612.
4. BIRDSEY, R.A. 1992. Carbon storage and accumulation in United States forest ecosystems. USDA For. Serv. Gen. Tech. Rep. WO-59.
5. DIXIT, A.K., AND R.S. PINDYCK. 1994. Investment under uncertainty. Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ.
6. DUBOIS, M.R., K. MCNABB, AND T.J. STRAKA. 1997. Costs and cost trends for forestry practices in the South For. Landowner 56(2):7-13.
7. HALLBERG, M.C. 1992. Policy for American agriculture: Choices and consequences. Iowa State University Press, Ames, Iowa.
8. HARDIE, I., AND P. PARKS. 1997. Land use with heterogeneous quality: An application of an area base model. Am. J. Agric. Econ. 77:299-310.
9. HAUSMAN, J.A. 1978. Specification tests in econometrics. Econometrica 46:1251-1272.
10. HOWARD, J.L. 1997. U.S. timber production, trade, consumption and price statistics 1965-1994. USDA For. Serv. Gen. Tech. Rep. FPL-GTR-98.
11. JUDGE, G.G., R.C. HILL, W.E. GRIFFITHS, H. LUTKEPOHL, AND T.C. LEE. 1988. Introduction to the theory and practice of econometrics. Wiley, New York.
12. LICHTENBERG, E. 1989. Land quality, irrigation development, and cropping patterns in the Northern High Plains. Am. J. Agric. Econ. 71:187-94.
13. MADDALA, G.S. 1983. Limited dependent and qualitative variables in econometrics. Econ. Soc. Monogr. No. 3. Cambridge University Press, New York.
14. MAULDIN, T., A.J. PLANTINGA, AND R.J. ALIG. 1999. Land use in the Lake States Region: Analysis of past trends and projections of future changes. USDA For. Serv. Res. Pap. PNW-RP-519.
15. MILLER, D.J., AND A.J. PLANTINGA. 1999. Modeling land use decisions with aggregate data. Am. J. Agric. Econ. 81(1):180-194.
16. NERLOVE, M. 1971. Further evidence on the estimation of dynamic economic relations from a time series of cross sections. Econometrica 39(2):359-381.
17. PARKS, P.J., AND R.A. KRAMER. 1995. A policy simulation of the Wetlands Reserve Program. J. Environ. Econ. Manage. 28(2):223-240.
18. PARKS, P.J., AND B.C. MURRAY. 1994. Land attributes and land allocation: Nonindustrial forest use in the Pacific Northwest. For. Sci. 40(3):558-575.
19. PINDYCK, R.S., AND D.L. RUBINFELD. 1981. Econometric models and economic forecasts. McGraw-Hill, New York.
20. PLANTINGA, A.J. 1996. The effect of agricultural policies on land use and environmental quality. Am. J. Agric. Econ. 78(4):1082-1091.
21. PLANTINGA, A.J., T. MAULDIN, AND R.J. ALIG. 1999. Land use in Maine: Determinants of past trends and projections of future changes. USDA For. Serv. Res. Pap. PNW-RP-511.
22. PLANTINGA, A.J., T. MAULDIN, AND D.J. MILLER. 1999. An econometric analysis of the cost of sequestering carbon in forests. Am. J. Agric. Econ. 81(4):812-824.
23. SCHATZKI, S.T. 1998. A theoretical and empirical examination of land use change under uncertainty. Ph.D. Diss, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA.
24. STAVINS, R. 1999. The costs of carbon sequestration: A revealed-preference approach. Am. Econ. Rev. 89(4):994-1009.
25. STAVINS, R., AND A. JAFFE. 1990. Unintended impacts of public investment on private decisions: The depletion of forest wetlands. Am. Econ. Rev. 80(3):337-352.
26. THEIL, H. 1961. Economic forecasts and policy. North-Holland, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
27. U.S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE. 1973. Land capability classification. Soil Conserv. Serv. Agric. Handb. No. 210.
28. USDA FOREST SERVICE. 1988. The South's fourth forest: Alternatives for the future. For. Resour. Rep. No. 24.
29. USDA FOREST SERVICE. 1990. An analysis of the timber situation in the United States: 1989-2040. Gen. Tech. Rep. RM-199.
30. WHITE, H. 1980. A heteroskedasticity-consistent covariance matrix estimator and a direct test for heteroskedasticity. Econometrica 48:817-838.
31. WU, J., AND K. SEGERSON. 1995. The impact of policies and land characteristics on potential groundwater pollution in Wisconsin. Am J. Agric. Econ. 77:1033-1047.