A new statistical predictability scheme for July-September Sahel rainfall (1968-1994);Un nouveau schema de prevision statistique des precipitations saheliennes de juillet-septembre (1968-1994)

Comptes Rendus de l'Academie de Sciences - Serie IIa: Sciences de la Terre et des Planetes

Volumn 329, Issue 1, 1999, Pages 1-6

  Philippon, Nathalie ^a   Fontaine, Bernard ^a  

^a CNRS   (France)

Author keywords

Africa; Monsoon; Rainfall; Sahel; Statistical seasonal predictability

Indexed keywords

RAINFALL; WEATHER FORECASTING;

AFRICA; SAHEL;

EID: 0033566546     PISSN: 12518050     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/S1251-8050(99)80220-1     Document Type: Article

References (20)

1. Barnston A., Thiao W. et Kumar V. 1996. Long-lead forecasts of seasonal precipitation in Africa using CCA, Weather Forecast., 11, 506-521
2. Bottomley M., Folland C.K., Hsiung J., Newell R.E. et Parker D.E. 1990. Global ocean surface temperatures atlas, "GOSTA", Joint Met. Office/MIT, 20 p., 313 cartes
3. Colman A., Davey M., Harrison M. et Richardson D. 1996. Multiple regression and discriminant analysis predictions of July-August-September 1996 rainfall in the Sahel and other tropical North African regions, Forecast Bulletin, 5, 2, 26-28
4. Dhonneur G. 1985. Traité de météorologie tropicale, Direction de la Météorologie (éd.), Paris, 151 p.
5. Folland C.K., Palmer T.N. et Parker D.E. 1986. Sahel rainfall and worldwide sea temperatures, Nature, 320, 602-607
6. Folland C, Owen J., Ward N. et Colman A. 1991. Prediction of seasonal rainfall in the Sahel region using empirical and dynamical methods, Journal of Forecasting, 10, 21-56
7. Fontaine B., Trzaska S. et Janicot S. 1998. Evolution of the relationship between near global and Atlantic SST modes and the rainy season in West Africa: Statistical analyses and sensivity experiments, Climate Dynamics, 14, 353-368
8. Hand D.J. 1981. Discrimination and Classification, John Wiley and Sons, New York, États-Unis
9. Hulme M. 1992. Rainfall changes in Africa: 1931-1960 to 1961 -1990, Int. J. Climatol., 12, 685-699
10. Janicot S. 1992. Spatiotemporal variability of West African rainfall. Part II: Associated surface and airmass characteristics, J. Climate, 5, 499-511
11. Janowiak J.E. 1988. An investigation of interannual rainfall variability in Africa, J. Climate, 1, 165-179
12. Kalnay E. et al. 1996. The NCEP/NCAR 40-year reanalysis project, B. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 77, 437-471
13. Lamb P.J. 1978. Large-scale tropical Atlantic surface circulation patterns associated with sub-Saharan weather anomalies, Tellus, 30, 240-251
14. Li T. et Philander S.G.H., 1997. On the seasonal cycle of the equatorial Atlantic Ocean, J. Climate, 10, 813-817
15. Livezey R. 1995. The evaluation of forecasts, in: Analysis of Climate Variability, Springer, Berlin, chap. 10, 177-196
16. Moron V., Bigot S. et Roucou P. 1995. Rainfall variability in sub-equatorial America and Africa and relationships with the main sea surface temperatures modes (1951-1990), Int. J. Climatol., 15, 1297-1322
17. Nicholson S.E. 1980. The nature of rainfall fluctuations in sub-tropical Africa, Monthly Weather Review, 10, 2981-3002
18. e Série, 37, 14-21
19. Xue Y. 1997. Biosphere feedback on regional climate in tropical North Africa, Quat. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 123, 1483-1515
20. Zheng X. et Eltahir E.A. 1998. The role of vegetation in the dynamics of West African monsoons, J. Climate, 11, 2078-2096