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Volumn 27, Issue 3, 2000, Pages 283-301

Evaluating seaport policy alternatives: A simulation study of terminal leasing policy and system performance

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

PERFORMANCE ASSESSMENT; PORT; PRODUCTIVITY;

EID: 0033816307     PISSN: 03088839     EISSN: 14645254     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1080/030888300411112     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (30)

References (43)
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    • The results yield a factor greater than the square root of the number of terminals (6=2:449 compared to (5261.78/864.68)=6.085). Since the square root law assumes identically distributed random variables, such a result is not surprising. TEU capacities for carriers are modelled using unique discrete distributions, thus the assumption of identical distributions necessary to arrive at the same factor as the square root law is not valid in this application
    • The results yield a factor greater than the square root of the number of terminals (6=2:449 compared to (5261.78/864.68)=6.085). Since the square root law assumes identically distributed random variables, such a result is not surprising. TEU capacities for carriers are modelled using unique discrete distributions, thus the assumption of identical distributions necessary to arrive at the same factor as the square root law is not valid in this application
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    • Using APL as an example, there is a 0.049 probability the arriving vessel will have a capacity of 1920 TEU, a 0.029 (0.078-0.049) probability it will have a 2700 TEU capacity, a 0.432 (0.510-0.078) probability it will have a 4340 TEU capacity and a 0.490 (1-0.510) probability it will have a 4832 TEU capacity. Thus, the probabilities sum to 1.0
    • Using APL as an example, there is a 0.049 probability the arriving vessel will have a capacity of 1920 TEU, a 0.029 (0.078-0.049) probability it will have a 2700 TEU capacity, a 0.432 (0.510-0.078) probability it will have a 4340 TEU capacity and a 0.490 (1-0.510) probability it will have a 4832 TEU capacity. Thus, the probabilities sum to 1.0


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