Bayesian models and ageing indicators for analyzing random changes in failure occurrence

Reliability Engineering and System Safety

Volumn 68, Issue 3, 2000, Pages 255-268

  Pulkkinen, U ^a   Simola, K ^a  

^a VTT TECHNICAL RESEARCH CENTRE OF FINLAND   (Finland)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

FAILURE ANALYSIS; MARKOV PROCESSES; MATHEMATICAL MODELS; MONTE CARLO METHODS; PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS;

BAYESIAN MODELS;

AGING OF MATERIALS;

EID: 0033682740     PISSN: 09518320     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/S0951-8320(00)00020-X     Document Type: Article

References (15)

1. Snyder D.L. Random point processes. 1975;Wiley, New York. 485 pp.
2. Klefsjö B., Kumar U. TTT-plotting as a tool when analysing data from repairable systems. Petersen K.E., Rasmussen B. Safety and reliability'92, Proceedings of the European safety and reliability conference'92, Copenhagen 10-12 June. 1992;819-828 Elsevier, London.
3. Bergman B., Klefsjö B. Total time on test transforms. Encyclopedia of statistical sciences. vol. 9:1988;Wiley, New York. p. 297-300.
4. Akersten PA. Repairable systems reliability studied by TTT-plotting techniques. PhD dissertation, Division of Quality Technology, Lingköping University of Technology, Sweden, 1991.
5. Pulkkinen U. Statistical models for expert judgement and wear prediction. VTT Publications 181. Technical Research Centre of Finland, Espoo, 1994. 65pp+app. 80pp.
6. Atwood C.L. Parametric estimation of time-dependent failure rates for probabilistic risk assessment. Reliability Engineering and System Safety. 37:1992;181-194.
7. Snyder D.L. Filtering and detection for doubly stochastic Poisson processes. IEEE Transactions on Information Theory. 18:(1):1972;91-102.
8. Van Schuppen J.H. Filtering, prediction and smoothing for counting process observations, a Martingale approach. SIAM Journal of Applied Mathematics. 32:(3):1977;552-570.
9. Carlin B.P., Gelfand A.E., Smith A.F.M. Hierarchical Bayesian analysis of changepoint problems. Applied Statistics. 41:1991;389-405.
10. Singpurwalla N.D., Soyer R. Assessing (software) reliability growth using a random coefficient autoregressive process and its ramifications. IEEE transactions on Software Engineering. SE-11:(12):1985;1456-1464.
11. Casella G., George E.I. Explaining the Gibbs sampler. The American Statistician. 46:(3):1992;167-174.
12. Chib S., Greenberg E. Understanding the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm. The American Statistician. 49:(4):1995;327-335.
13. Gelman A., Carlin J.B., Stern H.S., Rubin D.B. Bayesian data analysis. 1996;Chapman and Hall, London. 528 pp.
14. Simola K., Laakso K., Hänninen S., Kosonen M., Unga E. Systematic analysis of operating experiences - an application to motor operated valve failure and maintenance data. Holmberg, Folkeson. Operational reliability and systematic maintenance. 1991;129-150 Elsevier, Amsterdam.
15. Smith A.F.M., Gelfand A.E. Bayesian statistics without tears: a sampling-resampling perspective. The American Statistician. 46:(2):1992;84-88.