Multi-model seasonal hindcasts over the Euro-Atlantic: Skill scores and dynamic features

Climate Dynamics

Volumn 16, Issue 8, 2000, Pages 611-625

  Pavan, V ^a   Doblas Reyes, F J ^b  

^a UNIVERSITY OF BOLOGNA   (Italy)

^b CENTRE NATIONAL DE RECHERCHES MÉTÉOROLOGIQUES   (France)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION; FLOW MODELING; GENERAL CIRCULATION MODEL; SEASONALITY; WEATHER FORECASTING;

EUROPE;

EID: 0033843285     PISSN: 09307575     EISSN: 14320894     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s003820000063     Document Type: Article

References (49)

1. Prediction of El-Nino of 1982-83
2. Classification, seasonality and persistence of low-frequency atmospheric circulation patterns
3. The anomalous rainfall over the United States during July 1993: Sensitivity to land surface parametarization and soil moisture anomalies
4. Atmospheric seasonal predictability and estimates of ensemble size
5. Experimental forecasts of El-Nino
6. Patterns of low-frequency variability in a three-level quasi-geostrophic model
7. Predictability of snow-depth anomalies over Eurasia and associated circulation patters
8. Ensemble size for numerical seasonal forecasts
9. High resolution climate simulation over Europe
10. Surface climate variations over the North Atlantic Ocean during winter: 1900-1989
11. A flexible bandpass filtering procedure applied to midlatitude intraseasonal variability
12. North-Atlantic wintertime intraseasonal variability and its sensitivity to GCM horizontal resolution
13. Persistent anomalies of the extra-tropical Northern Hemisphere wintertime circulation: Geographical distribution and regional persistent characteristics
14. Diagnosis of extratropical variability in seasonal integrations of the ECMWF model
15. Combining predictive schemes in long range forecasting
16. The weather during July 1976: Some dynamical considerations of the drought
17. Surface temperature patterns associated with the Southern Oscillation
18. Joint ensembles from the UKMO and ECMWF models
19. Lagged average forecasting, an alternative to Monte Carlo forecasting
20. Decadal variations in climate associated with the North Atlantic oscillation
21. On the definition and persistence of blocking
22. The dynamics of Euro-Atlantic blocking onsets
23. Weather regimes: Recurrence and quasi-stationarity
24. A major operational forecast model change
25. 30- and 60-day forecast experiments with the ECMWF spectral models
26. Impact of ensemble forecasts on predictability
27. The role of high- and low-frequency dynamics in blocking formation
28. Storm track signature in total ozone during the Northern Hemisphere winter
29. The prospect for seasonal forcasting - a review paper
30. Wintertime variability of the Euro-Atlantic region and its predictability in ECMWF seasonal ensemble experiments
31. The impact of new physical parametrizations in the Hadley Centre climate model - HadAM3
32. Statistical and dynamical long-range atmospheric forecasts: Experimental comparison and hybridization
33. Generation of global rotational flow by steady idealized tropical divergence
34. A case study of eddy forcing during an Atlantic blocking episode
35. How to improve accuracy by combining independent forecasts
36. On the operational predictability of blocking
37. Extended-range predictions with ECMWF models: Influence of horizontal resolution on systematic error and forecast skill
38. Northern and Southern Hemisphere seasonal variability of blocking frequency and predictability
39. Climatology of Northern Hemisphere blocking in the ECHAM model
40. Dynamical extended range forecasting (DERF) at the National Meteorological Center
41. Multiple weather regimes over the North Atlantic: Analysis of precursors and successors
42. Spells of low-frequency oscillations and weather regimes in the Northern Hemisphere
43. Teleconnections in the geopotential height field during the Northern Hemisphere winter
44. Modelled atmospheric response to changes in Northern Hemisphere snow cover
45. Evidence of ENSO in the synoptic climate of the British Isles since 1880
46. Three years of operational prediction of forecast skill at NMC
47. Analyses of global monthly precipitation using gauge observations, satellite estimates and numerical model predictions