메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 19, Issue 3, 1999, Pages 309-339

On the variability and prediction of rainfall in the post-monsoon season over India

Author keywords

El Nino; Extrapolation; Indian post monsoon rainfall variations; optimum rainfall observations; Prediction; Quasi Biennial Oscillation; Singular spectrum analysis; Southern Oscillation; Time series modelling; Variable harmonic analysis

Indexed keywords

EL NINO-SOUTHERN OSCILLATION; PREDICTION; QUASI-BIENNIAL OSCILLATION; RAINFALL;

EID: 0033559676     PISSN: 08998418     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1002/(sici)1097-0088(19990315)19:3<309::aid-joc361>3.0.co;2-#     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (67)

References (50)
  • 1
    • 85192651577 scopus 로고
    • General Information, His Majesty's Stationery Office, London, 52 pp.
    • Anonymous. 1943. Weather in the India Ocean, vol. 1, General Information, His Majesty's Stationery Office, London, 52 pp.
    • (1943) Weather in the India Ocean , vol.1
  • 2
    • 0023466855 scopus 로고
    • Tropical quasi-biennial oscillation of the 10-mb wind and India monsoon rainfall - Implications for forecasting
    • Bhalme, H.N., Rahalkar, S.S. and Sikdar, A.B. 1987. 'Tropical quasi-biennial oscillation of the 10-mb wind and India monsoon rainfall - implications for forecasting', Int. J. Climatol., 7, 345-353.
    • (1987) Int. J. Climatol. , vol.7 , pp. 345-353
    • Bhalme, H.N.1    Rahalkar, S.S.2    Sikdar, A.B.3
  • 3
    • 85192651309 scopus 로고
    • Memoirs of the India Meteorological Department, 658 pp.
    • Blanford, H.F. 1886. Rainfall of India, Memoirs of the India Meteorological Department, Vol. 81, Part III, 658 pp.
    • (1886) Rainfall of India , vol.81 , Issue.PART III
    • Blanford, H.F.1
  • 4
    • 0021563602 scopus 로고
    • Interannual variability of surface fields over the India Ocean during recent decades
    • Cadet, D.L. and Diehl, B.C. 1984. 'Interannual variability of surface fields over the India Ocean during recent decades', Mon. Weather Rev., 112, 1921-1935.
    • (1984) Mon. Weather Rev. , vol.112 , pp. 1921-1935
    • Cadet, D.L.1    Diehl, B.C.2
  • 5
    • 0008987540 scopus 로고
    • National Book Trust, India, Green Park, New Delhi, India
    • Das, P.K. 1992. The Monsoons, National Book Trust, India, A-5, Green Park, New Delhi, India.
    • (1992) The Monsoons
    • Das, P.K.1
  • 6
    • 0021086911 scopus 로고
    • Forecasting northeast monsoon rainfall over Tamil Nadu, India
    • Dhar, O.N. and Rakhecha, P.R. 1983. 'Forecasting northeast monsoon rainfall over Tamil Nadu, India', Mon. Weather Rev., 111, 109-112.
    • (1983) Mon. Weather Rev. , vol.111 , pp. 109-112
    • Dhar, O.N.1    Rakhecha, P.R.2
  • 8
    • 0019644960 scopus 로고
    • Short-term fluctuations and their economic role
    • Wigley, T.M.L., Ingram, M.J. and Fanner, G. (eds), Ch. 12, Cambridge University Press
    • Flohn, H. 1981. 'Short-term fluctuations and their economic role', in Wigley, T.M.L., Ingram, M.J. and Fanner, G. (eds), Climate and History - Studies in Past Climates and their Impact on Man, Ch. 12, Cambridge University Press, pp. 310-318.
    • (1981) Climate and History - Studies in Past Climates and Their Impact on Man , pp. 310-318
    • Flohn, H.1
  • 9
    • 0038152000 scopus 로고
    • Climatic change in monsoon rainfall and cyclones 1891-1974
    • India Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Pune, India
    • Joseph, P.V. 1976. 'Climatic change in monsoon rainfall and cyclones 1891-1974', Proceedings of the Symposium on Tropical Monsoon, India Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Pune, India, pp. 278-387.
    • (1976) Proceedings of the Symposium on Tropical Monsoon , pp. 278-387
    • Joseph, P.V.1
  • 10
    • 0000038436 scopus 로고
    • Power spectrum analysis of the time series of annual mean surface air temperature
    • Kane, R.P. and Teixeiro, N.R. 1990. 'Power spectrum analysis of the time series of annual mean surface air temperature', Clim. Change, 17, 121-130.
    • (1990) Clim. Change , vol.17 , pp. 121-130
    • Kane, R.P.1    Teixeiro, N.R.2
  • 11
    • 0001472516 scopus 로고
    • Objective prediction of five-day mean temperatures during winter
    • Klein, W.H., Lewis, B.M. and Enger, I. 1959. 'Objective prediction of five-day mean temperatures during winter', J. Meteorol., 16, 672-682.
    • (1959) J. Meteorol. , vol.16 , pp. 672-682
    • Klein, W.H.1    Lewis, B.M.2    Enger, I.3
  • 12
    • 0041477349 scopus 로고
    • An analysis of trends in the rainfall and droughts occurring in the southwest monsoon and northeast monsoon systems in the southern peninsular India
    • Krishnan, A. 1984. 'An analysis of trends in the rainfall and droughts occurring in the southwest monsoon and northeast monsoon systems in the southern peninsular India', Mausam, 35, 379-386.
    • (1984) Mausam , vol.35 , pp. 379-386
    • Krishnan, A.1
  • 14
    • 0008288189 scopus 로고
    • Statistical investigations into the climatology of rainfall on Oahu (T.H.)
    • On the Rainfall of Hawaii, American Meteorological Society
    • Landsberg, H. 1951. 'Statistical investigations into the climatology of rainfall on Oahu (T.H.)', in On the Rainfall of Hawaii, American Meteorological Society, Meteorological Monographs, Vol. 1, pp. 7-14.
    • (1951) Meteorological Monographs , vol.1 , pp. 7-14
    • Landsberg, H.1
  • 15
    • 0002531056 scopus 로고
    • Planetary scale aspects of the winter monsoon and atmospheric teleconnections
    • Chang, C.-P. and Krishnamurti, T.N. (eds), Monsoon Meteorology, Oxford University Press, New York
    • Lau K.-M. and Chang, C.-P. 1987. 'Planetary scale aspects of the winter monsoon and atmospheric teleconnections', in Chang, C.-P. and Krishnamurti, T.N. (eds), Monsoon Meteorology, Oxford Monographs on Geology and Geophysics No. 7, Oxford University Press, New York, pp. 161-202.
    • (1987) Oxford Monographs on Geology and Geophysics , vol.7 , pp. 161-202
    • Lau, K.-M.1    Chang, C.-P.2
  • 16
    • 0001730974 scopus 로고
    • The monsoon of east Asia and its global associations, a survey
    • Lau, K.-M. and Li, M.-T. 1984. 'The monsoon of east Asia and its global associations, a survey', Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 65, 114-125.
    • (1984) Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. , vol.65 , pp. 114-125
    • Lau, K.-M.1    Li, M.-T.2
  • 17
    • 0000112685 scopus 로고
    • The Australian summer monsoon
    • Chang, C.-P. and Krishnamurti, T.N. (eds), Monsoon Meteorology, Oxford University Press, New York
    • McBride, J.L. 1987. The Australian summer monsoon', in Chang, C.-P. and Krishnamurti, T.N. (eds), Monsoon Meteorology, Oxford Monographs on Geology and Geophysics No. 7, Oxford University Press, New York, pp. 203-231.
    • (1987) Oxford Monographs on Geology and Geophysics , vol.7 , pp. 203-231
    • McBride, J.L.1
  • 18
    • 0021639922 scopus 로고
    • Fluctuations in all-India summer monsoon rainfall during 1871-1978
    • Mooley, D.A. and Parthasarathy, B. 1984. 'Fluctuations in all-India summer monsoon rainfall during 1871-1978', Clim. Change, 6, 287-301.
    • (1984) Clim. Change , vol.6 , pp. 287-301
    • Mooley, D.A.1    Parthasarathy, B.2
  • 19
    • 0022167120 scopus 로고
    • Relationship between all-India summer monsoon rainfall and southern oscillation/eastern equatorial Pacific sea surface temperature
    • Mooley, D.A., Parthasarathy, B. and Sontakke, N.A. 1985. 'Relationship between all-India summer monsoon rainfall and southern oscillation/eastern equatorial Pacific sea surface temperature', Proc. Indian Acad. Sci. (Earth Planet Sci.), 94, 199-210.
    • (1985) Proc. Indian Acad. Sci. (Earth Planet Sci.) , vol.94 , pp. 199-210
    • Mooley, D.A.1    Parthasarathy, B.2    Sontakke, N.A.3
  • 20
    • 0022172674 scopus 로고
    • Quasi-biennial oscillation in stratospheric zonal wind and Indian monsoon
    • Mukherjee, B.K., Indira, K., Reddy, R.S. and Ramana Murthy, Bh.V. 1985. 'Quasi-biennial oscillation in stratospheric zonal wind and Indian monsoon', Mon. Weather Rev., 113, 1421-1424.
    • (1985) Mon. Weather Rev. , vol.113 , pp. 1421-1424
    • Mukherjee, B.K.1    Indira, K.2    Reddy, R.S.3    Ramana Murthy, Bh.V.4
  • 21
    • 0029503105 scopus 로고
    • All-India summer monsoon rainfall and sea surface temperature around northern Australia and Indonesia
    • Nicholls, N. 1995. 'All-India summer monsoon rainfall and sea surface temperature around northern Australia and Indonesia', J. Climatol., 8, 1463-1467.
    • (1995) J. Climatol. , vol.8 , pp. 1463-1467
    • Nicholls, N.1
  • 22
    • 0002391491 scopus 로고
    • El Niño/SST of Puerto Chicama and Indian summer monsoon rainfall: Statistical relationship
    • Parthasarathy, B. and Sontakke, N.A. 1988. 'El Niño/SST of Puerto Chicama and Indian summer monsoon rainfall: statistical relationship', Geofis. Int., 27(1), 37-59.
    • (1988) Geofis. Int. , vol.27 , Issue.1 , pp. 37-59
    • Parthasarathy, B.1    Sontakke, N.A.2
  • 23
    • 0024194445 scopus 로고
    • Prediction of all-India summer monsoon rainfall with regional and large-scale parameters
    • Parthasarathy, B., Diaz, H.F. and Eischeid, J.K. 1988. 'Prediction of all-India summer monsoon rainfall with regional and large-scale parameters', J. Geophys. Res., 93(D5), 5341-5350.
    • (1988) J. Geophys. Res. , vol.93 , Issue.D5 , pp. 5341-5350
    • Parthasarathy, B.1    Diaz, H.F.2    Eischeid, J.K.3
  • 24
    • 0025592290 scopus 로고
    • Surface and upper air temperatures over India in relation to monsoon rainfall
    • Parthasarathy, B., Rupa Kumar, K. and Sontakke, N.A. 1990a. 'Surface and upper air temperatures over India in relation to monsoon rainfall', Theor. Appl. Climatol., 42, 93-110.
    • (1990) Theor. Appl. Climatol. , vol.42 , pp. 93-110
    • Parthasarathy, B.1    Rupa Kumar, K.2    Sontakke, N.A.3
  • 25
    • 0344913064 scopus 로고
    • Vagaries of Indian monsoon rainfall and its relationships with regional/global circulations
    • Parthasarathy, B., Sontakke, N.A., Munot, A.A. and Kothawale, D.R. 1990b. 'Vagaries of Indian monsoon rainfall and its relationships with regional/global circulations', Mausam, 41, 301-308.
    • (1990) Mausam , vol.41 , pp. 301-308
    • Parthasarathy, B.1    Sontakke, N.A.2    Munot, A.A.3    Kothawale, D.R.4
  • 26
    • 0345344322 scopus 로고
    • Normal dates of onset and withdrawal of southwest and northeast monsoons over the southern Peninsula
    • Raj, Y.E.A. and Jamadar, S.M. 1990. 'Normal dates of onset and withdrawal of southwest and northeast monsoons over the southern Peninsula', Vayu Mandal, 20(3-4), 76-84.
    • (1990) Vayu Mandal , vol.20 , Issue.3-4 , pp. 76-84
    • Raj, Y.E.A.1    Jamadar, S.M.2
  • 28
    • 0344050535 scopus 로고
    • The severe drought over Tamil Nadu during the retreating monsoon period of 1968 and its association with anomalies in the upper level flow pattern over the northern hemisphere
    • Ramaswamy, C. 1972. The severe drought over Tamil Nadu during the retreating monsoon period of 1968 and its association with anomalies in the upper level flow pattern over the northern hemisphere', Indian J. Meteorol. Geophys., 23, 303-316.
    • (1972) Indian J. Meteorol. Geophys. , vol.23 , pp. 303-316
    • Ramaswamy, C.1
  • 31
    • 0000441358 scopus 로고
    • Long term wind variability in the tropical Pacific, its possible causes and effects
    • Reiter, E.R. 1978. 'Long term wind variability in the tropical Pacific, its possible causes and effects', Mon. Weather Rev., 106, 324-330.
    • (1978) Mon. Weather Rev. , vol.106 , pp. 324-330
    • Reiter, E.R.1
  • 32
    • 0344481740 scopus 로고
    • The computation of climatological power spectra
    • Schickedanz, P.T. and Bowen, E.G. 1977. 'The computation of climatological power spectra', J. Appl. Meteorol., 16(4), 359-367.
    • (1977) J. Appl. Meteorol. , vol.16 , Issue.4 , pp. 359-367
    • Schickedanz, P.T.1    Bowen, E.G.2
  • 33
    • 0021558173 scopus 로고
    • Fluctuations of different moisture regimes in India
    • Singh, N. 1984. 'Fluctuations of different moisture regimes in India', Arch. Met. Geophys. Biokl., B35, 239-259.
    • (1984) Arch. Met. Geophys. Biokl. , vol.B35 , pp. 239-259
    • Singh, N.1
  • 34
    • 84986714009 scopus 로고
    • Optimizing a network of rain-gauges over India to monitor summer monsoon rainfall variations
    • Singh, N. 1994. 'Optimizing a network of rain-gauges over India to monitor summer monsoon rainfall variations', Int. J. Climatol., 14, 61-70.
    • (1994) Int. J. Climatol. , vol.14 , pp. 61-70
    • Singh, N.1
  • 35
    • 0029509031 scopus 로고
    • Large-scale interannual variation of the summer monsoon over India and its empirical prediction
    • Singh, N. 1995. 'Large-scale interannual variation of the summer monsoon over India and its empirical prediction', Proc. Indian Acad. Sci. (Earth Planet Sci.), 104, 1, 1-36.
    • (1995) Proc. Indian Acad. Sci. (Earth Planet Sci.) , vol.104 , Issue.1 , pp. 1-36
    • Singh, N.1
  • 36
    • 0345344320 scopus 로고
    • On the relations of the rainfall variability and distribution with the mean rainfall over India
    • Singh, N. and Mulye, S.S. 1991. 'On the relations of the rainfall variability and distribution with the mean rainfall over India', Theor. Appl. Climatol., 44, 209-221.
    • (1991) Theor. Appl. Climatol. , vol.44 , pp. 209-221
    • Singh, N.1    Mulye, S.S.2
  • 37
    • 0026451933 scopus 로고
    • Some features of the and area variations over India: 1871-1984
    • Singh, N., Mulye, S.S. and Pant, G.B. 1992a. 'Some features of the and area variations over India: 1871-1984', Pure Appl. Geophys., 138, 135-150.
    • (1992) Pure Appl. Geophys. , vol.138 , pp. 135-150
    • Singh, N.1    Mulye, S.S.2    Pant, G.B.3
  • 38
    • 0344913062 scopus 로고
    • A statistical package for constructing representative area-averaged rainfall series and its updating using selected stations data
    • 16-18 December 1991, Indian Institute of Technology Delhi, New Delhi
    • Singh, N., Pant, G.B. and Mulye, S.S. 1991. 'A statistical package for constructing representative area-averaged rainfall series and its updating using selected stations data', in Proceedings of the National Seminar on the Use of Computers in Hydrology and Water Resources, 16-18 December 1991, Vol. 2, Indian Institute of Technology Delhi, New Delhi, pp. 122-134.
    • (1991) Proceedings of the National Seminar on the Use of Computers in Hydrology and Water Resources , vol.2 , pp. 122-134
    • Singh, N.1    Pant, G.B.2    Mulye, S.S.3
  • 41
    • 0342675933 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate variability over Pakistan and its relationships to variations over the India region
    • Abrol, Y.P. Gadgil, S. and Pant, G.B. (eds), Ch. 5, Narosa Publishing House, New Delhi, India
    • Singh, N. and Sontakke, N.A. 1996b. 'Climate variability over Pakistan and its relationships to variations over the India region', in Abrol, Y.P. Gadgil, S. and Pant, G.B. (eds), Climate Variability Agriculture, Ch. 5, Narosa Publishing House, New Delhi, India, pp. 69-97.
    • (1996) Climate Variability Agriculture , pp. 69-97
    • Singh, N.1    Sontakke, N.A.2
  • 42
    • 0344050533 scopus 로고
    • Fluctuations in northeast monsoon rainfall over India since 1871
    • Keshavamurty, R.N. and Joshi, P.C. (eds), McGraw-Hill, New Delhi, India
    • Sontakke, N.A. 1993. 'Fluctuations in northeast monsoon rainfall over India since 1871', in Keshavamurty, R.N. and Joshi, P.C. (eds), Advances in Tropical Meteorology, McGraw-Hill, New Delhi, India, pp. 149-158.
    • (1993) Advances in Tropical Meteorology , pp. 149-158
    • Sontakke, N.A.1
  • 43
    • 0029659744 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Longest instrumental regional and all-India summer monsoon rainfall series using optimum observations: Reconstruction and update
    • Sontakke, N.A. and Singh, N. 1996. 'Longest instrumental regional and all-India summer monsoon rainfall series using optimum observations: reconstruction and update', The Holocene, 6, 315-331.
    • (1996) The Holocene , vol.6 , pp. 315-331
    • Sontakke, N.A.1    Singh, N.2
  • 44
    • 0344050532 scopus 로고
    • Northeast monsoon rainfall in relation to El Niño, QBO and Atlantic hurricane frequency
    • Sridharan, S. and Muthusamy, A. 1990. 'Northeast monsoon rainfall in relation to El Niño, QBO and Atlantic hurricane frequency', Vayu Mandal, 20, 108-111.
    • (1990) Vayu Mandal , vol.20 , pp. 108-111
    • Sridharan, S.1    Muthusamy, A.2
  • 46
    • 0006513445 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Role of the northeast winter monsoon on the biennial oscillation of the ENSO/Monsoon system
    • Tomita, T. and Yasunari, T. 1996. 'Role of the northeast winter monsoon on the biennial oscillation of the ENSO/Monsoon system', J. Meteorol. Soc. Jpn., 74(4), 399-413.
    • (1996) J. Meteorol. Soc. Jpn. , vol.74 , Issue.4 , pp. 399-413
    • Tomita, T.1    Yasunari, T.2
  • 47
    • 19044361940 scopus 로고
    • Singular-spectrum analysis: A toolkit for short noisy chaotic signals
    • Vautard, R., Yiou, P. and Ghil, M. 1992. 'Singular-spectrum analysis: A toolkit for short noisy chaotic signals', Physica, D58, 95-126.
    • (1992) Physica , vol.D58 , pp. 95-126
    • Vautard, R.1    Yiou, P.2    Ghil, M.3
  • 48
    • 0022164973 scopus 로고
    • Interannual and long-term variability of the summer monsoon and its possible link with northern hemisphere surface air temperature
    • Verma, R.K., Subramaniam, K. and Dugam, S.S. 1985. 'Interannual and long-term variability of the summer monsoon and its possible link with northern hemisphere surface air temperature', Proc. Indian Acad. Sci. (Earth and Planet Sci.), 94, 187-198.
    • (1985) Proc. Indian Acad. Sci. (Earth and Planet Sci.) , vol.94 , pp. 187-198
    • Verma, R.K.1    Subramaniam, K.2    Dugam, S.S.3
  • 49
    • 0021639632 scopus 로고
    • On the average value of correlated time series, with application in dendroclimatology and hydrometeorology
    • Wigley, T.M.L., Briffa, K.R. and Jones P.D. 1984. 'On the average value of correlated time series, with application in dendroclimatology and hydrometeorology', J. Clim. Appl. Meteorol., 23, 201-213.
    • (1984) J. Clim. Appl. Meteorol. , vol.23 , pp. 201-213
    • Wigley, T.M.L.1    Briffa, K.R.2    Jones, P.D.3
  • 50
    • 0004270598 scopus 로고
    • WMO Technical Note No. 79, WMO No. 195-TP-100, Geneva, 79 pp.
    • World Meteorological Organization (WMO). 1966. Climatic Change, WMO Technical Note No. 79, WMO No. 195-TP-100, Geneva, 79 pp.
    • (1966) Climatic Change


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.