National wheat yield prediction of France as affected by the prediction level

Ecological Modelling

Volumn 116, Issue 2-3, 1999, Pages 203-223

  Supit, I ^a   Van Der Goot, E ^a  

^a JOINT RESEARCH CENTRE   (Italy)

Author keywords

Aggregation; Crop simulation; Total wheat yields; Weather

Indexed keywords

AGRICULTURAL APPLICATION; ECOLOGICAL MODELING; PREDICTION; YIELD;

FRANCE;

TRITICUM AESTIVUM;

EID: 0033559975     PISSN: 03043800     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/S0304-3800(98)00175-6     Document Type: Article

References (59)

1. Abrecht D.G., Robinson S.D. TACT: a tactical decision aid using a CERES based wheat simulation model. Ecol. Model. 86:1996;241-244.
2. Allen O.B., Raktoe B.L Accuracy analysis with special reference to the prediction of grassland yield. Biom. J. 23:1981;371-388.
3. Ångström A. Solar and terrestrial radiation. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 50:1924;121-125.
4. Baird C.M., Foin T.C., Hill J.E. CARICE: a rice model for scheduling and evaluating management actions. Agron. J. 85:1993;938-947.
5. Bakema A.H., de Boer K.F., Braat L.C., Kok R.M, Meijers R., van Minnen J.G. EXPECT: a concise simulation system for environmental policy analysis. Ecol. Model. 75-76:1994;553-561.
6. Bates D.M., Wolf D.A., Watts D.G. Nonlinear least squares and first order kinetics. Allen D. Computer Science and statistics: Proceedings of the Seventeenth Symposium on the Interface. 1985;North-Holland, New York.
7. Beek E.G., Stein A., Jansen L.L.F. Spatial variability and interpolation of daily precipitation amount. Stoch. Hydr. Hydraul. 6:1992;304-320.
8. Boons-Prins, E.R., de Koning, G.H.J., Diepen, van C.A., Penning de Vries, F.W.T., 1993. Crop-specific parameters for yield forecasting across the European Communtiy. Simulation Reports CABO-TT, no. 32, Wageningen, The Netherlands.
9. Bradbury, D., 1994. Cereals in Europe; statistical systems for measuring area, production and yield. Internal report EUROSTAT, study ref. 3854006.
10. Buckman H.O., Brady N.C. The nature and properties of soils. 6th edition:1964;Macmillan, New York.
11. Carroll R.J., Rupert D. Transformation and weighting in regression; monographs on statistics and applied probability. 1988;Chapman and Hall, New York.
12. Carroll R.J., Rupert D. Power transformations when fitting theoretical models to data. J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 79:1984;321-328.
13. Choisnel, E.O., Villele, de O., Lacroze, F., 1992. Une approche uniformisée du calcul de l'évopotranspiration potentielle pour l'ensemble des pays de la Communauté Européenne. Publication EUR 14223 FR of the Office for Official Publications of the EU, Luxembourg.
14. Colson J., Wallach D., Bouniols A., Denis J.B., Jones J.W. Mean squared error of yield prediction by SOYGRO. Agron. J. 87:1995;397-402.
15. Cressie N.A.C, Keightley D.D. Analyzing data from hormone-receptor assays. Biometrics. 37:1981;325-340.
16. Currie D.J. Estimating Michaelis-Menten parameters: bias, variance and experimental design. Biometrics. 38:1982;907-919.
17. de Koning, G.H.J., Jansen, M.J.W., Boons-Prins E.R., van Diepen C.A., Penning de Vries F.W.T., 1993. Crop growth simulation and statistical validation for regional yield forecasting across the European Community. Simulation Reports CABO-TT, no. 31, AB-DLO, Wageningen, The Netherlands.7.
18. De Winne, P., 1993. Les besoins de la direction générale VI: agriculture. Proceedings of the Conference on the MARS Project: Overview and Perspectives. (Belgirate, 17-18 November, 1993). Publication EUR 15599 EN of the Office for Official Publications of the EU, Luxembourg, pp. 17-22.
19. de Wit C.T., van Keulen H. Modelling production of field crops and its requirements. Geoderma. 40:1987;254-265.
20. de Wit, C.T., Seligman, N.G., 1992. Introduction: agro-pastoral systems, In: Alberda, Th., van Keulen, H., Seligman, N.G., de Wit, C.T. (Eds.), Food From Dry Lands; An Integrated Approach to Planning of Agricultural Development, Kluwer, Dordrecht, The Netherlands, pp. 1-5.
21. Falisse, A., 1992. Aspects agrométéorologiques du dévelopment des cultures ans le Benelux et les régions voisines; étude pour la betterave sucrière, le colza, le pois, le froment, et l'avoine. Publication EUR 13910 FR of the Office for Official Publications of the EU, Luxembourg.
22. Falisse, A., Decelle, Y., 1990. Froment, Avoine; Etude effectuée par la faculté des sciences Agronomiques de Gembloux (Belgique); projet pilote de télédétection appliquée aux statistique agricoles, Ispra, Italy.
23. Foth, H.D., 1978, Fundamentals of soil science, 6th edition, Wiley, New York.
24. Hijmans R.J., van Ittersum M.K. Aggregation of spatial units in linear programming models to explore land use options. Neth. J. Agric. Sci. 44:1996;145-162.
25. Hodges T.D., Botner D., Sakamoto C.M., Haug J.H. Using the CERES-MAIZE model to estimate production for the U.S. Cornbelt. Agric. For. Meteorol. 40:1987;293-303.
26. Hooijer, A.A., van der Wal, T., 1994. CGMS Version 3.1 User Manual, SC technical document 15.1. DLO Winand Staring Centre, Wageningen, The Netherlands and the Joint Research Centre, Ispra, Italy.
27. Jørgensen S.E. Models as instruments for combination of ecological theory and environmental practise. Ecol. Model. 75-76:1994;5-20.
28. King D., Darousin J., Tavernier R. Development of a soil geographic database from the Soil Map of the European Communities. Catena. 21:1994;37-56.
29. King, D., Le Bas, C., Daroussin, J., Thomasson, A.J., Jones, R.J.A., 1995. The EU map of soil water available for plants. In: King, D., Jones, R.J.A., Thomasson, A.J. (Eds.). European Land Information Systems for Agro-Environmental Monitoring. Publication EUR 16232 EN of the Office for Official Publications of the EU, Luxembourg.
30. Littleboy M., Smith D.M., Bryant M.J. Simulation modelling to determine suitability of agricultural land. Ecol. Model. 86:1996;219-225.
31. Muchow R.C., Hammer G.L., Vanderlip R.L. Assessing climatic risk to sorghum production in water-limited subtropical environments: II, effects of planting date. soil water at planting and cultivar phenology. Field Crops Res. 36:1994;235-246.
32. Narisco, G., Ragni, P., Venturi, A., 1992. Agrometeorological aspects of crops in Italy, Spain and Greece: a summary review for common and durum wheat, barley, maize, rice, sugar beet, sunflower, soya bean, rape, potato, cotton, olive and grape crops. Publication EUR 14124 EN of the Office for Official Publications of the EU, Luxembourg.
33. Nonhebel S., 1993. The importance of weather data in crop growth simulation models and assessment of climatic change effects. Ph.D. thesis, Wageningen Agricultural University, The Netherlands.
34. Palm, R., Dagnelie P., 1993, Tendance générale et effets du climat dans la prévision des rendements agricoles des différents pays des C.E. Publication EUR 15106F of the Office for Official Publications of the EU Luxembourg.
35. Power M. Statistical validation of ecological and environmental models. Ecol. Model. 68:1993;33-50.
36. Prescott J.A. Evaporation from a water surface in relation to solar radiation. Trans. R. Soc. South Australia. 64:1940;114-118.
37. Ruppert D., Carroll R.J. Data transformations in regression analysis with applications to stock recruitment relationships. Mangel M. Resource Management; Lecture Notes in Biomathematics 61. 1985;Springer, New York.
38. Russell, G., Wilson, G.W., 1994. An agro-pedo-climatological knowledge base of wheat in Europe. Publication EUR 15789 EN of the Office for Official Publications of the EU, Luxembourg.
39. Supit, I., Kappel, R.R. A simple method to estimate global radiation, Solar Energy (in press).
40. Supit I. Predicting national wheat yields using crop simulation and trend models. Agric. For. Meteorol. 88:1997;199-214.
41. Supit, I., Hooijer, A.A., van Diepen, C.A. (Eds.), 1994. System description of the WOFOST 6.0 crop simulation model implemented in CGMS. Publication EUR 15956 EN of the Office for Official Publications of the EU, Luxembourg.
42. Supit, I., 1994. Global Radiation. Publication EUR 15745 EN of the Office for Official Publications of the EU, Luxembourg.
43. Swanson E.R., Nyankori J.C. Influence of weather and technology on corn and soybean trends. Agric. Meteorol. 20:1979;327-342.
44. Theil H. Applied economic forecasting. 1966;North-Holland, Amsterdam.
45. Theil H. Economic forecasts and policy. 1961;North-Holland, Amsterdam.
46. van der Goot, E., 1997. Technical description of interpolation and processing of meteorological data in CGMS. Space Applications Institute, Joint Research Centre of the EU, Ispra, Italy.
47. van der Voet, P., van Diepen, C.A., Oude Voshaar, J., 1993. Spatial interpolation of daily meteorological data: a knowledge based procedure for the regions of the European Communities; report 53/3. The Winand Staring Centre, Wageningen, and the Joint Research Centre, Ispra, Italy.
48. van Diepen, C.A., de Koning, G.H.J., 1990. Crop data files for use with WOFOST Version 5.0. 9unpublished data).
49. van Diepen C.A., Wolf J., van Keulen H. WOFOST: a simulation model of crop production. Soil Use Manag. 5:1989;16-24.
50. van Diepen, C.A., Rappoldt, C., Wolf, J., van Keulen, H., 1988. Crop growth simulation model WOFOST, documentation version 4.1. Centre for World Food Studies, Wageningen, The Netherlands.
51. van Heemst, H.D.J., 1988. Plant data values required for simple crop growth simulation models: review and bibliography. Simulation report CABO-TT 17, Centre for Agrobiological Research (CABO) and Department of Theoretical Production Ecology, Agricultural University Wageningen, The Netherlands.
52. van Keulen, H., Seligman, N.G., 1987. Simulation of water use, nitrogen and growth of a spring wheat crop; Simulation Monographs, Pudoc, Wageningen, The Netherlands.
53. van Keulen, H., Wolf J. (Eds), 1986. Modelling of Agricultural Production: Weather, Soils and Crops; Simulation Monographs, Pudoc, Wageningen, The Netherlands.
54. Vossen, P., 1992. Forecasting national crop yields of EU countries: the approach developed by the Agricultural Project. In: Proceedings of the Second Conference on The Application of Remote Sensing to Agricultural Statistics, Belgirate, Italy 26-27 November 1991, pp. 159-176. Publication EUR 14262 EN of the Office for Official Publications of the EU, Luxembourg.
55. Vossen, P., 1990. Modèles Agrométéorologiques pour le Suivi des Cultures et la Prévision de Rendements des grandes Régions des Communautés Européennes. In: Proceedings of the Conference on The Application of Remote Sensing to Agricultural Statistics, Varese, Italy, 10-11 Octobre 1989, pp. 75-84. Publication EUR 12581 EN of the Office for Official Publications of the EU, Luxembourg.
56. Vossen, P., Rijks, D.A., 1995. Early crop yield assessment of the EU countries; the system implemented by the Joint Research Centre. Publication EUR 16318 EN of the Office for Official Publications of the EU, Luxembourg.
57. Weber, G., 1995. Spel system, methodological documentation (Rev. 1), vol. 2: MFSS. Office for Official Publications of the EU, Luxembourg.
58. Weir A.H., Rayner J.H., Catt J.A., Shipley D.G., Hollies J.D. Soil factors affecting the yield of winter wheat: analyses of results from I.C.I. surveys 1979-1980. J. Agric. Sci. Camb. 103:1984;639-649.
59. Williams J.R., Jones C.A., Dyke P.T. A modelling approach to determining the relationship between erosion and soil productivity. Trans. ASAE. 27:1984;129-144.