Jurors' use of naked statistical evidence: Exploring bases and implications of the wells effect

Journal of Personality and Social Psychology

Volumn 76, Issue 4, 1999, Pages 533-542

  Niedermeier, Keith E ^a   Kerr, Norbert L ^b   Messé, Lawrence A ^b  

^a PENNSYLVANIA STATE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^b MICHIGAN STATE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EID: 0033423064     PISSN: 00223514     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1037/0022-3514.76.4.533     Document Type: Article

References (16)

1. Baron, R. M., & Kenny, D. A. (1986). The moderator-mediator distinction in social psychological research: Conceptual, strategic, and statistical considerations. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 51, 1173-1182.
2. Einhorn, H. J., & Hogarth, R. M. (1986). Judging probable cause. Psychological Bulletin, 99, 3-19.
3. Feinberg, S. E. (1989). The evolving role of statistical assessments as evidence in the courts. New York: Springer-Verlag.
4. Hovland, C. I., & Mandell, W. (1952). An experimental comparison of conclusion-drawing by the communicator and by the audience. Journal of Abnormal and Social Psychology, 47, 581-588.
5. Kahneman, D., & Miller, D. T. (1986). Norm theory: Comparing reality to its alternatives. Psychological Review, 93, 136-153.
6. Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A. (1972). Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness. Cognitive Psychology, 3, 430-454.
7. Linedecker, C. (1995). O.J. A to Z: The complete handbook to the trial of the century. New York: St. Martin's Griffin.
8. McGuire, W. (1969). The nature of attitudes and attitude change. In G. Lindzey & E. Aronson (Eds.), The handbook of social psychology (2nd ed., Vol. 3, pp. 136-314). Reading, MA: Addison-Wesley.
9. Miller, D. T., Turnbull, W., & McFarland, C. (1989). When a coincidence is suspicious: The role of mental simulation. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 57, 581-589.
10. 99.8% probability in blood test rejected on child support case. (1986, January 3). Edmonton Journal, p. A2.
11. Paulos, J. A. (1988). Innumeracy: Mathematical illiteracy and its consequences. New York: Hill & Wang.
12. Pennington, N., & Hastie, R. (1993). The story model for juror decision making. In R. Hastie (Ed.), Inside the juror: The psychology of juror decision making (pp. 192-221). New York: Cambridge University Press.
13. Saks, M. J., & Kidd, R. F. (1980). Human information processing and adjudication: Trial by heuristics. Law and Society Review, 15, 123-160.
14. Tribe, L. H. (1971). Trial by mathematics: Precision and ritual in the legal process. Harvard Law Review, 84, 1329-1393.
15. Wells, G. L. (1992). Naked statistical evidence of liability: Is subjective probability enough? Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 62, 739-752.
16. Wells, G. L., & Gavanski, I. (1989). Mental simulation of causality. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 56, 161-169.